COVID-19 Records

Chat message

Slack / Private Message Drop, p.330 [SLACK_000544] · slack_pm:msg:03475

Page text: p.330 · original PDF

Date
2020-12-20 13:33
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker
Kristian G. Andersen

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

Yup!

In context

A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.

  1. 2020-12-20 13:31 Andrew Rambaut open
    Exactly. Basically it would be best to knock it out but that is likely too late.
  2. 2020-12-20 13:31 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Australia managed to do it :wink:
  3. 2020-12-20 13:32 Kristian G. Andersen open
    But yeah - we're not going to be able to completely stop this now - sure, put the brakes on, but we'll likely see this become the dominant lineage over the next few months.
  4. 2020-12-20 13:32 Andrew Rambaut open
    Best we can hope for is that it isn't more transmissible and gets eliminated by the new lock down measures. A worse case is that the measures knock every thing else out.
  5. 2020-12-20 13:33 Kristian G. Andersen
    Yup!
  6. 2020-12-20 13:33 Andrew Rambaut open
    I hope it turns out we are wrong and it is not transmissible - it is the right decision not to wait to find out I think.
  7. 2020-12-20 13:35 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Agreed - this is a perfect example where we can't wait for scientific certainty, but need to react immediately anddecisively. No pussyfooting around. Also, I find it hilarious that we find ourselves in 1/"Virologists look at a mutation and assume it is adaptive,evolutionary biologists assume it isn't. Neither are right all the time" :wink:
  8. 2020-12-20 14:11 Edward C. Holmes open
    That is weird. The Australian (from Victoria) cluster didn't take off but the circumstances here are not like US/Europe because there is strong intervention. The lineage that did take off in Victoria a little later did so because it was associated with a super-spreading event.
  9. 2020-12-20 14:12 Edward C. Holmes open
    As if by magic: [shared file(s): Victoria_trends.pdf]

Full conversation →