Chat message

Slack / Private Message Drop, p.60 [SLACK_000274] · slack_pm:msg:00605

Date: 2020-06-07 13:07
Type: chat message · slack
recipient: Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker: Kristian G. Andersen
Topics: Intelligence community assessments

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

We KNOW we can't predict these kind of outcomes with _*any*_ certainty so we shouldn't even try - especially not when it comes to something this important. And on Twitter? Really?

Extracted statements

Rule-extracted, not adjudicated. The grade says what may be done with each one; read the document above before relying on any of them.

Statement	Grade	Attribution	Stance
We KNOW we can't predict these kind of outcomes with _any_ certainty so we shouldn't even try - especially not when it comes to something this important.	own voice, substantive	speaker_own	asserts

Statement

Grade

Attribution

Stance

We KNOW we can't predict these kind of outcomes with _*any*_ certainty so we shouldn't even try - especially not when it comes to something this important.

own voice, substantive

speaker_own

asserts

In context

A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.

2020-06-07 12:55 Kristian G. Andersen open

WTF? My mild annoyance has now turned to being truly pissed off. https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1269395226541518849?s=20
2020-06-07 13:03 Andrew Rambaut open

Unbelievable. 250K follows goes to your head obviously
2020-06-07 13:04 Andrew Rambaut open

Your man Nate gave him a good kicking.
2020-06-07 13:06 Kristian G. Andersen open

Yeah, just saw that - I'm replying to say I agree with Nate. This is completely off base!
2020-06-07 13:07 Kristian G. Andersen

We KNOW we can't predict these kind of outcomes with _*any*_ certainty so we shouldn't even try - especially not when it comes to something this important. And on Twitter? Really?
2020-06-07 13:09 Andrew Rambaut open

```Trevor Bedford Replying to @trvrb (Keep in mind that my numbers above represent a best guess in the absence of real data. They could be easily be off.)```
2020-06-07 13:11 Kristian G. Andersen open

Oh, really, Trevor? Off by one or two orders of magnitude in either direction kinda off? I'm truly baffled.

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