Tony's Diary Package — page 422
of 1141 pages
← p.421 p.423 → · this page in the original PDF · package
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24 October 2020
Rapid viral spread in both urban and rural counties in most states,
Cases are filling hospitals in urban and rural areas significantly straining hospital personal- we willsee escalating fatalities.
Cases are again increasing across the Sunbelt with upticks in the North East.
Cases will continue to hit all time highs week over week as the core mitigation efforts and targeted testing for asymptomatic infection
in those under are not occurring.
Current testing and Ag tests have not been aligned to detect the silent spread as universities have done -- Universities
with routine
required weekly testing has allowed universities
to find the asymptomatic cases and isolated those cases quickly and dramatically
decrease "community" spread among students -- the same approach can work at the community level. Slide 2
Daily hospital admissions are higher than summer peak (summer surge led to 100K fatalities), We are now well above those daily
admissions.
There has not been an improvement in CRF since July (when improved by 62%) -- ensuring access to new promising therapeutics is
critical
Increased cases are not due to increased testing but broad and ever increasing community spread. There are no states, regions, or
communities with enough prior COVID infection to provide any substantial protection fram new community spread which will lead to
hospitalizations and fatalities. This is very evident by the rising cases again across the Sunbelt and maving into the North East.
This sequence of events must stop with the initial silent spread with aggressive sentinel surveillance testing. Aggressive testing in the
contagious but
asymptomatic population with isolation effectively contained and mitigated prior to infection of the more vulnerable
community
members. Providing appropriate isolation options for infected individuals from multigeneration households will be key.
It is critical te act now finding the continued source of silent spread, ensuring infected individuals know how to limit their infection of
others and with messaging on universal masking, physical distancing, and essential limitation of public and private gatherings indoors
especially small gatherings with friends and family,
Consistent messaging about masks, physical distancing and hand washing with profound limitation on indoor gatherings especially
with family and friends is essential at this time point -- this is about empowerment Americans with the knowledge
and data for decision
making.
8,600,000/224,2200
25 October 2020
Rapid viral spread
in both urban and rural counties in most states. 11 States are in the red zone in the orange zone (19 total) :
included Alaska so FEMA can check on their capacity
-- cases are primarily Anchorage >> Fairbanks
Testing has been flat or declining
in all but? of these 19 states over the past 1-2 weeks : cases are nat increasing
due to increasing tests
Cages are filling hospitals
in urbarnand rural areas significantly straining hospital personal--we
are now seeing escalating fatalities.
Cases are againincressing across the Sunbelt with upticks in the Marth East,
Cases will continue te hit all tine highs week overweek as the core mitigation efforts and targeted testing for asymptomatic infection in
thase under are netoaccurring. (Lastweek we were up nearly 9k high aver high and with current slope it means we could cress LOOK in 2-3
weeks)
Current testing and Agtests have not been alianed
to detect the silent spread as universities
have dane -- Universities
with routine
required weekly testing has allowed universities to tind the asymptomatic cases and isolated those cases quickly and dramatically
decrease "community" spread among students -- the same approach can work at the conmnounity level. Slide 2
Daily hospital admissions are higher than summer peak (summer surge bed ta 100K fatalities). We are new well abowe these daily
admissions.
There has not been an improvement in CAF since July (when improved by 62%)
-- ensuring access to mew promising therapeutics is
critical
This sequence of events must stop with the initial silent spread with aggressive sentinel surveillance testing. Aparessive testingin the
contagious but asymptomatic population
with isolation effectively contained
and mitigated prior ta infectionaf
the more vulnerable
community members. Providing appropriate isolation options
for infected individuals trom multigeneration
house holds will be key.
It is critical to act now finding the continued source
of silent spread, ensuring infected individuals knay how ta limit their infection af
others and with messaging on universal masking, physical distancing, and essentiallimitation of publicand private gatherings indoors
especially small gatherings
with friends and farnily.
Consistent meeaging about masks, physical distancing and hand washing with profeund limitation on indoor gatherings especially
with family and friends is eseential
at this time point
= this is about empowerment Americans with the knowledge and data fer
decision making.
Adam Silver, Commissioner of NBA, wrote me a nice letter thanking me for
helpingto make the NBA season successful and safe
October 25, 2020 - Global - 42,500,000/1,100,000; USA - 8,600,000/224,2200
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Records on this page
| Record | Date | Type | Pages |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 24, 2020 Global - 42,100,000/1,100,000; USA - 8,500,000/223,400 | 2020-10-24 | diary entry | 421–422 |
| October 25, 2020 - Global - 42,500,000/1,100,000; USA - 8,600,000/224,2200 | 2020-10-25 | diary entry | 422–425 |