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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.349 [SLACK_000563] · slack_pm:msg:03672

Page text: p.349 · original PDF

Date
2020-12-31 06:29
Type
chat message · slack
mentioned
Edward C. Holmes
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker
Robert F. Garry
Topics
Natural origin / zoonotic spilloverFurin cleavage site and molecular features

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

@Eddie Holmes It's the GD pangolin - there's that little bit in the RBD where the pangolin blue line is above the green RaTG13 line in Spike. Not as well resolved as in Lam2020, which threw me off, but I guess that's a windowthing. Will be fascinating to see which bat CoV spike the new Cambodian CoV spike lines up with. Biggest deal stillto me similarity with the RaTG13 in orf1b.

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@Eddie Holmes It's the GD pangolin - there's that little bit in the RBD where the pangolin blue line is above the green RaTG13 line in Spike. own voice, substantive speaker_own asserts

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  1. 2020-12-31 06:29 Robert F. Garry
    @Eddie Holmes It's the GD pangolin - there's that little bit in the RBD where the pangolin blue line is above the green RaTG13 line in Spike. Not as well resolved as in Lam2020, which threw me off, but I guess that's a windowthing. Will be fascinating to see which bat CoV spike the new Cambodian CoV spike lines up with. Biggest deal stillto me similarity with the RaTG13 in orf1b.
  2. 2020-12-31 07:10 Kristian G. Andersen open
    I'm not sure "excited" is the right word - "exhausted" might be more fitting :stuck_out_tongue_winking_eye:. I'm sure all the UK folks must be rolling their eyes - "seriously, the US goes nuts over A SINGLE SEQUENCE?! Really". But yeah P681H is very interesting indeed - and yes, only knocks out one predicted site. Separately, I don't know what to do about B.1.1.7. Surges in the US typically have Rt ~1.2, while declines are Rt~0.8. It seems pretty clear that Rt for B.1.1.7 may be increased by roughly 50% (at least in whatever context it finds itself in in the UK) soooo :chart_with_upwards_trend:
  3. 2020-12-31 07:11 Andrew Rambaut open
    The way I see it is that the US is a test of the hypothesis of 50% greater inherent R.
  4. 2020-12-31 07:12 Andrew Rambaut open
    If it doesn't take off in the US then it probably isn't
  5. 2020-12-31 07:12 Kristian G. Andersen open
    Yup. We'll know within a month or two.... Helix got three from San Diego too, so we might be ground zero

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