Slack / Private Message Drop — page 1008

[2021-09-28 15:35:14] [Eddie Holmes] So they bought the PCR machines before the database was taken down. Clever! [2021-09-28 23:33:20] [Andrew Rambaut] They put an R^2 for a plot of something against time? [2021-09-28 23:33:43] [Andrew Rambaut] That is bonkers [2021-09-28 23:35:17] [Andrew Rambaut] Oh - that's you that did the R^2, @Robert Garry - sorry. Didn't mean to suggest it was inappropriate. [2021-09-28 23:36:37] [Andrew Rambaut] If it wasn't for the pesky 2019 value the R^2 would be 0.99 or something. So the 2019 value is definitely super significant. [2021-09-28 23:38:33] [Andrew Rambaut] I assume this is cumulative spending? I.e., 10M per year up until 2019 when they spent 30M? [2021-09-28 23:39:47] [Andrew Rambaut] [thread - ID: 2021-09-28 23:39:47] Do we know when the financial year spans in China? Could this be 2019/2020 and actually include some pandemic spending? [2021-09-28 23:41:25] [Andrew Rambaut] [thread - ID: 2021-09-28 23:39:47] @Andrew Rambaut So probably not... `In China, the fiscal year for all entities is *the calendar year, 1 January to 31 December*, and applies to the tax year, statutory year, and planning year.` [2021-09-29 04:31:51] [Robert Garry] My understanding is it's spending per year so not cumulative - just increases- let''s see what Sanjay says. [2021-09-29 04:36:33] [Robert Garry] >> Over 2019 the number of procurement contracts for the test is required for COVID-19 - the PCR test -- suggests the virus was highly likely to be spreading virulently in Wuhan, China as early as the summer of 2019. >> The total spent on PCR test systems in Hubei province increased from 2015 to 2018, but a dramatic increase was witnessed in 2019: 10.1M Yuan (2015); 19.1M Yuan (2016); 29.1M Yuan (2017); 36.7M Yuan (2018); and 67.4M Yuan (2019). The total 2019 contract value is higher than the sum of the previous two years. >> These are the Chinese groups that made the significant and abnormal purchases of PCR equipment in 2019: Wuhan by the People's Liberation Army Airborne Army Hospital (May 2019), The Wuhan Institute of Virology (Nov 2019), the Wuhan University of Science and Technology (Oct 2019) and the Hubei Province Districts Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (May-Dec 2019). October was the month that saw the most total PCR purchases.