A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it
answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.
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So I agree that B117 will come to dominate quickly. BUT what if B.1.351 comes into play? Will both circulate, will one replace the other? I'm kinda "rooting" for B117.
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Yes, a replicatory advantage of B.1.1.7 over B.1.351 would be bloody useful!
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The Novavax is a fucking wakeup call like no other - the lack of urgency is disturbing. I don't think most people understand exactly how problematic that is - including vaccine makers and immunologists. "We want perfect data first!". Nope. Fucking move!
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I'm pretty certain B117 will win out first, but as immunity builds up, probably some of these other lineages - OR B117will simply pick up those mutations and continue to dominate. Will be very interesting to watch (and, of course,linages X, Y, Z coming down the pipe....)
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2021-01-29 12:48
Edward C. Holmes
Definitely more lineages coming to a place near you soon. It was striking that people just seemed to want to hear the'89%' good news from the Novavax UK trial and not think about the SA data.
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Yes indeed Eddie - it's distressing. J and J efficacy starting off lower than Novavax.
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I think people just can't handle bad news by now, so they simply chose to ignore it - delusional, but understandable.I have a PhD in bad news, so I'm all good.