COVID-19 Records

Chat message

Slack / Private Message Drop, p.373 [SLACK_000587] · slack_pm:msg:03886

Page text: p.373 · original PDF

Date
2021-01-09 15:56
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes
speaker
Andrew Rambaut

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

But there is not one of these mutations that haven't cropped up numerous times before (and that is just the times wesaw it in the sequences). I think what is new is the combinations. And as you say, that is just a numbers game.

In context

A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.

  1. 2021-01-09 14:55 Edward C. Holmes open
    I'm not sure it's a 'phase change' driven by immune selection. If that were the case wouldn't we see more reinfection than we are seeing? I wonder if its just that there is more diversity because there are more cases than there have ever been. The virus population is growing rapidly.
  2. 2021-01-09 15:54 Andrew Rambaut open
    I agree, Eddie (except possibly for parts of Brazil where infection rates from previous peaks were already high). Butit just feels like something is going on.
  3. 2021-01-09 15:56 Andrew Rambaut
    But there is not one of these mutations that haven't cropped up numerous times before (and that is just the times wesaw it in the sequences). I think what is new is the combinations. And as you say, that is just a numbers game.

Full conversation →