Slack / Private Message Drop — page 1103
of 1123 pages · Bates SLACK_001317
← p.1102 p.1104 → · this page in the original PDF · package
Glad you like it - we went through several versions - ultimately going with a close-up of the Wall of crazy - my original
sketch was too much like a Where's Waldo and too much insider stuff (although I liked it). Science would not have
liked animals in cages on the cover. [shared file(s): Garry Lab Science Cover_Detail_Concepts v2 (2).pdf]
[2022-04-08 07:16:38]
[Andrew Rambaut]
Anyone for BA.4 and BA.5? Straight out of Gauteng/Botswana. Estimated MRCA Nov 2021
[2022-04-08 07:17:30]
[Andrew Rambaut]
Has 69/70del (unlike BA.2) and SGTF (and cases) rising in South Africa. Cases in UK, Denmark, Germany -
probably elsewhere now
[2022-04-08 07:21:36]
[Kristian Andersen]
:see_no_evil: :hear_no_evil:
[2022-04-08 07:22:23]
[Kristian Andersen]
MRCA with BA.1/2?
[2022-04-08 07:22:25]
[Andrew Rambaut]
Tulio is cooking these up in his GOF lab
[2022-04-08 07:22:39]
[Andrew Rambaut]
No - MRCA within BA.4
[2022-04-08 07:22:45]
[Andrew Rambaut]
It is weird
[2022-04-08 07:22:57]
[Andrew Rambaut]
Doesn't look like a new selective sweep.
[2022-04-08 07:23:41]
[Andrew Rambaut]
Perhaps it was circulating all the time but is now in a slight advantage due to the unusual immune landscape in RSA.
Or....
[2022-04-08 07:23:49]
[Andrew Rambaut]
perhaps we are all fucked again
[2022-04-08 07:24:05]
[Andrew Rambaut]
There are details in the UKHSA tech briefing today
[2022-04-08 07:24:46]
[Kristian Andersen]
I'm pretty darn convinced BA.1 infection leads to pretty crappy immunity so a slight advantage in evasion while
maintaining R0, well...
[2022-04-08 07:25:36]
This is our OCR of the page, with running headers and footers removed. The
Committee's PDF
is authoritative; quote from it. Machine-readable, including the uncleaned
text: /api/page/slack_pm/1103
Records on this page
| Record | Date | Type | Pages |
|---|---|---|---|
| slack_pm:msg:11494 | 2022-04-05 | chat message | 1102–1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11495 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11496 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11497 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11498 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11499 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11500 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11501 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11502 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11503 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11504 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11505 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11506 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103 |
| slack_pm:msg:11507 | 2022-04-08 | chat message | 1103–1104 |