COVID-19 Records

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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.137 [SLACK_000351] · slack_pm:msg:01397

Page text: p.137 · original PDF

Date
2020-08-15 10:10
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes, Andrew Rambaut
speaker
Kristian G. Andersen
Topics
Intelligence community assessments

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

Yeah, the time-tree really needs to be ignored - especially if it comes out of TreeTime. For transmissions, we're always just looking at the ML tree and that's how we came to the conclusion that the outbreaks "are likely connected, but we can't determine directionality". One additional (major) issue if focusing on the time tree - we don't have the same sampling period for Baja that we have for San Diego...

In context

A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.

  1. 2020-08-15 10:10 Kristian G. Andersen
    Yeah, the time-tree really needs to be ignored - especially if it comes out of TreeTime. For transmissions, we're always just looking at the ML tree and that's how we came to the conclusion that the outbreaks "are likely connected, but we can't determine directionality". One additional (major) issue if focusing on the time tree - we don't have the same sampling period for Baja that we have for San Diego...

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