COVID-19 Records

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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.336 [SLACK_000550] · slack_pm:msg:03532

Page text: p.336 · original PDF

Date
2020-12-21 14:31
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes
speaker
Andrew Rambaut

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

(most 501Y from Wales are this lineage at the moment but it is changing)

In context

A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.

  1. 2020-12-21 14:30 Andrew Rambaut open
    Very confusingly (and coincidentally) it is lineage B.1.1.70
  2. 2020-12-21 14:30 Andrew Rambaut open
    Here are all the mutations from Wuhan: Spike D614G, Spike N501Y, N G204R, N Q9H, N R203K, NS3 Y156C, NS7a T14I, NSP3 H1539Y, NSP3 S126L, NSP5 G71S, NSP5 P132L, NSP12 P323L, NSP15 A217V, NSP15 M271I, NSP15 T33I
  3. 2020-12-21 14:30 Andrew Rambaut open
    EPI_ISL_710967
  4. 2020-12-21 14:30 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Awesome - thanks
  5. 2020-12-21 14:31 Andrew Rambaut
    (most 501Y from Wales are this lineage at the moment but it is changing)
  6. 2020-12-21 14:31 Andrew Rambaut open
    So no other spikes apart from 614G but everyone has one of those these days
  7. 2020-12-21 14:36 Kristian G. Andersen open
    That's interesting about the Wales lineage - so if that's really spreading fast too and we believe there's a causalrelationship, then it's down to N501Y - potentially with D614G, but as you say, they all have that one (including that earlier cluster in Australia that didn't go anywhere).
  8. 2020-12-21 14:42 Robert F. Garry open
    guess not - color blind
  9. 2020-12-21 14:57 Andrew Rambaut open
    My feeling is the Welsh cluster isn't growing at the same rate. It is at least as old but hasn't taken over or spread toother places. Also may have been amplified by some hospital outbreaks.

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