Slack / Private Message Drop — page 82
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[Andrew Rambaut]
3 Beijing ones (one environmental). Two have 1 unique mutation each and one has 2.
[2020-06-18 09:26:02]
[Robert Garry]
Definitely explains the salmon connection - Pompeo is all over this - M15 too :laughing: [shared file(s):
659bbfd59640355daafa23a259532eab.png]
[2020-06-18 10:37:18]
[Kristian Andersen]
[thread - ID: 2020-06-18 10:37:18]
Hmmm - those TMRCAs are a lot older than I expected. Since that's driven by so few mutations, do we believe all
SNPs are real?
[2020-06-18 10:37:47]
[Kristian Andersen]
And yeah - clearly Denmark :wink:
[2020-06-18 15:15:34]
[Eddie Holmes]
In basements all over the world people will be looking at Google Maps and drawing straight lines between the fish
market and the China CDC head office in Beijing.
[2020-06-18 15:22:38]
[Kristian Andersen]
Haha
[2020-06-18 15:38:24]
[Andrew Rambaut]
[thread - ID: 2020-06-18 10:37:18]
I don't really know. I think they all come from the market (1 environmental and 2 people) on the same day so it
seems unlikely. Unless this is much bigger than they think.
[2020-06-18 15:39:51]
[Andrew Rambaut]
You probably saw it but here is the ML tree (with an outgroup root): [shared file(s): beijing_11.ml.tree.png]
[2020-06-18 15:40:32]
[Andrew Rambaut]
Weird that the one of them is at the base of that polytomy.
[2020-06-18 15:42:55]
[Kristian Andersen]
Yeah, it's very interesting. Is it really possibly Beijing has had an outbreak for quite some time? As in at least a few
weeks?
I have been trying to create an alignment to look at the individual mutation for the last few hours - I can't deal with
how big the data is these days... :wink:
[2020-06-18 15:46:21]
[Andrew Rambaut]
Plausible: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/18/global-report-beijing-covid-19-cluster-may-have-begun-amonth-earlier-china-health-chief
[2020-06-18 15:47:57]
This is our OCR of the page, with running headers and footers removed. The
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Records on this page
| Record | Date | Type | Pages |
|---|---|---|---|
| slack_pm:msg:00823 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 81–82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00824 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00825 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00826 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00827 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00828 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00829 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00830 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00831 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00832 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00833 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82 |
| slack_pm:msg:00834 | 2020-06-18 | chat message | 82–83 |