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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.82 [SLACK_000296] · slack_pm:msg:00829

Page text: p.82 · original PDF

Date
2020-06-18 15:38
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes
speaker
Andrew Rambaut

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

I don't really know. I think they all come from the market (1 environmental and 2 people) on the same day so it seems unlikely. Unless this is much bigger than they think.

In context

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  1. 2020-06-18 15:15 Edward C. Holmes open
    In basements all over the world people will be looking at Google Maps and drawing straight lines between the fish market and the China CDC head office in Beijing.
  2. 2020-06-18 15:22 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Haha
  3. 2020-06-18 15:38 Andrew Rambaut
    I don't really know. I think they all come from the market (1 environmental and 2 people) on the same day so it seems unlikely. Unless this is much bigger than they think.
  4. 2020-06-18 15:39 Andrew Rambaut open
    You probably saw it but here is the ML tree (with an outgroup root): [shared file(s): beijing_11.ml.tree.png]
  5. 2020-06-18 15:40 Andrew Rambaut open
    Weird that the one of them is at the base of that polytomy.
  6. 2020-06-18 15:42 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Yeah, it's very interesting. Is it really possibly Beijing has had an outbreak for quite some time? As in at least a few weeks?I have been trying to create an alignment to look at the individual mutation for the last few hours - I can't deal with how big the data is these days... :wink:
  7. 2020-06-18 15:46 Andrew Rambaut open
    Plausible: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/18/global-report-beijing-covid-19-cluster-may-have-begun-amonth-earlier-china-health-chief

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