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Slack / Private Message Drop, pp.1008-1009 [SLACK_001222] · slack_pm:msg:10528

Page text: p.1008, p.1009 · original PDF

Date
2021-09-29 04:36
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker
Robert F. Garry
Topics
Testing and surveillanceWuhan Institute of Virology collaboration

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

>> Over 2019 the number of procurement contracts for the test is required for COVID-19 - the PCR test -- suggests the virus was highly likely to be spreading virulently in Wuhan, China as early as the summer of 2019. >> The total spent on PCR test systems in Hubei province increased from 2015 to 2018, but a dramatic increase was witnessed in 2019: 10.1M Yuan (2015); 19.1M Yuan (2016); 29.1M Yuan (2017); 36.7M Yuan (2018); and 67.4M Yuan (2019). The total 2019 contract value is higher than the sum of the previous two years. >> These are the Chinese groups that made the significant and abnormal purchases of PCR equipment in 2019: Wuhan by the People's Liberation Army Airborne Army Hospital (May 2019), The Wuhan Institute of Virology (Nov 2019), the Wuhan University of Science and Technology (Oct 2019) and the Hubei Province Districts Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (May-Dec 2019). October was the month that saw the most total PCR purchases. >> The researchers collected 1716 PCR procurement contracts from 2007 to the end of 2019 in Hubei province. And by comparison the monthly average of PCR purchases in other provinces didn't dramatically rise in 2019, per the study.

Extracted statements

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StatementGradeAttributionStance
>> Over 2019 the number of procurement contracts for the test is required for COVID-19 - the PCR test -- suggests the virus was highly likely to be spreading virulently in Wuhan, China as early as the summer of 2019. >> The total spent on PCR test systems in Hubei province increased from 2015 to 2018, but a dramatic increase was witnessed in 2019: 10.1M Yuan (2015); 19.1M Yuan (2016); 29.1M Yuan (2017); 36.7M Yuan (2018); and 67.4M Yuan (2019). quoted / not their view quoted_external message body appears to be pasted content asserts
The total 2019 contract value is higher than the sum of the previous two years. >> These are the Chinese groups that made the significant and abnormal purchases of PCR equipment in 2019: Wuhan by the People's Liberation Army Airborne Army Hospital (May 2019), The Wuhan Institute of Virology (Nov 2019), the Wuhan University of Science and Technology (Oct 2019) and the Hubei Province Districts Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (May-Dec 2019). quoted / not their view quoted_external message body appears to be pasted content asserts

In context

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  1. 2021-09-29 04:31 Robert F. Garry open
    My understanding is it's spending per year so not cumulative - just increases- let''s see what Sanjay says.
  2. 2021-09-29 04:36 Robert F. Garry
    >> Over 2019 the number of procurement contracts for the test is required for COVID-19 - the PCR test -- suggests the virus was highly likely to be spreading virulently in Wuhan, China as early as the summer of 2019. >> The total spent on PCR test systems in Hubei province increased from 2015 to 2018, but a dramatic increase was witnessed in 2019: 10.1M Yuan (2015); 19.1M Yuan (2016); 29.1M Yuan (2017); 36.7M Yuan (2018); and 67.4M Yuan (2019). The total 2019 contract value is higher than the sum of the previous two years. >> These are the Chinese groups that made the significant and abnormal purchases of PCR equipment in 2019: Wuhan by the People's Liberation Army Airborne Army Hospital (May 2019), The Wuhan Institute of Virology (Nov 2019), the Wuhan University of Science and Technology (Oct 2019) and the Hubei Province Districts Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (May-Dec 2019). October was the month that saw the most total PCR purchases. >> The researchers collected 1716 PCR procurement contracts from 2007 to the end of 2019 in Hubei province. And by comparison the monthly average of PCR purchases in other provinces didn't dramatically rise in 2019, per the study.
  3. 2021-09-29 04:47 Andrew Rambaut open
    You definitely don't use PCR for anything but COVID
  4. 2021-09-29 04:47 Robert F. Garry open
    The whole thing is rather fishy though. What does "procurement contracts for the test" mean?
  5. 2021-09-29 04:50 Andrew Rambaut open
    By the way - your graph has the y axis in Yaun x 10-6 which isn't really that much money :wink:
  6. 2021-09-29 04:51 Andrew Rambaut open
    Anyway - you said before that this was for equipment? I think Sanjay or whoever misunderstands that a 'PCR test' isbasically reagents.

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