A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it
answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.
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Yeah, that's what I thought too - returning travelers and quarantine issues. I should have clarified that the statementI shared is from the most recent Nextstrain narrative: https://nextstrain.org/narratives/ncov/sit-rep/2020-08-14.I'm not sure we can really conclude it's local acquired from this data, but I haven't looked at it directly (so I'm not sure whether I agree or disagree with the Nextstrain folks here...)
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And yes - my concern exactly relates to whether subsampling has taken out necessary context - combined with bias,of course.
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I'm going to ask around about this. At face value it's either a massive fuck-up by the people analysing the data or it'sirresponsible subsampling from NextStrain.
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Whether correct or not, pretty interesting though - especially given the pretty strong political line that this is due toreturn travelers (could be - but I'm also not sure about that...).
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2020-08-14 14:29
Edward C. Holmes
True! I'm on it. Thanks for pointing this out!!
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You bet - definitely worth an extra (careful...) look. They made some conclusions on our Baja / SoCal sequences that are definitely not correct though, so something tokeep in mind (in this particular point, it's impossible to say whether the virus moved South (as suggested), North, orfrom some completely different location). [shared file(s): Screen Shot 2020-08-14 at 2.29.40 PM.png]
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My money is on NextStrain screwing it up.
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And just for reference - here's the wording from our own report [shared file(s): Screen Shot 2020-08-14 at 2.32.03PM.png]
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Bloody Trevor.