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Slack / Private Message Drop, p.45 [SLACK_000259] · slack_pm:msg:00441

Page text: p.45 · original PDF

Date
2020-05-29 01:22
Type
chat message · slack
recipient
Kristian G. Andersen, Robert F. Garry, Edward C. Holmes
speaker
Andrew Rambaut

Recipients on this medium are inferred from channel membership, not per-message addressing.

There is probably ascertainment bias here. It could just be a workplace cluster but animal markets were a flag that got it noticed. On the other hand it could be a live animal source (i.e. a farm or breeder) had an outbreak and wascontinually feeding animals in over the course of weeks possibly to multiple city locations. Lots of possibilities that could explain the observations without having to posit a hidden older epidemic or a nefarious source. Certainly the supposed oldest cases being not linked to the market doesn't mean much.

In context

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  1. 2020-05-29 01:22 Andrew Rambaut
    There is probably ascertainment bias here. It could just be a workplace cluster but animal markets were a flag that got it noticed. On the other hand it could be a live animal source (i.e. a farm or breeder) had an outbreak and wascontinually feeding animals in over the course of weeks possibly to multiple city locations. Lots of possibilities that could explain the observations without having to posit a hidden older epidemic or a nefarious source. Certainly the supposed oldest cases being not linked to the market doesn't mean much.

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