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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.330 [SLACK_000544] · slack_pm:msg:03472

Page text: p.330 · original PDF

Date
2020-12-20 13:31
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker
Kristian G. Andersen

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Australia managed to do it :wink:

In context

A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.

  1. 2020-12-20 13:29 Andrew Rambaut open
    Worse case would if it had selected for immune evasion, and was more transmissible, and ended up at high frequency, which could make vaccines less efficient and require a higher coverage for the higher R.
  2. 2020-12-20 13:30 Andrew Rambaut open
    @Kristian Andersen Yes. Convelescent plasma from natural infections and vaccinees will be tested.
  3. 2020-12-20 13:30 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Yup - exactly. Under a 'normal' evolution scenario I'd say that would be extremely unlikely - however, in this particular case, I'm not so sure.
  4. 2020-12-20 13:31 Andrew Rambaut open
    Exactly. Basically it would be best to knock it out but that is likely too late.
  5. 2020-12-20 13:31 Kristian G. Andersen
    Australia managed to do it :wink:
  6. 2020-12-20 13:32 Kristian G. Andersen open
    But yeah - we're not going to be able to completely stop this now - sure, put the brakes on, but we'll likely see this become the dominant lineage over the next few months.
  7. 2020-12-20 13:32 Andrew Rambaut open
    Best we can hope for is that it isn't more transmissible and gets eliminated by the new lock down measures. A worse case is that the measures knock every thing else out.
  8. 2020-12-20 13:33 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Yup!
  9. 2020-12-20 13:33 Andrew Rambaut open
    I hope it turns out we are wrong and it is not transmissible - it is the right decision not to wait to find out I think.

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