COVID-19 Records

Private channel session 784

3 messages over 1h 0m, 2021-01-09 – 2021-01-09.

A “conversation” here is an activity session — a run of messages with under 60 minutes of silence inside it. The channel had no native conversation boundaries.

  1. 2021-01-09 14:55 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.373
    I'm not sure it's a 'phase change' driven by immune selection. If that were the case wouldn't we see more reinfection than we are seeing? I wonder if its just that there is more diversity because there are more cases than there have ever been. The virus population is growing rapidly.
  2. 2021-01-09 15:54 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.373
    I agree, Eddie (except possibly for parts of Brazil where infection rates from previous peaks were already high). Butit just feels like something is going on.
  3. 2021-01-09 15:56 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.373
    But there is not one of these mutations that haven't cropped up numerous times before (and that is just the times wesaw it in the sequences). I think what is new is the combinations. And as you say, that is just a numbers game.