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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.1030 [SLACK_001244] · slack_pm:msg:10766

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Long list. Generally the people you might expect.

In context

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2021-11-25 12:33 Edward C. Holmes open

Pfizer were bragging they could get it ready in 100 days...I guess that's not deployable stocks though.
2021-11-25 12:39 Kristian G. Andersen open

@Eddie Holmes - the graph is based on SGTF, not sequencing, so not nearly as biased. That said, it's still biased and it simply can't be correct.
2021-11-25 12:43 Kristian G. Andersen open

If we assume Delta has an R0 of 6, eyeballing that graph would put B.1.1.529 at, what, 15-20? Can't be right. Problem is, it doesn't even have to be that bad - something with increased R0 over Delta would itself be deeply problematic since we can't get control of Delta as it is. If we then add what is sure to be additional immune escape (possibly near-complete), it'd be disastrous.So I'm just going to hope that it's all a fluke and that it actually has a significantly lower R0 than Delta because of that weird RBD and then it won't be able to compete.
2021-11-25 12:46 Kristian G. Andersen open

@Andrew Rambaut - who's on the WHO committee?
2021-11-25 12:50 Andrew Rambaut

Long list. Generally the people you might expect.