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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.1104 [SLACK_001318] · slack_pm:msg:11510

Page text: p.1104 · original PDF

Date
2022-04-08 07:57
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes
speaker
Andrew Rambaut

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(OK, only P=0.5^3 so far but if BA.4 takes off that would be P=0.0625

In context

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  1. 2022-04-08 07:24 Kristian G. Andersen open
    I'm pretty darn convinced BA.1 infection leads to pretty crappy immunity so a slight advantage in evasion while maintaining R0, well...
  2. 2022-04-08 07:25 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Pretty sure that's what BA.2 did as well (while being even more transmissible - which is unreal!)
  3. 2022-04-08 07:56 Andrew Rambaut open
    The question is, did BA.2 require previous peak of BA.1 to make a second peak? Obviously it would still be able tocreate a first peak in countries where it was the first Omicron.
  4. 2022-04-08 07:57 Andrew Rambaut open
    The other thing I am really wondering about now is the 69/70del - it really seems to alternate in UK
  5. 2022-04-08 07:57 Andrew Rambaut
    (OK, only P=0.5^3 so far but if BA.4 takes off that would be P=0.0625
  6. 2022-04-08 07:59 Robert F. Garry open
    https://twitter.com/JamesCTobias/status/1512421544198348802 Meanwhile FOIA drama continues...
  7. 2022-04-08 08:02 Andrew Rambaut open
    Jeez they are going to be disappointed when they finally get these things.
  8. 2022-04-08 08:02 Andrew Rambaut open
    I think it is probably NIH just trolling them to keep them distracted from their Antivaxx misinformation campaign

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