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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.569 [SLACK_000783] · slack_pm:msg:05940

Page text: p.569 · original PDF

Date
2021-03-05 11:32
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker
Kristian G. Andersen
Topics
Intelligence community assessments

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

I guess these folks didn't take Statistics 101 - especially the chapter on that Tom dude. Or maybe they just flunkedout of primary school.

In context

A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.

  1. 2021-03-05 09:53 Andrew Rambaut open
    shared file(s): Image from iOS.jpg
  2. 2021-03-05 10:06 Kristian G. Andersen open
    That's indeed pretty naive thinking - plus, the RBD can be found across multiple different viruses by now, so clearly this isn't "selecting for human transmissibility". And yeah - infection != transmission (although the former is obviously required for the latter).
  3. 2021-03-05 10:41 Robert F. Garry open
    A house burns down - some people die. Another house burns down and some more people die. The town builds a fire department. Another house catches on fire. The fire department stops the fire, but not before several housesburn. The firemen saved several other houses and perhaps several lives. The firemen are blamed for starting the fire.
  4. 2021-03-05 11:03 Robert F. Garry open
    Hmmmm - good advice I guess: [shared file(s): image.png]
  5. 2021-03-05 11:32 Kristian G. Andersen
    I guess these folks didn't take Statistics 101 - especially the chapter on that Tom dude. Or maybe they just flunkedout of primary school.

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