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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.1037 [SLACK_001251] · slack_pm:msg:10839

Date: 2021-12-01 14:43
Type: chat message · slack
recipient: Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker: Kristian G. Andersen

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Heh - strange. Given the epi data out of RSA right now though, I'm leaning towards a more recent estimate (and lower doubling time) being the most likely scenario.

In context

A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.

2021-12-01 14:40 Andrew Rambaut open

Just ran BEAST again and now I am getting lower rates and older TMRCA: 2021-10-07 (2021-09-26, 2021-10-18)
2021-12-01 14:40 Andrew Rambaut open

Doubling time: 6.7 days (4.7-11.7)
2021-12-01 14:40 Andrew Rambaut open

R: 1.62 (1.34, 1.92)
2021-12-01 14:41 Andrew Rambaut open

(but nothing like Sebastian)
2021-12-01 14:43 Kristian G. Andersen

Heh - strange. Given the epi data out of RSA right now though, I'm leaning towards a more recent estimate (and lower doubling time) being the most likely scenario.
2021-12-01 15:23 Kristian G. Andersen open

Andrew - are you okay with me introducing you to the NYC WW folks to compare notes? I realize mentioning the UK stuff might not have been that smart, but I have heard it from a few people. Is there anybody overseeing the wastewater efforts?
2021-12-01 15:27 Andrew Rambaut open

Nick Loman has eyes on the WW
2021-12-01 15:28 Kristian G. Andersen open

Seems fitting :wink:. Lemme ping Nick first.

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