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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.626 [SLACK_000840] · slack_pm:msg:06558

Page text: p.626 · original PDF

Date
2021-03-24 05:10
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes
speaker
Andrew Rambaut

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Cause that matters

In context

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  1. 2021-03-24 05:08 Andrew Rambaut open
    I.e., that WA1 was the actual lab escape
  2. 2021-03-24 05:08 Robert F. Garry open
    This is really SC1 all over again. Hard to find SC1 in the wild but occasionally you find clusters in animals brought tomarket. 95% bat viruses {are there closer ones?] found but SC2 only are found in civets, raccoon dogs andoccasional badgers. These are animals brought to MARKET-what you do you find are clusters of infected animals. Such a SC2 cluster could have seeded the C19 pandemic - traders brought a group of animals to Wuhan - during transport SC2 lineage A spread - may have picked up the lineage B mutations. Lineage A animal sent to nonHuananMarket; Lineae B animal sent to Huanan market.
  3. 2021-03-24 05:09 Robert F. Garry open
    "WA1 was the actual lab escape" This is the crux of it!
  4. 2021-03-24 05:10 Andrew Rambaut open
    That's what I would argue if I was wearing a tin foil hat. It is 3 SNPs closer to RaTG13
  5. 2021-03-24 05:10 Andrew Rambaut
    Cause that matters
  6. 2021-03-24 05:11 Robert F. Garry open
    You would have to argue that WA1 escaped from the lab - lit a mini-burst wherein it picked up the 3 lineage B mutations then by incredible coincidence landed in the Huanan market animal stalls where it really took off.
  7. 2021-03-24 05:14 Robert F. Garry open
    Agree that WA1 is very important!
  8. 2021-03-24 05:27 Robert F. Garry open
    IIRC there is published epi info that at least some of the lineage A cases frequented wet markets.
  9. 2021-03-24 05:43 Robert F. Garry open
    The civet viruses from the second SC1 outbreak differed by a few snps from the civet viruses that started the first large SC1 outbreak, which is of course not surprising.

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