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Slack / Private Message Drop, pp.1036-1037 [SLACK_001250] · slack_pm:msg:10838

Page text: p.1036, p.1037 · original PDF

Date
2021-12-01 14:41
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes
speaker
Andrew Rambaut

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(but nothing like Sebastian)

In context

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  1. 2021-12-01 14:36 Edward C. Holmes open
    Sorry, I asked the same question in the other channel before spotting this. I assumed there was an error somewhere.
  2. 2021-12-01 14:40 Andrew Rambaut open
    Just ran BEAST again and now I am getting lower rates and older TMRCA: 2021-10-07 (2021-09-26, 2021-10-18)
  3. 2021-12-01 14:40 Andrew Rambaut open
    Doubling time: 6.7 days (4.7-11.7)
  4. 2021-12-01 14:40 Andrew Rambaut open
    R: 1.62 (1.34, 1.92)
  5. 2021-12-01 14:41 Andrew Rambaut
    (but nothing like Sebastian)
  6. 2021-12-01 14:43 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Heh - strange. Given the epi data out of RSA right now though, I'm leaning towards a more recent estimate (and lower doubling time) being the most likely scenario.
  7. 2021-12-01 15:23 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Andrew - are you okay with me introducing you to the NYC WW folks to compare notes? I realize mentioning the UK stuff might not have been that smart, but I have heard it from a few people. Is there anybody overseeing the wastewater efforts?
  8. 2021-12-01 15:27 Andrew Rambaut open
    Nick Loman has eyes on the WW
  9. 2021-12-01 15:28 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Seems fitting :wink:. Lemme ping Nick first.

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