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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.75 [SLACK_000289] · slack_pm:msg:00760

Page text: p.75 · original PDF

Date: 2020-06-12 15:21
Type: chat message · slack
recipient: Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker: Kristian G. Andersen

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

It should be clear though - airborne transmission is definitely a risk with SC2, but I highly doubt it's dominant.

In context

A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.

2020-06-12 15:14 Edward C. Holmes open

And the NAS continues to tarnish itself by allowing shitty papers to get published...
2020-06-12 15:15 Kristian G. Andersen open

Oh no, what now?
2020-06-12 15:17 Edward C. Holmes open

https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2020/06/10/2009637117
2020-06-12 15:20 Kristian G. Andersen open

I think they must mean 'droplet'...
2020-06-12 15:21 Kristian G. Andersen

It should be clear though - airborne transmission is definitely a risk with SC2, but I highly doubt it's dominant.
2020-06-12 15:42 Edward C. Holmes open

I was worried about conclusion being made on whether people use/don't use face masks. Australia and NZ have had 2 of the most successful control policies globally. Hardly anyone where's a mask here.
2020-06-12 15:46 Kristian G. Andersen open

I think the data is shifting pretty strongly towards mask wearing being (potentially highly) beneficial. But it's definitely not the only way - Denmark is the same. One concern I have about the success Down Under - what's the effect ofweather? I hope NZ and Australia won't sleep on their laurels as winter approaches.
2020-06-12 15:52 Edward C. Holmes open

Oh, I don't disagree with the conclusion at all (I completely agree that face masks are hugely important), but the analysis is dire. There's no weather effect in any of this: climatic conditions play a secondary role when the population is completely susceptible - that's the key factor. Look at Brazil and Chile is kicking off. Seasonality may well evolve as immunity kicks in, but it's not there yet.
2020-06-12 15:53 Edward C. Holmes open

Africa is also kicking off.

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