COVID-19 Records

Private channel session 1241

33 messages over 2h 0m, 2021-04-13 – 2021-04-13.

A “conversation” here is an activity session — a run of messages with under 60 minutes of silence inside it. The channel had no native conversation boundaries.

  1. 2021-04-13 14:20 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.698
    Joe Grove in Greg Towers group just showed some very interesting data (keep private please - it was on a closed call): [shared file(s): image.png, image.png, image.png, image.png]
  2. 2021-04-13 14:21 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.698
    Essentially Wuhan with a GD Pango NTD has infectivity like B.1.1.7 - despite being the one bit of GD_Pango that isrecombinant and most divergent from SARS-CoV-2
  3. 2021-04-13 14:22 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.698
    @Robert Garry Cited your indel regions as likely reason
  4. 2021-04-13 14:22 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.699
    Will see if he has a preprint or something.
  5. 2021-04-13 14:24 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.699
    :+1: brilliant
  6. 2021-04-13 14:26 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.699
    eDim ain't gonna like those experiments!
  7. 2021-04-13 14:27 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.699
    Sounds like we ought to be looking for more pango viruses?
  8. 2021-04-13 14:33 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.699
    Yes - indeed! Also RpYN06 and PRC31 are essentially GD pango in the NTD so the important bits are definitely out there! [shared file(s): image.png]
  9. 2021-04-13 14:35 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.699
    Have been meaning to put this expanded alignment up as a supplement to Holmes 2021 - should do that at some point.
  10. 2021-04-13 14:39 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.699
    Very interesting. I'll see if any more pangolin viruses are on the go.
  11. 2021-04-13 14:40 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.699
    Looking at it this way you can see the relationships in the sarbecos pretty clearly. [shared file(s): image.png]
  12. 2021-04-13 14:41 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.699
    @Eddie Holmes On it! But hopefully others are as well.
  13. 2021-04-13 14:42 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.699
    Really interesting but I haven't fully got my head around it - basically it means that the bat-like NTD is sub-optimal for humans, B.1.1.7 has converged on whatever the pangolin has as an adaptation to humans (given that B.1.1.7 is the most human adapted virus yet).
  14. 2021-04-13 14:45 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.699
    So 69-70 deletion and the 144 deletion provide greater infectivity (and presumably when combined with 501Y RBD and 681H furin site) result in higher transmissibility.
  15. 2021-04-13 14:49 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.699
    Other thing I got today was that the 3 nucleotide mutation in the middle of N that arose in the early Italian lineage probably create a new sgRNA - the resulting nucleotide sequence is complementary to the sgRNA transcriptionleader at the 5' end. That 3 nucleotide mutation had been bugging me for ages.
  16. 2021-04-13 14:51 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.700
    The cool thing is that explains the N:D3L (also a 3 nucleotide mutation) in B.1.1.7 - Sheffield showed this probably enhances the recombination with the leader two - so it may be compensating to create more N
  17. 2021-04-13 14:52 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.700
    Had a lovely afternoon of geeky genomic virology.
  18. 2021-04-13 14:52 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.700
    Intermediate host has a complex bat-pangolin recombinant?
  19. 2021-04-13 14:55 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.700
    I think you could argue that the pangolin is actually less likely to be the intermediate for SC2. The original Wuhan was more bat like in its NTD and it took all the way to B.1.1.7 before it hit its stride (you also see the same mutationsin chronic infections - so again that might explain the fitness jump to get there).
  20. 2021-04-13 14:56 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.700
    There could be other NTD point mutations that provide a similar effect.
  21. 2021-04-13 15:01 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.700
    I think that's what I was I trying to say - that the intermediate host is a different species....but has a virus with acomplex recombinant history, like SIVcpz.
  22. 2021-04-13 15:04 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.700
    Or that WIV weren't finished in their engineering job
  23. 2021-04-13 15:09 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.700
    Probably good to keep in mind that GX pango is very similar to SC2 in much of the NTD except IR2 where some of the magic may be happening.
  24. 2021-04-13 15:10 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.700
    Good point
  25. 2021-04-13 15:29 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.700
    I think clearly WIV were really shit at creating SC2
  26. 2021-04-13 15:30 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.700
    GX pango still not nearly as similar as RaTG13: [shared file(s): image.png]
  27. 2021-04-13 15:32 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.700
    Just noticed that dip in early ORF1a - don't know why I didn't notice that before.
  28. 2021-04-13 15:33 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.701
    Looks very similar to the RBD dip
  29. 2021-04-13 16:06 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.701
    interesting region at the amino acid level as well.
  30. 2021-04-13 16:17 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.701
    Very interesting stuff! Might be worth looking at reversions - do we see more of those in the NTD vs the rest of the spike / genome?
  31. 2021-04-13 16:17 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.701
    I assume RmYN02 doesn't drop away like that.
  32. 2021-04-13 16:19 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.701
    @Kristian Andersen Actually they did some reversions and and mutants as will but but I didn't grab a screenshot so Ican't remember the details. I will see if he will send the slide deck or is going to be preprinting soon.
  33. 2021-04-13 16:20 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.701
    Cool beans! And I should add - we all need more afternoons of geeky genomics!