A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it
answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.
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@Kristian Andersen They also used my quote out of context...I was just referring to some of those shonky studies, particularly the Indian-origin one.
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Yeah, clearly a lot more cases going around at that time than was appreciated - and obviously not (directly) linked tothe seafood market. We don't really see any evidence of other "WA1" lineages in Wuhan, do we? All those early ones were "Hu-1"?
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Probable scenario - ongoing undetected transmission in Wuhan building up, then a big super spreading event at the seafood market where it gets detected. Cases following are then connected to that event and most genomes are sequenced from the super spreading event, but not the emergence. Makes sense I think
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The emergence itself could have been anywhere, but transmission probably got going in Wuhan (but not at the seafood market - that's a SSE)
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2020-12-06 12:07
Kristian G. Andersen
"Anywhere [in China]"
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Total sense and I fully agree. I suspect the emergence event took place elsewhere and was imported into Wuhan.
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Can you just summarise where the root should fall? I didn't follow all that chain.
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WA1
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And by WA1 we mean a haplotype identical to WA1 that was in Wuhan before the 15th January