Slack / Private Message Drop — page 75
of 1123 pages · Bates SLACK_000289
← p.74 p.76 → · this page in the original PDF · package
Gotta say - NYT did a good job on this story about D614G:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/12/science/coronavirus-mutation-genetics-spike.html
[2020-06-12 15:05:16]
[Eddie Holmes]
Yes, looks good. Doubtless the Korber paper will be in Cell soon. I hear there may be more pangolin viruses. We'll
see. I really want to what George Gao has up his sleeve.
[2020-06-12 15:08:28]
[Kristian Andersen]
Would be so friggin' awesome if George could pull this one off... Would make my life a lot easier :wink:. The US is
getting spanked by China so badly these days, so this would be the ultimate slap!
This is a pretty big slap too... https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31278-2/fulltext
(the US abstract version would be "it'll be fine, let's just wait and see".
[2020-06-12 15:14:23]
[Eddie Holmes]
And the NAS continues to tarnish itself by allowing shitty papers to get published...
[2020-06-12 15:15:21]
[Kristian Andersen]
Oh no, what now?
[2020-06-12 15:17:25]
[Eddie Holmes]
https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2020/06/10/2009637117
[2020-06-12 15:20:44]
[Kristian Andersen]
I think they must mean 'droplet'...
[2020-06-12 15:21:16]
[Kristian Andersen]
It should be clear though - airborne transmission is definitely a risk with SC2, but I highly doubt it's dominant.
[2020-06-12 15:42:08]
[Eddie Holmes]
I was worried about conclusion being made on whether people use/don't use face masks. Australia and NZ have
had 2 of the most successful control policies globally. Hardly anyone where's a mask here.
[2020-06-12 15:46:21]
[Kristian Andersen]
I think the data is shifting pretty strongly towards mask wearing being (potentially highly) beneficial. But it's definitely
not the only way - Denmark is the same. One concern I have about the success Down Under - what's the effect of
weather? I hope NZ and Australia won't sleep on their laurels as winter approaches.
[2020-06-12 15:52:14]
[Eddie Holmes]
Oh, I don't disagree with the conclusion at all (I completely agree that face masks are hugely important), but the
analysis is dire. There's no weather effect in any of this: climatic conditions play a secondary role when the
population is completely susceptible - that's the key factor. Look at Brazil and Chile is kicking off. Seasonality may
well evolve as immunity kicks in, but it's not there yet.
[2020-06-12 15:53:02]
[Eddie Holmes]
This is our OCR of the page, with running headers and footers removed. The
Committee's PDF
is authoritative; quote from it. Machine-readable, including the uncleaned
text: /api/page/slack_pm/75
Records on this page
| Record | Date | Type | Pages |
|---|---|---|---|
| slack_pm:msg:00753 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 74–75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00754 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00755 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00756 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00757 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00758 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00759 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00760 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00761 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00762 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00763 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75 |
| slack_pm:msg:00764 | 2020-06-12 | chat message | 75–76 |