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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.1036 [SLACK_001250] · slack_pm:msg:10835

Page text: p.1036 · original PDF

Date
2021-12-01 14:40
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes
speaker
Andrew Rambaut

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

Just ran BEAST again and now I am getting lower rates and older TMRCA: 2021-10-07 (2021-09-26, 2021-10-18)

In context

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  1. 2021-12-01 14:09 Kristian G. Andersen open
    @Andrew Rambaut - thoughts? https://twitter.com/sebduchene/status/1466161635056254983?s=20. Wildly different estimates, but it's from Sebastian...
  2. 2021-12-01 14:21 Andrew Rambaut open
    He probably has the bullshit Italian genomes in there. And the South African ones called for reference
  3. 2021-12-01 14:36 Edward C. Holmes open
    Sorry, I asked the same question in the other channel before spotting this. I assumed there was an error somewhere.
  4. 2021-12-01 14:40 Andrew Rambaut
    Just ran BEAST again and now I am getting lower rates and older TMRCA: 2021-10-07 (2021-09-26, 2021-10-18)
  5. 2021-12-01 14:40 Andrew Rambaut open
    Doubling time: 6.7 days (4.7-11.7)
  6. 2021-12-01 14:40 Andrew Rambaut open
    R: 1.62 (1.34, 1.92)
  7. 2021-12-01 14:41 Andrew Rambaut open
    (but nothing like Sebastian)
  8. 2021-12-01 14:43 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Heh - strange. Given the epi data out of RSA right now though, I'm leaning towards a more recent estimate (and lower doubling time) being the most likely scenario.

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