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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.341 [SLACK_000555] · slack_pm:msg:03591

Page text: p.341 · original PDF

Date
2020-12-23 04:35
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker
Robert F. Garry
Topics
Lab-leak / accidental release hypothesisVaccines

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I think this is all relevant to PO2 - it's pretty clear that the changes in SC2 493 and 501 or SC1 479 and 487 enabledspecies jumps - per PO1 there are bat sarbecovs that have an SC2 N501 and we know these infect human cells.We know enough about the epitopes and MAb binding and escape to back up Andrew's point on virological that immune escape is driving the changes in the elephants - the problem happens when immune escape creates variants that are more transmissible or heaven forbid are vaccine resistant.

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I think this is all relevant to PO2 - it's pretty clear that the changes in SC2 493 and 501 or SC1 479 and 487 enabledspecies jumps - per PO1 there are bat sarbecovs that have an SC2 N501 and we know these infect human cells.We know enough about the epitopes and MAb binding and escape to back up Andrew's point on virological that immune escape is driving the changes in the elephants - the problem happens when immune escape creates variants that are more transmissible or heaven forbid are vaccine resistant. needs context uncertain explicit hedge asserts

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  1. 2020-12-23 04:14 Robert F. Garry open
    This brings us to Nelly and her cousins. Humans with long term infections are also generating SC2 immune escape mutants. N501Y is likely one of those. It also has the selective advantage that it increases binding to ACE2. I think this is a strong aromatic:aromatic interaction between Spike 501Y and ACE2 41Y, but yeah would like to see that ina cryo structure from Andrew Ward.
  2. 2020-12-23 04:15 Robert F. Garry open
    In Andrew's virological post you see the selection of 501Y - it goes from partial (a quasi-species) to a fixed variant.
  3. 2020-12-23 04:20 Robert F. Garry open
    There are other mutations in the elephants that also involve RBD residues, including a Q493K mutant on the Mass patient SC2 that may be due to the fact that he was treated with Regeneron Mabs. Th other RBD residues are either immune escape/enhanced ACE2 binders or both.
  4. 2020-12-23 04:22 Robert F. Garry open
    The other elephant mutations outside RBD including the dels in the NTD and the P681H near the FCS could indeed be enabling, enhancing replication in their own right or perhaps they are also immune escapes.
  5. 2020-12-23 04:35 Robert F. Garry
    I think this is all relevant to PO2 - it's pretty clear that the changes in SC2 493 and 501 or SC1 479 and 487 enabledspecies jumps - per PO1 there are bat sarbecovs that have an SC2 N501 and we know these infect human cells.We know enough about the epitopes and MAb binding and escape to back up Andrew's point on virological that immune escape is driving the changes in the elephants - the problem happens when immune escape creates variants that are more transmissible or heaven forbid are vaccine resistant.
  6. 2020-12-23 04:40 Robert F. Garry open
    Finally to end my rant - let's not give Baric or Fouchier the idea of making SC1 N493Q + T487Y. That to me wouldbe scary with the possibility of SC2 transmissibility and SC1 CFR.
  7. 2020-12-23 04:46 Andrew Rambaut open
    One more intersting observation: Some of the South African variant viruses (possibly all of them - it seems their bioinformatics pipeline doesn't call deletions very well) have a deletion at sites 11288-11296 (amino acid 3675-3677 in ORF1ab - thus the in nsp6). Exactly the same deletion is seen in the UK B.1.1.7 lineage. I don't know the significance of this. Any thoughts?
  8. 2020-12-23 05:05 Robert F. Garry open
    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7195303/ From this modeling NSP6 looks like a viroporin to me - would have to look at the exact deletion, but most viroporins are involved in virion entry and cytopathogenesis.Same wheelhouse as the RBD and FCS mutations.
  9. 2020-12-23 05:21 Robert F. Garry open
    Covs have other viroporins (E protein) that are virion associated, but NSP6 is likely remodeling cell membranes insome way to benefit virus replication.

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