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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.104 [SLACK_000318] · slack_pm:msg:01053

Page text: p.104 · original PDF

Date
2020-07-23 08:45
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker
Kristian G. Andersen
Topics
Intelligence community assessments

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

The UK has been playing hard and loose with viruses in the past, so I wouldn't be surprised if we'd see challenge trials from them. IMO, this virus is much too dangerous with too many uncertain long-term effects to deliberately infect people - especially given the HUGE number of cases we have in this country.

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StatementGradeAttributionStance
IMO, this virus is much too dangerous with too many uncertain long-term effects to deliberately infect people - especially given the HUGE number of cases we have in this country. needs context uncertain explicit hedge asserts

In context

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  1. 2020-07-23 08:14 Andrew Rambaut open
    I am talking to Wellcome Vaccines dept tomorrow about challenge trials. They are considering which stocks to manufacture. I am not that sure what to tell them other than a basal D614G.
  2. 2020-07-23 08:44 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Yeah, NIAID asked us about getting an isolate from a "mild infection"... Well, mild, severe, moderate, chances are they're all the same. I agree on getting something as basal on the tree as possible (that's assuming D614G _does not_ show resistance to neutralization - which is a real concern (e.g., GP A82V in Ebola does that).
  3. 2020-07-23 08:45 Andrew Rambaut open
    Jeremy's preprint suggests it is sensitive to ABs
  4. 2020-07-23 08:45 Andrew Rambaut open
    But I guess the point is it is the dominant form and will remain so.
  5. 2020-07-23 08:45 Kristian G. Andersen
    The UK has been playing hard and loose with viruses in the past, so I wouldn't be surprised if we'd see challenge trials from them. IMO, this virus is much too dangerous with too many uncertain long-term effects to deliberately infect people - especially given the HUGE number of cases we have in this country.
  6. 2020-07-23 08:46 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Yeah, everything is basically D614G by now, so that's kinda the virus we need to make sure the vaccine works against - but I'm not really concerned there's a difference between Doug and Dougless here.
  7. 2020-07-23 08:47 Andrew Rambaut open
    I agree that it is probably unnecessary - just try the vaccine.
  8. 2020-07-23 08:48 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Let's just immunize Florida and see what happens.... :smiling_imp:
  9. 2020-07-23 08:51 Robert F. Garry open
    I could get begind that

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