COVID-19 Records

Private channel session 1654

47 messages over 2h 9m, 2021-11-24 – 2021-11-24.

A “conversation” here is an activity session — a run of messages with under 60 minutes of silence inside it. The channel had no native conversation boundaries.

  1. 2021-11-24 07:28 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1024
    This variant is completely insane - https://github.com/cov-lineages/pango-designation/issues/343
  2. 2021-11-24 07:28 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1024
    Mutating itself to death, indeed
  3. 2021-11-24 07:29 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1024
    Check this bit... [shared file(s): image.png]
  4. 2021-11-24 07:30 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1024
    And a bit of FCS adjacent action... [shared file(s): image.png]
  5. 2021-11-24 07:30 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1024
    Plus 69/70 del and the nsp6 del
  6. 2021-11-24 07:36 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1024
    Holy shit - that is quite something. The length of that branch... :scream:. What's the N/S on the branch?
  7. 2021-11-24 07:41 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1025
    Just had a look at the list of mutations - so nuts. Getting rid of a lot of serines (although also adding some new ones...) and adding in lysine - the friggin' genome is going to be made out of lysines at some point! Just nuts.
  8. 2021-11-24 08:22 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1025
    Oh boy - it's getting more polybasic - that's not good....
  9. 2021-11-24 08:23 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1025
    It must surely be from a immunocompromised chronic infection. Possibly a dual infection with recombination and heavy mutation. But the random traveller in HK has me very worried
  10. 2021-11-24 08:24 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1025
    Visited South Africa for 20 days - must be a much more prevalent virus than the sequencing suggests
  11. 2021-11-24 08:24 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1025
    Will cause S gene dropout and I think SA is seeing some signal of that apparently
  12. 2021-11-24 08:29 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1025
    HIV patient or animal reservoir - I'll say 70/30 odds.
  13. 2021-11-24 08:32 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1025
    Bob, presumably the N679K combined with P681H makes this a better FCS, correct? It's interesting to see E484A inthere too - presumably E484K was a bit too much.
  14. 2021-11-24 08:33 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1025
    I swear to god - if we see another monster variant gain territory here in November/December, something is driving the emergence. What, I don't know, but "something".
  15. 2021-11-24 08:35 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1025
    Yes definitely better FCS - the RXXR site really is minimal. Any changes that put postive charges, K, R, H nearbyare going to up the efficacy. It already as discussed has an effective furin landing site in QTQT
  16. 2021-11-24 08:37 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1025
    LPAI goes from a minimal site to multiple basic residues in HPAI... [shared file(s): image.png]
  17. 2021-11-24 08:37 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1025
    Yup. QTQT is a landing site?
  18. 2021-11-24 08:40 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1025
    yes both are neutral polar animo acids
  19. 2021-11-24 08:42 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1026
    I assume you say it cutie-cutie?
  20. 2021-11-24 08:42 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1026
    I had missed that previously, but that's actually kinda interesting - because: [shared file(s): furin_aa_nov21.png]
  21. 2021-11-24 08:43 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1026
    For the non-SC2 viruses they _either_ have QTQT _or_ the indel - but not both. SC2 has both.
  22. 2021-11-24 08:45 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1026
    The RmYN02-like are quite distant to SC2 in this bit of the genome. Is it not more interesting that RaTG13/BANAL-20-52-like viruses acquired the QTQT motif?
  23. 2021-11-24 08:46 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1026
    Yup - almost looks step-wise.
  24. 2021-11-24 08:46 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1026
    Indeed - that's always puzzled me.
  25. 2021-11-24 08:48 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1026
    What would it do without the PRRA insert?
  26. 2021-11-24 08:48 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1026
    I've think that the enzymes that do the cleavage at R/S also probably benefit by having a "landing pad."
  27. 2021-11-24 08:50 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1026
    So if you were going to pick a virus from amongst your large bank of samples in which to try popping a FCS insertion you would pick out one with QTQT?
  28. 2021-11-24 08:52 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1026
    Not without having all the knowledge in hindsight.
  29. 2021-11-24 08:52 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1026
    Fair enough. I won't tweet that then.
  30. 2021-11-24 08:52 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1026
    Same argument with the O-linked glycans - without having SC2 as the guidepost - you would not know....
  31. 2021-11-24 08:53 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1026
    Good - that would just encourage the Leakers...
  32. 2021-11-24 08:54 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1027
    Yeah, very clearly not a conscious choice - just nature doing it's thing. All it took was a virus with a landing site and then stuff comes and goes around that site all the time - just had to be the right sequence that popped in.
  33. 2021-11-24 08:55 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1027
    Yup - nature - we get to see the brilliance but only afterwards.
  34. 2021-11-24 09:02 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1027
    Some alignments with these sequences combined with relevant SARSr-CoVs - just FYI. [shared file(s): 2021.11.24_alignment_spike_nt.geneious, 2021.11.24_alignment_spike_aa.geneious, 2021.11.24_alignment_spike_aa_minimal_annotated.geneious]
  35. 2021-11-24 09:03 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1027
    This is mind blowing - BANAL-52 is closer to Hu-1 in the spike (in AA space) than the Botswana sequences are.... Holy fuck.
  36. 2021-11-24 09:04 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1027
    98.4% vs 96.9%
  37. 2021-11-24 09:10 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1027
    Yeah - what I really want to do is put the PRRA into BANAL-52 and see how it does several species.
  38. 2021-11-24 09:11 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1027
    What the heck is up here - Hu1 on top, Botswana at the bottom [shared file(s): Screen Shot 2021-11-24 at 9.07.10AM.png]
  39. 2021-11-24 09:12 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1027
    In AA space: [shared file(s): Screen Shot 2021-11-24 at 9.07.32 AM.png]
  40. 2021-11-24 09:13 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1027
    Here's the key part of the RBD - contact residues listed in purple above. This makes me believe this could be evolution in a non-human host, so I'll have to change my 70/30 odds to 50/50 based on this alone. This is very interesting. [shared file(s): Screen Shot 2021-11-24 at 9.08.55 AM.png]
  41. 2021-11-24 09:24 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1027
    Agree - it's freaky!
  42. 2021-11-24 09:24 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1027
    The insertion ("TAGTGCGTGAGCCAGAA") around 630 could be interesting - obviously a short sequence, but it ain't from SC2 itself and the top BLAST results match fungi, cholera, and a fish...
  43. 2021-11-24 09:26 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1027
    THis insertions are rare - wasn't there a preprint or virological post on those a while back?
  44. 2021-11-24 09:27 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.1028
    Yeah - same Tom: https://virological.org/t/putative-host-origins-of-rna-insertions-in-sars-cov-2-genomes/761
  45. 2021-11-24 09:33 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.1028
    @Andrew Rambaut But saying it out loud only can get you in deep trouble.
  46. 2021-11-24 09:37 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1028
    Yes - Tom has identified that insertion in a human mRNA
  47. 2021-11-24 09:37 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.1028
    Somewhere on twitter