A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it
answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.
-
August 18, 2020 - Global - 22,000,000/773,000; USA - 5,400,000/170,000 I continue to be kept out of the classic press but am getting in through indirect ways. Still have >1000 deaths per day. Scott Atlas now the main person that Trump listens to. I have reached out to Scott to give him a fair chance to explain to me exactly how he feels about children getting infected and the issues with letting community spread happen. We obviously differ here. He and White House feel that we can let children get infected in schools since they do not get sick and we just need to protect the vulnerable in Nursing Homes. Fallacious thinking since there are many not in Nursing Homes who are vulnerable such as obese people, diabetics, hypertensives, etc. ALSO, many reports coming out now about long term cardiovascular and brain effects in younger people who were not NATIONWIDE COVID-19 METRICS. 7-DAY AVERAGE LINES Apr 1 - Aug Daily Tests Daily Cases Currently Hospitalized Daily Deaths Aug 17: 647,368 Aug 17: 37,759 Aug 17: 43,485 Aug 17: 406 60,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Apr) May? dunt Jul?) Aug? Apr dun 1 Aug T Source: The COVID Tracking Project ) 5,500,000/171,000 even sick enough to go to the hospital, and who were merely home in bed for a couple of weeks. ALSO, more younger people dying. Of note, I was the only one of the Doctors in the TF who was noit invited to be present in the Sit Room for the Governors's call today. Joan Baez texted me saying that she now has 3,000,000 views on her Face Book note to me. Her comment was: "Over three million views. Is this fun or what?" PRESS: Healthline Town Hall; Commonwealth Club of California Fireside Chat; Bloomberg Quicktake Live
-
August 19, 2020 Global - 22,000,000/776,000; USA - 5,500,000/171,000 19 August 2020 Data Summary Slow improvements continue and the gains are fragile and mitigation at the current levels must continue until these States are under 5% test positivity and cases are under 5,100,000, Many of the Heartland states are rising to over 15/100,000 cases and must increase mitigation efforts The stall in rate of case declines is primarily driven by rising cases in the yellow states esp C4 and continued high cases in GA, TX, 1D (data reporting issue in CA and TX} New hospital admissions declining significantly -- current rate 3X May rates Deaths remain high as the lagging indicator from increasing due to substantial spread into communities with high co-morbidities (esp the South) and LTCF but should be stable week over week and potentially decline mext week Continued improvements continue across the Sunbelt red states but not the West Coast with cases in CA, OR, WA Continued alert for Hl Strong mitigation must continue to States with improvements in the Sunbelt to drive cases down to less than 5/100,000 and test positivity less than 3% to contain community spread and prevent surge in mortality throughout the fall --gains are fragile and creating another round of substantial community spread before the fall will further accelerate hospitalizations and deaths : concerns remain about school and university opening with background persistently high community spread and further accelerating transmission Wisconsin included -- test +stable, stable cases but improvements seen in Milwaukee COVID-19 Daily Report mnie ea Deant 15, 2018 A, TL AL L,Y, RT WT, a, 1 A, = Cae counts Test peat iwity ra be Mee CONTE DD) conan par dap [7-tes rverege! Peveeetl fevliegg periditce (Joey aver ap) ED a Dhata Bibs ata pai Ere beats pee 9 ede 9 dey age Mere COW 0E aarti pe ila [Pha age I ] i. I TM i" tH ae Re iit rey : ' it I, = i, F : ja om P I i f i ra f f t t I I ae z a eb oe [a ae ee Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 1k =i wm fal Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases wi i=] = 25k I Wh i ilil I TH TTS TATE TH a rial og? oo ha vot Pei ASe a oho oe @ PoP y eee eae hates ee ie ie ie ea CJ Daily Cases Oo -& T-day moving average NATIONWIDE COVID-19 METRICS. 7-DAY AVERAGE LINES Apr 1 - Aug 19 Daily Tests Daily Cases Currently Hospitalized Daily Deaths Aug 19: 680,896 Aug 19: 45,103 Aug 19: 1,416 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 10,000 Source: The COVID Tracking Project Interesting that Scott Atlas announced at a Doctor's Huddle that I was on board in seeing the rationale for his statements. Joan Baez Face Time now has 4,000,000 views re: my portrait and her words about me. POTUS called up Collins and started ranking that Francis and I are hurting him by getting in the way of the EUA for convalescent plasma he was yelling at Francis saying that he and I (and Cliff to some extent) are undermining him. See article in the NY Times today as well as Politico that said that Trump feels that Francis and I are pushing back on the EUA for "political reasons". PRESS: "60 Minutes - Australia" TV; Radio Lab - NY Public Radio - Tracy Hunt; Podcast with Frank Sesno - covered on C-SPAN; IDSA Podcast with Carlos Del Rio; Interview with Der Spiegel (German print); New York Times article by Noah Weiland reports that Francis Collins and I and Cliff Lane are pushing back on the possibility of an EUA for convalescent plasma until more data come in since we feel the current data does not justify an EUA at this point. It reports that we are working with the FDA on this. However, some are interpreting that we are pushing back against the FDA, which is not true. Peter marks is on board with us.
-
August 20, 2020-- Global USA e Becoming really nice pen pal with Joan Baez. e PRESS: Much press coverage of my surgery started by Sanjay at CNN and then went viral
-
August 21, 2020 -- Global USA e Washington Post is writing a story that is intended to be a hit job on Pence and Short. Katie Miller asked me to counter with some statements and I did 21 August 2020 Improvement in care resulting in greater lag in fatalities to cases and hospitalization declines. Increased cases today are hospitalization increasing in 2-3 weeks and increased fatalities in 6-8 weeks. Itis critical to continue to drive down cases now to decrease hospitalizations and fatalities in the Fall Highlighting test positivity rate changes as there is again stability in testing and decreased backlogs making the trends in test positivity predictive again. Improvements are seen across the country except the Heartland and Midwest and some areas of TX Improvements in test positivity across the Sunbelt except NV with continued high test positivity in Las Vegas Florida continues to improve for your trip today including improvements in Miami which had remained stubbornly high. We have weekly calls with the Mayors fram City and County to review impact of mitigations and discuss pathway forward Ageressive mitigation efforts decreasing community spread across the Sunbelt and will need ta continue to ensure cases, hospitalizations and fatalities decline Continued widespread community spread in CA driven in all size metro and Central Valley Test positivity rising in MQ, KS, OK, IL and continue in Hl -- arranging a team to HI for support Test positivity increasing in St Louis and Kansas City Mitigation efforts are insufficient in the Heartland to address the epidemic there and community spread will continue and accelerate with Universities and Colleges returning without adequate planning for identifying asymptomatic outbreaks Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 LOOk Sk 50k Ee ho Sh ay hh Pt I os 2 PP Ph hy AP = ty PEELE LH GOS FPP HPP FF HF PI YP IT Pw Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases © Daily Cases (] > ?-day moving average Fj Daily New Deaths in the United States Daily Deaths Deaths per Day Data a3 af 0900 GMT+8 Zk 1k Novel Coronavirus Daily Deaths ee ia te Lemeeery goat st oe be eg > PP SPO oe aH SF Ce SK ey PSyyeey ee ® Dally Deaths (] & F-day moving average 5,600,000/175,000 22 August 2020 Improvement in cases from 68,000 (7 day average) to currently 45,000 (7 day average) in 4 weeks Test positivity dropping from 9 te under 6 over the past 4 weeks and gain needs to accelerate Hospitalizations declining and next week mortality should decline Aggressive mitigation efforts decreasing community spread across the Sunbelt and will need to continue to ensure cases, hospitalizations and fatalities decline Continued widespread community spread in CA driven in all size metro and Central Valley -- we need to decide between a WA, OR, CA, NV trip primarily focused in agricultural and hispanic communities up through the central valley to WA (continued spread) vs. aMN, MI, WI, IL, SD (rising cases) trip as both with continued or rising cases Test positivity rising in MO, KS, OK, IL and slide 9 shows movement of increasingly high test + in Heartland : will need continued worked with the Heartland with rising cases, test + and large land grant universities returning without adequate testing to define depth of outbreaks and prevention of spread into the local communities with vulnerable residents Providing the major metro curves today where you can see improvements across the board but each curve is different and degree of current outbreak is not predicted by previous outbreak and each curve is different in peak and duration of peak primarily related to degree of mitigation. Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Lases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 LOO 5k 25k NN) cele See PPO 89 98.8 Pe " # ae eye ve e ee opt gf gt oF a a tg? a " *s fe +? un 'e fn Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases © © Dally Cases ("] = F-day moving average = Fy PRESS: Continued coverage of my surgery in press.
-
2020-08-22 00:00
Anthony S. Fauci
August 22, 2020 - Global - 22,800,000/795,000; USA - 5,600,000/175,000 Daily New Deaths in the United States Daily Deaths Deaths per Day Data as of 0-00 GMT+8 3k cal 5 =I a I = a a l E I l z i] I eS 1k I r ij .s Ln a] \I I I Iii . I CANOGA Pa gh gh se Gk hg gt oy ah? dt it ge gh gk gt sh 48 of gk Pah qf nl gr gl at at SLEEPS SPS SSE PPI PO FoF PP PP FSS ® Dally Deaths = -© 2-de (I * ?-day moving average =] Global USA • POTUS called my cell at around 7:37 PM while I was outside on back deck with Chris and Jenny. It was the White House Operator saying the POTUS wanted to speak with me. I could not speak sine Dr. Bielamowicz said to not utter a word until tomorrow (Sunday), Chris answered and gave message to WH operator. POTUS called back and said he hoped I was doing well. I was concerned that he might think I was disrespectful for not answering the phone and so I texted Katie Miller ad explained the situation and asked if she or Stephen Miller could get the message to the POTUS and explain why I could not speak. She teted back and said that VP Pence would take care of it and tell the POTUS. I could not figure out why he called. He could have read about my surgery and was checking on me. Or there is a lot of tension against Francis Collins ad me in the WH because we have questioned the data supporting an EUA for convalescent plasma. They re holding it up until further data are available tomorrow and POTUS is saying the scientists (particularly FDA) are "deep state". He throws that around a lot. Katie thinks he was calling to thank me for saying in interviews that we can get things back without shutting down again. We may never know. PRESS: Australia "60 Minutes" TV interview to be shown tomorrow (Sunday in Australia);
-
August 23, 2020 (Sunday) - Global USA US DAILY DEATHS. 7-DAY AVERAGE LINE ----p NATIONWIDE COVID-19 METRICS. 7-DAY AVERAGE LINES Apr 1 - Aug 22 Daily Tests Daily Cases Currently Hospitalized Daily Deaths Aug 22: 745,339 Aug 22: 46,295 Aug 22: 39,905 Aug 22: 1,024 80,000 60,000 900,000 70,000 800,000 ' 50,000 60,000 TORRES 40,000 600,000 50,000 500,000 40,000 30,000 400,000 30,000 300,000 20,000 20,000 200,000 10,000 100,000 10,000 ie) Apr 1 Jun Aug 1 Apr Jun1 Aug 1 Apri Jun1 Aug 1 Apr? May1 Jun1 Jul1 Aug Source: The COVID Tracking Project G 23 August 2020 Slides of the main original red states with different degrees of improvement : lead by Arizona : but CA, TX, MS, AL, GA must accelerate mitigation efforts to accelerate declines like AZ, LA, FL * Will spend this week working with those states to ensure they continue to decline Test positivity dropping from 9 to under 6 over the past 4 weeks and gain needs to accelerate Hospitalizations declining and this week mortality should decline Continued improvement in mortality rates in all age groups including those over 70--- slide 6 * Will be important te ensure all Governors are aware of the importance of immediate treatment with Remdesivirand plasma Aggressive mitigation efforts decreasing community spread across the Sunbelt and will need to continue to ensure cases, hospitalizations and fatalities decline -- slides 7-11 Continued widespread community spread in CA driven in all size metro and Central Valley -- we need to decide between a WA, OR, CA, NV trip primarily focused in agricultural and hispanic communities up through the central valley to WA (continued spread) vs. a MN, MI, WI, IL, $D (rising cases) trip as both with continued or rising cases Test positivity and cases rising in MO, KS, OK, IL (slides 13, 14) movement of increasingly high test + in Heartland : will need continued worked with the Heartland with rising cases, test + and large land grant universities returning without adequate testing to define depth of outbreaks and prevention of spread into the local communities with vulnerable residents Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event -5,700,000/177,000 Very bad and disgraceful day for FDA and Steve Hahn and Alex Azar - They caved to pressure from Trump to issue EUA for Convalescent Plasma (CP). Francis Cliff and I among others a few days ago looked at the data and since there was no control and the analysis was post hoc with end points that were NOT predetermined, we could not say that there was any effect. When they tortured the data, they came up with a 35% decrease in deaths among people 3 days from dx, .80 years old and not on ventilator. Very narrow group. We had agreed to wait for further data from the same Mayo Clinic study to do a predetermined end point analysis to see if it strengthened the original data. The new data was collected, but before we could see it, Mark Meadows decided to "break the log jam" and got Steve Hahn and Alex to cave in and issue the EUA tonight, the night before the beginning of the GOP convention tomorrow night. I am afraid that this will happen with the upcoming vaccine trials. PRESS: New York Times and Washington Post coverage of old statements by me and Francis and Cliff about our skepticism of the EUA data
-
August 24, 2020 - Global - 23,300,000/806,000; USA - 5,700,000/177,000 24 August 2020 Continued improvement in most of the original red states and many have moved to the yellow status but 3 red states TX, SC, MS need to expand mitigation to drive down cases along with GA (M5, GA, And TX account for the highest cases/100,000 slide 2) = Will spend this week working with thoge states to ensure: they continue to decline Test positivity dropping from 9 to under 6 over the past 4 weeks and gain needs to accelerate -- slide 5 Hospitalizations declining and this week mortality should decline Continued improvement in mortality rates in all age groups including those over 70 --slide 7 Will be important to ensure all Governors are aware of lhe ingordance of nnemedigte Leaner! with Remndesivir and plasma Aggressive mitigation efforts decreasing community spread across the Sunbelt and will need to continue to ensure cases, hospitalizations and fatalities decline Continued widespread community spread in CA driven in all size metros and Central Valley moving into eastern OR and WA Test positivity and cases rising in M0, KS, OK, IL movement of increasingly high test + in Heartland ; will need continued worked with the Heartland with rising cases, test + and large land grant universities returning without adequate testing to define depth of outbreaks and prevention of spread into the local communities with vulnerable residents Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event that has taken 2 months to begin to contral-- approx 40% of the deaths have occurred post the Memorial Day triggered super spreading week that seeded the South. Most of the Heartland most likely seeded from residents COVID-19 Daily Report Reported on August 24, 2020 States assigned to groups based on test positivity in the week ending August 19. Red states (>10% positive) Yellow states (5-10% positive) Green states (<5% positive) AL, AR, AZ, CA, FL, GA, HI, IA, IL, IN, KY, LA, I AK, CO, CT, DC, DE, MA, MD, ME, MI, ND, ID, KS, MS, NV, SC, TX MN, MO, MT, NC, NE, OK, SD, TN, UT, VA, I NH, NJ, NM, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, VT, WA, wi WV, WY Case counts Test positivity rate New COVID-19 cases per day (7-day average) Percent testing positive (7-day average) 70000 = -- National ---- Red States ---- Red States 60000 --~ yellow States ------ Yellow States -- G States =------ Green States Pa reen uv -_ Pm 50000 Z a 2 20 © 40000 S sed = 30000 ais c Cc s '§ 20000 g 10 --E =]2 10000 15-Mar 15-Apr 15-May 15-jun 15-Jul 15-Aug 15-Mar 15-Apr 15-May 15-Jun 15-Jul 15-Aug Source: Aggregate counts reported by jurisdictions to CDC. Source: Unified State Reporting Results Timeseries, HHS Protect. Deaths per 100 cases Death counts COVID-19 deaths per 100 cases (7-day average) New COVID-19 deaths per day (7-day average) uw --=-- National ---- National h 12 ---- Red States ---- Red States S =---- Yellow States = Yellow States By ---- Green States rs ---- Green States : S ral @ > 2000 oO q S a o = - 3 1500 a es) a ¥ © 1000 : i Rid °o ry 2 500 a E = 15-Mar 15-Apr 15-May 15-Jun 15-Jul 15-Aug 15-Mar 15-Apr 15-May 15-Jun 15-Jul 15-Aug Source: Aggregate counts reported by jurisdictions to CDC. Source: Aggregate counts reported by jurisdictions to CDC. Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 100k 75k 50k I I I KMPH MD PPD LP GD LD DPD A SY PPS FO SEEPS GSS EP eer Sy yy Pw yy i Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases nr @ Daily Cases) 4-day moving average (J -® 7-day moving average • Got call from Albert Bourla (CEO of Pfizer) expressing concern about AstraZenica likely trying to get an EUA for their vaccine before the big companies (Moderna, Pfizer, J & J complete their phase 3 trials. We discussed what to do. He suggested that he ask the companies to sign an agreement that they will all strive for completion of phase 3 studies before decisions are made. I suggested that we get the scientific community involved who should demand to see the data upon which the FDA would make any decisions. The Nashville, TN Public Defender has established the "Fauci Award": Introducing the Dr. Fauci Award! This Nashville Defenders Award recognizes staff members who embody the admirable qualities and character of the Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Dr. Anthony S. Fauci. Amongst the numerous positive qualities demonstrated by Dr. Fauci which include a commitment to perseverance in the face of adversity, compassion, cleanliness, good health, and concern for the education, protection, and welfare of others above his own personal interests. Dr. Fauci has stood in the face of power and fought back, maintaining his integrity and keeping his mission in the forefront. New Try Global USA PRESS: Article (online today, print tomorrow) in Washington Post by Ashley Parker, Josh Dawsey and Philip Rucker quoting me as defending Pence - Politics Mike Pence hopes four years of subservience to Trump will lift his political future Interview with Julie Steenhuysen of Reuters on COVID-19 vaccine trials; New York Times - Sheryl Stolberg is doing a profile on me and my recent surgery and other things.
-
August 25, 2020 - Global USA Steve Hahn admits publicly that he "exaggerated" the data showing effect of CP on death rate. He originally said that out of 100 patients, 35 lives were saved, which is absolutely incorrect. He now admits that but he does not back down on declaring a positive effect. Data analysis from Mike Lauer and Dean Follmann show absolutely no effect. 25 August 2020 Continued improvement in most of the original red states : hottest areas Rio Grande TX, Western TN, N MS, Central Valley CA Slide 12 shows lighter pink in the Sunbelt but movement up into OK, AR, MO, KS, IA, NE, IL, ND, SD Slide 19 shows the metros with significant increase in cases and many of these are college towns Slide 20 -28 are heartland metros some showing slow improvements Hospitalizations declining and this week mortality should decline and continue to decline if gains across the Sunbelt can be maintained and Heartland stabilizes Continued improvement in mortality rates in all age groups including those over 70 --slide 6 * Will be important to ensure all Governors are aware of the importance of immediate treatment with Remdesivir and plasma Continued widespread community spread in CA drivenin all size metros and Central Valley moving into eastern OR and WA Test positivity and cases rising in MO, KS, OK, IL movement of increasingly high test + in Heartland : will need continued worked with the Heartland with rising cases, test + and large land grant universities returning without adequate testing to define depth of outbreaks and prevention of spread into the local communities with vulnerable residents Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event that has taken 2 months to begin to control -- approx 40% of the deaths have occurred post the Memorial Day triggered super spreading week that seeded the South. Most of the Heartland most likely seeded from residents vacationing in the beach areas with high community spread Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 100k rok agg SP a PP YP il uN MECCA eh a a? at ae ft ot we of oF a? a s eo oy Pe ae Ss =) = Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases = ® Daily Cases. (] "> 7-day moving average See Below from Martha's Vineyard -sionaoud ZTONVH LON 404% > ~ --_-- Tw SS SS FF * mew' MT Hi) iB r it Spain is starting to "explode: New cases daily, per million residents LOO I i March 1 April 1 May 1 June 1 July 1 Aug. 1 Moving averages of new daily cases for the most recent 7-day period. Global USA PRESS:
-
August 26, 2020 - Global USA • POTUS holding more briefings with Scott Atlas and others (Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, Dr. Joseph Ladapo, Dr. Martin Kulldorff, and Dr. Cody Meissner) to the exclusion of Deb Birx. Making it very awkward for her. I have been out of the briefing loop for some time now. • We have been seeing surges that follow crowded events - Memorial Day, 4th of July, and now with Labor Day coming up, there is concern that we will see another "surge" as people move around, travel and return home from beaches, etc. We are playing "whack a mole" Sign in East Village, NYC: f I Ace 26 August 2020 Continued improvement in most of the original red states but increases upinta OK, AR, MO, KS, 1A, NE, IL, ND, 5D More than 50% of deaths coming from 4 states: GA, CA, TX, FL (slide 4] Continued week over improvement in cases, hospitalizations and deaths (slides 6-7) Cases are rising in France and Spain and across Europe but cases have not exceeded their Spring Phase (slide5) Hospitalizations declining and week mortality declining and continue to decline if gains across the Sunbelt can be maintained and Heartland stabilizes Continued improvement in mortality rates in all age groups including those over 7O Ordered the states by the 4 states with red zone test positivity and cases/100,000 Tx, ID, M5, $C then the 17 states with only red zane cases but yellow zone test positivity -- this is a mix of improving states with falling cases (NV, FL,LA, CA, NC} with states with increasing cases (14, 4R, 5D, ND, KS, OK, MO, IL) Test positivity and cases rising in MO, K5, OK, IL movement of increasingly high test + in Heartland : will meed continued worked with the Heartland with rising cases, test + and large land grant universities returning without adequate testing to define depth of outbreaks and prevention of spread into the local communities with vulnerable residents Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event that has taken 2 months to begin to control -- approx 40% of the deaths have occurred post the Memorial Day triggered super spreading week that seeded the South. Most of the Heartland most likely seeded from residents vacationing in the beach areas with high community spread • Big shit show today about the change in CDC testing guidelines where they said if you are exposed to a documented case of COVID-19 you need not get tested if you are asymptomatic. This version was circulated at a TF meeting a couple of weeks ago and we were asked to look at it and sign on. I did so cursorily, made a change but did not grasp the implications of this change that means we put no emphasis on symptomatic spread. The guidelines were further discussed at a Aug 20 TF meeting when I was under general anesthesia for vocal cord surgery. When the shit hit the fan and the public health community went nuts at these changes, Brett Giroir said at a press conference that the TF, explicitly mentioning me, approved this, it got me vey upset. Clearly at the Aug 20 meeting, Deb Birx did not agree (she told me so). Also, I did not give it a lot of attention and I was not in the room for the final discussion when Deb objected. Sanjay Gupta (CNN) reported the disconnect between me and Brett which caused a bit of a media storm. Behind these changes was Scott Gottlieb • Telephone conversation between Peter Marks, Steve Hahn, Francis Collins, Cliff Lane, Mike Lauer, Dean Follmann, and Rich Forshee (FDA) about the basis of their declaring an EUA on CP. We (NIH) feel that FDA clearly caved to the White House and we were trying to examine the data that was the basis for their decision. Clearly Hahn was very defensive and Peter was "hurt" because he thought that the NIH was attacking the FDA. We settled it, but it is becoming clear that Steve is a bit more political than we are. Seems to be star struck about being around the White House and likely caved to Meadows. Who is looking for good news before the election. PRESS: Shit show about CDC guidelines changing and Brett Giroir saying that I approved them (see above) August 27,2020 - • I wrote an email to Brett trying to make peace: -----Original Message-----