COVID-19 Records

Private channel session 1606

30 messages over 1h 10m, 2021-09-14 – 2021-09-14.

A “conversation” here is an activity session — a run of messages with under 60 minutes of silence inside it. The channel had no native conversation boundaries.

  1. 2021-09-14 06:20 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.996
    So, the Proline at 681 is important for the O-glycans. S at 681 changes the prediction from three to only one O-linked glycan - as @Kristian Andersen has pointed out this likely is involved in regulation of cleavage - rather than any "glycan shielding." [shared file(s): image.png]
  2. 2021-09-14 06:23 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.996
    Interestingly this is actually a R681S mutation
  3. 2021-09-14 06:23 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.996
    (i.e., a Delta)
  4. 2021-09-14 06:27 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.996
    Of course N501 is the a key residue for cross-species transmission. N501T is a key mutation for minks and ferrets. Serine is chemically similar to Threonine.
  5. 2021-09-14 06:27 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.996
    Mutation of two amino acids (K479N and S487T) in palm civet SARS-CoV RBD allows this virus to infect humans (Li, 2008). These changes overcome the species barrier between civets and humans and enable favorable interactions between the RBD and contact residues on human ACE2. Q493 and N501 are the two SARS-CoV-2 residues that have similar interactions with ACE2 as SARS-CoV residues N479 and T487.
  6. 2021-09-14 06:32 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.996
    R681S - That is interesting - hard to predict the effect on cleavage. The fsc is still there of course, but cleavage could be improved (the S might be a better landing site than the R) or decreased. And, the wild-card of the O-glycans not being there.
  7. 2021-09-14 06:34 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.996
    These are the mutations we are seeing (we are not sure how they are linked as they are environmental samples). The last column is me looking outside the SARS-CoV-2 to the bats/pangolins ```S:R102T (21867:G>C) conserved S:D442N (22886:G>A) conserved S:Y449H (22907:T>C) 449F 449G S:N450T (22911:A>C) 450S (RaTG13), 450G S:P499S (23057:C>T) 499S (Cambodian bats) S:N501D (23063:A>G) 501D (RaTG13), 501T, 501V S:N501S (23064:A>G) S:Q506P (23079:A>C) conserved S:P681S (23603:C>T) missing S:V772A (23877:T>C) conserved S:Q779L (23898:A>T) conserved S:L828I (24044:C>A) conserved S:G932D (24357:G>A) conserved S:S937A (24371:T>G) conserved```
  8. 2021-09-14 06:35 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.996
    question is - does any of this spike profile make you think it might be in a non-human host?
  9. 2021-09-14 06:35 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.996
    501D is interesting as it is in RaTG13 (i.e., one of the residues SC2 ancestors lost)
  10. 2021-09-14 06:36 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.997
    For completeness - here's P681R - as discussed previously it changes one of the O-linked glycans [shared file(s): image.png]
  11. 2021-09-14 06:36 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.997
    The loss of furin cleavage and some RBD mutations seems like it might be non-human
  12. 2021-09-14 06:37 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.997
    There are about 100 681S human genomes on GISAID and some evidence of transmission clusters so can't be a totally unfit virus in humans
  13. 2021-09-14 06:40 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.997
    THe FCS will still be there but most likely not as good as P681R. Totally agree about the N501 S or D maybe non-human. That could be spillback followed I guess by another spillover..
  14. 2021-09-14 06:46 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.997
    That is a weirdly mutates spike... Often we see charge reversions, but that's not what's going on here - instead we see several hydroxyl groups? There are more S/T mutations in that spike than the two you mentioned. Novel receptor?
  15. 2021-09-14 06:52 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.997
    This is highly confidential right now but it is from wastewater in a city. It has been frequently coming up over time and has not been seen in any of the human cases in the city (and as you know we do sequence a lot). We are speculating it is in rats or something.
  16. 2021-09-14 06:53 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.997
    The good news is probably that this will be less fit in humans and is not a particular threat (above Delta which wealready have). Would be interesting though.
  17. 2021-09-14 06:56 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.997
    Very interesting!
  18. 2021-09-14 07:06 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.997
    Indeed - that is interesting. As you say, could likely be animals, but yes, probably not a concern in humans compared to delta.
  19. 2021-09-14 07:06 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.997
    Don't rodent CoVs have funky FCSs? Question for Stephen...
  20. 2021-09-14 07:30 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.997
    SLACK_001212 MHV changes its FCS all the time
  21. 2021-09-14 07:30 Robert F. Garry open PDF p.998
    See here - no making fun of my tree. [shared file(s): image.png]
  22. 2021-09-14 07:30 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.998
    Got another FOIA from ae: will be declined again and probably end up in court again. This is what my Uni told me (apparently the Uni cyber security people have kindly collated all my emails for me):
  23. 2021-09-14 07:30 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.998
    And for context, the application was another from Ea. Associated Press. The final scope of the application is: _AIl University of Sydney email correspondence between personnel of the University's Viral Evolution Lab and:_ Anthony Fauci (email address afauci@niaid.nih.gov, AF10r@nih.gov)__ Kristian Anderson (email address Marion Koopmans (email address Andrew Rambaut (email addres: Jeremy Farrar (email address Collins Francis (email address trancis.collins@n Gontaining the search terms "Phytogenic", "coronavirus' to 15 June 2020. uk)_ jov)_ "Wuhan", and "GISAID" for the period 15 December 2019
  24. 2021-09-14 07:30 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.998
    I can confidently predict that the number of emails containing the words - "Phytogenic'", "coronavirus", "Wuhan", _and_ "GISAID" is zero.
  25. 2021-09-14 07:30 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.998
    Ignoring the spelling of 'phytogenic' this is amateur stuff - what useless keywords.
  26. 2021-09-14 07:30 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.998
    Apparently my Uni people corrected 'phytogenic' to 'phylogenetic'
  27. 2021-09-14 07:30 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.998
    When they say 'and' do they actually mean 'or'?
  28. 2021-09-14 07:30 Edward C. Holmes open PDF p.998
    I guess or.
  29. 2021-09-14 07:30 Andrew Rambaut open PDF p.998
    Going back to this channel for this but this stuff about the DARPA proposal makes me even more angry about the DT letter (if it is indeed Baric) - he knew how suspicious a FCS would look back then.
  30. 2021-09-14 07:30 Kristian G. Andersen open PDF p.998
    And his attacks on me for even suggesting we needed to take a look at this. He's a two-faced bastard, that's for sure.