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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.798 [SLACK_001012] · slack_pm:msg:08294

Page text: p.798 · original PDF

Date
2021-05-13 14:13
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes
speaker
Andrew Rambaut

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

That doesn't feel like the virus being more transmissible - that is like lots of viruses entering some very high transmission populations.

In context

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  1. 2021-05-13 14:12 Andrew Rambaut open
    But imports into UK basically started in March and Indian samples only appeared in Feb.
  2. 2021-05-13 14:12 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Yup, saw that - similar to CA variant which may well be a dud.
  3. 2021-05-13 14:13 Andrew Rambaut open
    But the full diversity is being imported into UK.
  4. 2021-05-13 14:13 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Became HUGELY prevalent during the surge, but it was surge-driven, not mutation-driven (most likely)
  5. 2021-05-13 14:13 Andrew Rambaut
    That doesn't feel like the virus being more transmissible - that is like lots of viruses entering some very high transmission populations.
  6. 2021-05-13 14:13 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Hmmm
  7. 2021-05-13 14:14 Andrew Rambaut open
    But it has P681R so is very plausibly more transmissible
  8. 2021-05-13 14:14 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Not necessarily though - if e.g., P681R explains the increased transmissibility, then you'd see the full diversity
  9. 2021-05-13 14:14 Kristian G. Andersen open
    No?

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