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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.369 [SLACK_000583] · slack_pm:msg:03845

Date: 2021-01-08 13:42
Type: chat message · slack
recipient: Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker: Kristian G. Andersen

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Wild discussions about this currently - I think it's bollocks. I can't see any single lineage (in the tree) driving enough transmission in the US to explain current surges. Then again, we don't exactly have COG-US...

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2021-01-08 12:59 Edward C. Holmes open

You did. I think the message of the article holds up - mutations are gonna happen, get over it - but I think the title might need some revision ("we shouldn't worry about most mutations, but some will be a fucking pain"). At leastvirulence hasn't changed.
2021-01-08 13:02 Edward C. Holmes open

John Sudworth from the BBC wrote to me about that crap Science paper...I agreed that it was just CCP propaganda.
2021-01-08 13:14 Andrew Rambaut open

https://edition.cnn.com/2021/01/08/politics/white-house-coronavirus-task-force-reports/index.html Is this bollocks?
2021-01-08 13:20 Edward C. Holmes open

My thoughts exactly. Avert blame by saying it's a super-spreading strain and there's nothing you can do.
2021-01-08 13:42 Kristian G. Andersen

Wild discussions about this currently - I think it's bollocks. I can't see any single lineage (in the tree) driving enough transmission in the US to explain current surges. Then again, we don't exactly have COG-US...
2021-01-08 14:03 Robert F. Garry open

Probably good to point out that SC2 is damn good at super-spreading already. Plus the fact that air travel within theus over thanksgiving and christmas was still about half what it was last year - plenty of fuel for the surge.https://www.foxbusiness.com/lifestyle/us-air-travel-highest-level-since-march

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