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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.330 [SLACK_000544] · slack_pm:msg:03468

Page text: p.330 · original PDF

Date
2020-12-20 13:29
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes
speaker
Andrew Rambaut
Topics
Vaccines

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

Worse case would if it had selected for immune evasion, and was more transmissible, and ended up at high frequency, which could make vaccines less efficient and require a higher coverage for the higher R.

Extracted statements

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StatementGradeAttributionStance
Worse case would if it had selected for immune evasion, and was more transmissible, and ended up at high frequency, which could make vaccines less efficient and require a higher coverage for the higher R. own voice, substantive speaker_own asserts

In context

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  1. 2020-12-20 13:26 Andrew Rambaut open
    I have brought this up a few times but I still don't think people get it.
  2. 2020-12-20 13:26 Andrew Rambaut open
    I am leaving it until the lab work is done.
  3. 2020-12-20 13:27 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Yeah, same here - until I see data, no point in speculating, however, let's not trust our priors 100%
  4. 2020-12-20 13:28 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Do you know if Wendy is going to be able to test neutralization from vaccinees in addition to convalescent patients?
  5. 2020-12-20 13:29 Andrew Rambaut
    Worse case would if it had selected for immune evasion, and was more transmissible, and ended up at high frequency, which could make vaccines less efficient and require a higher coverage for the higher R.
  6. 2020-12-20 13:30 Andrew Rambaut open
    @Kristian Andersen Yes. Convelescent plasma from natural infections and vaccinees will be tested.
  7. 2020-12-20 13:30 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Yup - exactly. Under a 'normal' evolution scenario I'd say that would be extremely unlikely - however, in this particular case, I'm not so sure.
  8. 2020-12-20 13:31 Andrew Rambaut open
    Exactly. Basically it would be best to knock it out but that is likely too late.
  9. 2020-12-20 13:31 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Australia managed to do it :wink:

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