COVID-19 Records

Private channel session 808

70 messages over 9h 0m, 2021-01-15 – 2021-01-15.

A “conversation” here is an activity session — a run of messages with under 60 minutes of silence inside it. The channel had no native conversation boundaries.

  1. 2021-01-15 10:14 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.402
    @Andrew Rambaut - do you guys have any concerns about L452R?
  2. 2021-01-15 10:30 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.402
    I wasn't until you just asked me.
  3. 2021-01-15 10:51 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.402
    Oh boy. What did I do - anything in your data? We saw it yesterday here in San Diego, but Charles Chiu just told meit's at 25% in LA
  4. 2021-01-15 10:56 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.402
    What the hell is going on with this binding affinity thingamajig. https://arxiv.org/pdf/2005.14669.pdf
  5. 2021-01-15 11:10 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.402
    86 with L452R in England.
  6. 2021-01-15 11:11 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.402
    Recent and on B.1.1.7 background?
  7. 2021-01-15 11:11 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.402
    (and I said LA - it's actually Northern California)
  8. 2021-01-15 11:12 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.402
    A few from lineage A with N501Y too: Denmark/DCGC-22492/2020,2020-12-14,A,synSNP:A361G|orf1ab:P286L|synSNP:C2509T|synSNP:C8782T|orf1a b:D2980G|orf1ab:N3651S|synSNP:A11326G|synSNP:C16293T|orf1ab:P5401L|synSNP:A18366G|synSNP:A20262 G|S:L18F|synSNP:G22468T|S:L452R|S:*N501Y*|S:A653V|S:H655Y|S:D796Y|S:G1219V|ORF3a:V50A|synSNP:C2 7247T|ORF8:L84S|N:S202N|synSNP:T29344A|N:D358N England/PHEC-150B87/2020,2020-12-23,A,synSNP:A361G|orf1ab:P286L|synSNP:C2509T|synSNP:C8782T|orf1a b:D2980G|orf1ab:N3651S|orf1ab:T4265I|orf1ab:Q4392H|synSNP:C16293T|orf1ab:P5401L|synSNP:A18366G|orf1a b:L6082F|orf1ab:A6544V|synSNP:A20262G|S:L18F|synSNP:C21658T|synSNP:G22468T|S:L452R|S:*N501Y*|S:A6 53V|S:H655Y|S:D796Y|S:G1219V|ORF3a:V50A|synSNP:A26154G|synSNP:C27247T|ORF8:L84S|N:S202N England/PHEC-150B96/2020,2020-12-23,A,synSNP:A361G|orf1ab:P286L|synSNP:C2509T|synSNP:C8782T|orf1a b:D2980G|orf1ab:N3651S|orf1ab:Q4392H|synSNP:C16293T|orf1ab:P5401L|orf1ab:K5542R|synSNP:A18366G|orf1 ab:L6082F|orf1ab:A6544V|synSNP:A20262G|S:L18F|synSNP:C21658T|synSNP:G22468T|S:L452R|S:*N501Y*|S:A 653V|S:H655Y|S:D796Y|S:G1219V|ORF3a:V50A|synSNP:A26154G|synSNP:C27247T|ORF8:L84S|N:S202N
  9. 2021-01-15 11:12 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.403
    Danish one seems related too
  10. 2021-01-15 11:13 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.403
    One in combo with E484K: England/MILK-D74161/2020,2020-12-26,B.1.1.10,orf1ab:L446F|synSNP:C3037T|orf1ab:M1378I|synSNP:C4543T|s ynSNP:G8179T|orf1ab:P2739L|orf1ab:Y3063S|orf1ab:P3767L|synSNP:C12406T|orf1ab:P4715L|synSNP:C14805T| orf1ab:T5131I|synSNP:C19170T|synSNP:C19269T|synSNP:G19509A|synSNP:C21811T|S:L452R|S:*E484K*|S:D6 14G|S:Y1155F|S:V1228L|synSNP:A26927G|synSNP:G28079T|N:R203K|N:G204R
  11. 2021-01-15 11:13 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.403
    Hmmm. Also L18F
  12. 2021-01-15 11:13 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.403
    Yeah just looking at the structure L452R could definitely affect ACE2 binding.
  13. 2021-01-15 11:15 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.403
    All are recent too. I'll put that on the list of "ones to watch". I don't want to do this every time a g'damn mutation comes up! We also need somebody to gather all the informationwe have on the various SNPs - binding, Ab escape, structures, etc. - so we can have a simple SNP table... I'll put that on the list.
  14. 2021-01-15 11:18 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.403
    shared file(s): L452R variant
  15. 2021-01-15 11:19 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.403
    Very fitting. [shared file(s): Screen Shot 2021-01-15 at 11.19.03.png]
  16. 2021-01-15 11:49 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.403
    just tell me when i can update my christmas card
  17. 2021-01-15 11:49 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.403
    shared file(s): image.png
  18. 2021-01-15 11:50 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.403
    Yeah, please keep that confidential for now - the zoo is freaking out... That genome is identical to a zookeeper, sono change of the virus going to the gorilla. We're getting additional samples.
  19. 2021-01-15 12:23 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.403
    Will do - test some monkeys too. Maybe the tamarins. They are my favorites.
  20. 2021-01-15 12:33 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.403
    It'll be interesting to see if the whole zoo goes down with covid....
  21. 2021-01-15 12:41 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.404
    @Kristian Andersen We are building a website that will track 'constellations' rather than variants. Combinations ofmutations of known or predicted importance. Were you can cross cut the data to see where those combinations have arisen and in what contexts (independent of the phylogenetic history).
  22. 2021-01-15 12:44 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.404
    @Kristian Andersen Yeah, that'll be important to have, however, I'd love to have a way to "look up" particular mutations - e.g., E484K telling me it increases affinity and is involved in immune escape - so more on the functional side to make sense of the phylogenetic data. Would be similar to Jesse's 'maps', but with much more information. Not an easy task at all though...
  23. 2021-01-15 12:48 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.404
    Would be sad - my three favorite zoos happen to be in NOLa, San Diego and Sydney.
  24. 2021-01-15 12:49 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.404
    Separately - can I just point out that it's 85 degrees in San Diego today. I thought it was winter..?! :beach_with_umbrella:
  25. 2021-01-15 13:37 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.404
    I'm particularly partial to gibbons.
  26. 2021-01-15 13:51 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.404
    Possibly the second best thing on Twitter today (after Andrew's Variant Rant) https://twitter.com/mbeisen/status/1350181257313882112?s=20
  27. 2021-01-15 13:54 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.404
    Wow.
  28. 2021-01-15 13:58 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.404
    I guess Mike won't be invited to comment on the microbial programs...
  29. 2021-01-15 14:25 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.404
    Pass the sick bag: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/14/theater/lauren-gunderson-the-catastrophist-nathan-wolfe.html?action=click&module=Features&pgtype=Homepage
  30. 2021-01-15 14:37 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.404
    I can't look - ok I'm going to look, but please have look at the "quick" virological post on indels. It's fleshed out A LOT but needs input. Proposed author list is a reverse of PO1 with delBL and addition of ProfBill [for fun] and a couple ofstudents who contributed to the Vero passage. THOUGHTS PLEASEhttps://docs.google.com/document/d/1UMQokOz_gDqE0s9keyI7ES8bC7-55EOFuA4UiznEP08/edit?usp=sharing
  31. 2021-01-15 15:30 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.405
    What do we reckon - a fishing attempt to hack my account? I am sure is a legit email: [shared file(s): image.png]
  32. 2021-01-15 15:36 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.405
    It seems more specific than random phishing. They are definitely targeting you in particular. My guess: someone wearing a tinfoil hat looking to entrap you into some sort of response that will look like you're open to a bribe from the CCP. Maybe you should inquire if the offer includes a "honeypot?"
  33. 2021-01-15 15:37 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.405
    Maybe 2.
  34. 2021-01-15 15:38 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.405
    I hadn't thought of that - I was thinking more of the one I heard about where they give you a fake zoom or teams link which ends up giving them access to your system.
  35. 2021-01-15 15:39 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.405
    But actually the trying to get an incriminating email is an interesting thought. @Eddie Holmes, @Kristian Andersen did you get this?
  36. 2021-01-15 15:39 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.405
    I don't know man - enquire about the excellent honorarium first...
  37. 2021-01-15 15:40 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.405
    ... I didn't receive it.
  38. 2021-01-15 15:40 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.405
    Perhaps say they have to pay the honorarium first into my paypal and then I have some excellent dirt about Holmes and Andersen
  39. 2021-01-15 15:41 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.405
    That's worth at least a hundred grand!
  40. 2021-01-15 15:49 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.405
    Maybe more $$$
  41. 2021-01-15 15:50 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.405
    $100K - can't buy a decent boat for that.
  42. 2021-01-15 15:50 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.405
    I got this a few weeks ago. Deleted it. It's an attempt to trap us.
  43. 2021-01-15 15:53 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.405
    Full slide deck from Ian Wilson's recent talk - quite useful for looking at some of these mutations: https://www.dropbox.com/s/jrxhtnndvf2fdd8/Wilson%20DiscoBio%20Retreat%202021%20for%20DiscoBio%20.pptx?dl=0
  44. 2021-01-15 15:54 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.406
    @Robert Garry I'll take a look the Virological post today. Apologies! It's the summer hols here and I am chilling in the Blue Mountains.
  45. 2021-01-15 15:56 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.406
    Not a problem - chilling in the mountains does sound incredibly wonderful! Any feedback welcome gents!
  46. 2021-01-15 15:58 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.406
    Some of the stuff about the conspiracy crowd should be toned down a bit, but - inspired by Angie R - I put some of itin for now.
  47. 2021-01-15 16:00 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.406
    Will try to take a look over the weekend but it may not be until Monday
  48. 2021-01-15 16:07 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.406
    Not a bad spot [shared file(s): Image from iOS.jpg]
  49. 2021-01-15 16:16 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.406
    AWESOME - Enjoy Eddie - you deserve it!
  50. 2021-01-15 16:19 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.406
    Latest version of the figure [shared file(s): image.png]
  51. 2021-01-15 16:56 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.406
    Got it Bob!
  52. 2021-01-15 17:06 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.406
    ""The Catastrophist" tells the story of Wolfe's upbringing by a father who, along with other relatives, shares aparticular medical vulnerability. It follows his quest as a virus hunter whose early career was spent in Africa and Asia looking for clues to the next major pandemic". Surely it should be "The Bullshitter"?
  53. 2021-01-15 17:16 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.406
    Do you know why GISAID are claiming that they releasing the first genome on January 10th? This is a complete fabrication. A journalist pointed me to it: [shared file(s): Screen Shot 2021-01-16 at 12.14.27 pm.png]
  54. 2021-01-15 17:19 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.406
    @Robert Garry @Andrew Rambaut @Kristian Andersen Massive shit is about to hit the fan.... [shared file(s): Fwd FACT SHEET Activity at the Wuhan Institute of Virology.pdf]
  55. 2021-01-15 17:31 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.407
    Reading it carefully, I see a rather vague set of accusations with no smoking gun. The idea that the WIV were working on pangolins seems totally bizarre. "With symptoms consistent with both COVID-19 and common seasonal illnesses"? Could mean anything. The timing speaks volumes from me...passing shot from Pompeo?
  56. 2021-01-15 17:44 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.407
    Bannon, Pompeo, etc laying the groundwork for the next push.
  57. 2021-01-15 17:44 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.407
    I agree. The statement about pangolins is ridiculous...and then they throw in the military links....
  58. 2021-01-15 18:01 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.407
    From my NYT journo friend "Pompeo is getting ready to join the presidential race in four years, so he's laying all kinds of markers and booby traps to show he's tough on China."
  59. 2021-01-15 18:05 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.407
    That so called "Fact Sheet" seems completely bogus to me - there's no _actual_ information in there other than they did lab work... No specific allegations, no specific data - pure bs.
  60. 2021-01-15 18:08 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.407
    Yup, pure BS. On the subject of BS...why are GISAID claiming that they released the sequence on the 10th?? Their data were uploaded on the 12th.
  61. 2021-01-15 18:17 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.407
    Yeah, I was really confused about that too - I talked to Peter on the phone and he mentioned it. I don't remember that at all, but then again, I wouldn't have checked GISAID on that day. I'm sure it's pure BS - everybody got that fucking sequencing from Virological and your post! I mean, that post has more views than our Proximal Origin post....
  62. 2021-01-15 18:21 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.407
    Plus, WHO say it was the 12th. I remember the chain of events well. [shared file(s): Screen Shot 2021-01-01 at 12.00.41 pm.png]
  63. 2021-01-15 18:27 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.407
    Better evidence is this: [shared file(s): Screen Shot 2021-01-16 at 1.26.54 pm.png]
  64. 2021-01-15 18:28 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.407
    Rewriting history during/following a pandemic - it's the standard playbook. Gotta push back!
  65. 2021-01-15 18:29 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.407
    This Tweet came out and I remember looking on GISAID and I couldn't see them. Then the WHO tweeted the 2nd tweet (above) and they were there. Standard pandemic history rewrite as you say. I'll leave it. Just weird.
  66. 2021-01-15 19:07 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.407
    Speaking of PO1 - we are back to #2 [shared file(s): image.png]
  67. 2021-01-15 19:08 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.408
    I think it's the citations that keep coming....
  68. 2021-01-15 19:08 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.408
    :beer:
  69. 2021-01-15 19:10 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.408
    We were #4 last week!
  70. 2021-01-15 19:14 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.408
    Might owe Mike Pompeo a beer.