A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it
answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.
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August 22, 2020 - Global - 22,800,000/795,000; USA - 5,600,000/175,000 Daily New Deaths in the United States Daily Deaths Deaths per Day Data as of 0-00 GMT+8 3k cal 5 =I a I = a a l E I l z i] I eS 1k I r ij .s Ln a] \I I I Iii . I CANOGA Pa gh gh se Gk hg gt oy ah? dt it ge gh gk gt sh 48 of gk Pah qf nl gr gl at at SLEEPS SPS SSE PPI PO FoF PP PP FSS ® Dally Deaths = -© 2-de (I * ?-day moving average =] Global USA • POTUS called my cell at around 7:37 PM while I was outside on back deck with Chris and Jenny. It was the White House Operator saying the POTUS wanted to speak with me. I could not speak sine Dr. Bielamowicz said to not utter a word until tomorrow (Sunday), Chris answered and gave message to WH operator. POTUS called back and said he hoped I was doing well. I was concerned that he might think I was disrespectful for not answering the phone and so I texted Katie Miller ad explained the situation and asked if she or Stephen Miller could get the message to the POTUS and explain why I could not speak. She teted back and said that VP Pence would take care of it and tell the POTUS. I could not figure out why he called. He could have read about my surgery and was checking on me. Or there is a lot of tension against Francis Collins ad me in the WH because we have questioned the data supporting an EUA for convalescent plasma. They re holding it up until further data are available tomorrow and POTUS is saying the scientists (particularly FDA) are "deep state". He throws that around a lot. Katie thinks he was calling to thank me for saying in interviews that we can get things back without shutting down again. We may never know. PRESS: Australia "60 Minutes" TV interview to be shown tomorrow (Sunday in Australia);
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August 23, 2020 (Sunday) - Global USA US DAILY DEATHS. 7-DAY AVERAGE LINE ----p NATIONWIDE COVID-19 METRICS. 7-DAY AVERAGE LINES Apr 1 - Aug 22 Daily Tests Daily Cases Currently Hospitalized Daily Deaths Aug 22: 745,339 Aug 22: 46,295 Aug 22: 39,905 Aug 22: 1,024 80,000 60,000 900,000 70,000 800,000 ' 50,000 60,000 TORRES 40,000 600,000 50,000 500,000 40,000 30,000 400,000 30,000 300,000 20,000 20,000 200,000 10,000 100,000 10,000 ie) Apr 1 Jun Aug 1 Apr Jun1 Aug 1 Apri Jun1 Aug 1 Apr? May1 Jun1 Jul1 Aug Source: The COVID Tracking Project G 23 August 2020 Slides of the main original red states with different degrees of improvement : lead by Arizona : but CA, TX, MS, AL, GA must accelerate mitigation efforts to accelerate declines like AZ, LA, FL * Will spend this week working with those states to ensure they continue to decline Test positivity dropping from 9 to under 6 over the past 4 weeks and gain needs to accelerate Hospitalizations declining and this week mortality should decline Continued improvement in mortality rates in all age groups including those over 70--- slide 6 * Will be important te ensure all Governors are aware of the importance of immediate treatment with Remdesivirand plasma Aggressive mitigation efforts decreasing community spread across the Sunbelt and will need to continue to ensure cases, hospitalizations and fatalities decline -- slides 7-11 Continued widespread community spread in CA driven in all size metro and Central Valley -- we need to decide between a WA, OR, CA, NV trip primarily focused in agricultural and hispanic communities up through the central valley to WA (continued spread) vs. a MN, MI, WI, IL, $D (rising cases) trip as both with continued or rising cases Test positivity and cases rising in MO, KS, OK, IL (slides 13, 14) movement of increasingly high test + in Heartland : will need continued worked with the Heartland with rising cases, test + and large land grant universities returning without adequate testing to define depth of outbreaks and prevention of spread into the local communities with vulnerable residents Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event -5,700,000/177,000 Very bad and disgraceful day for FDA and Steve Hahn and Alex Azar - They caved to pressure from Trump to issue EUA for Convalescent Plasma (CP). Francis Cliff and I among others a few days ago looked at the data and since there was no control and the analysis was post hoc with end points that were NOT predetermined, we could not say that there was any effect. When they tortured the data, they came up with a 35% decrease in deaths among people 3 days from dx, .80 years old and not on ventilator. Very narrow group. We had agreed to wait for further data from the same Mayo Clinic study to do a predetermined end point analysis to see if it strengthened the original data. The new data was collected, but before we could see it, Mark Meadows decided to "break the log jam" and got Steve Hahn and Alex to cave in and issue the EUA tonight, the night before the beginning of the GOP convention tomorrow night. I am afraid that this will happen with the upcoming vaccine trials. PRESS: New York Times and Washington Post coverage of old statements by me and Francis and Cliff about our skepticism of the EUA data
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August 24, 2020 - Global - 23,300,000/806,000; USA - 5,700,000/177,000 24 August 2020 Continued improvement in most of the original red states and many have moved to the yellow status but 3 red states TX, SC, MS need to expand mitigation to drive down cases along with GA (M5, GA, And TX account for the highest cases/100,000 slide 2) = Will spend this week working with thoge states to ensure: they continue to decline Test positivity dropping from 9 to under 6 over the past 4 weeks and gain needs to accelerate -- slide 5 Hospitalizations declining and this week mortality should decline Continued improvement in mortality rates in all age groups including those over 70 --slide 7 Will be important to ensure all Governors are aware of lhe ingordance of nnemedigte Leaner! with Remndesivir and plasma Aggressive mitigation efforts decreasing community spread across the Sunbelt and will need to continue to ensure cases, hospitalizations and fatalities decline Continued widespread community spread in CA driven in all size metros and Central Valley moving into eastern OR and WA Test positivity and cases rising in M0, KS, OK, IL movement of increasingly high test + in Heartland ; will need continued worked with the Heartland with rising cases, test + and large land grant universities returning without adequate testing to define depth of outbreaks and prevention of spread into the local communities with vulnerable residents Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event that has taken 2 months to begin to contral-- approx 40% of the deaths have occurred post the Memorial Day triggered super spreading week that seeded the South. Most of the Heartland most likely seeded from residents COVID-19 Daily Report Reported on August 24, 2020 States assigned to groups based on test positivity in the week ending August 19. Red states (>10% positive) Yellow states (5-10% positive) Green states (<5% positive) AL, AR, AZ, CA, FL, GA, HI, IA, IL, IN, KY, LA, I AK, CO, CT, DC, DE, MA, MD, ME, MI, ND, ID, KS, MS, NV, SC, TX MN, MO, MT, NC, NE, OK, SD, TN, UT, VA, I NH, NJ, NM, NY, OH, OR, PA, RI, VT, WA, wi WV, WY Case counts Test positivity rate New COVID-19 cases per day (7-day average) Percent testing positive (7-day average) 70000 = -- National ---- Red States ---- Red States 60000 --~ yellow States ------ Yellow States -- G States =------ Green States Pa reen uv -_ Pm 50000 Z a 2 20 © 40000 S sed = 30000 ais c Cc s '§ 20000 g 10 --E =]2 10000 15-Mar 15-Apr 15-May 15-jun 15-Jul 15-Aug 15-Mar 15-Apr 15-May 15-Jun 15-Jul 15-Aug Source: Aggregate counts reported by jurisdictions to CDC. Source: Unified State Reporting Results Timeseries, HHS Protect. Deaths per 100 cases Death counts COVID-19 deaths per 100 cases (7-day average) New COVID-19 deaths per day (7-day average) uw --=-- National ---- National h 12 ---- Red States ---- Red States S =---- Yellow States = Yellow States By ---- Green States rs ---- Green States : S ral @ > 2000 oO q S a o = - 3 1500 a es) a ¥ © 1000 : i Rid °o ry 2 500 a E = 15-Mar 15-Apr 15-May 15-Jun 15-Jul 15-Aug 15-Mar 15-Apr 15-May 15-Jun 15-Jul 15-Aug Source: Aggregate counts reported by jurisdictions to CDC. Source: Aggregate counts reported by jurisdictions to CDC. Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 100k 75k 50k I I I KMPH MD PPD LP GD LD DPD A SY PPS FO SEEPS GSS EP eer Sy yy Pw yy i Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases nr @ Daily Cases) 4-day moving average (J -® 7-day moving average • Got call from Albert Bourla (CEO of Pfizer) expressing concern about AstraZenica likely trying to get an EUA for their vaccine before the big companies (Moderna, Pfizer, J & J complete their phase 3 trials. We discussed what to do. He suggested that he ask the companies to sign an agreement that they will all strive for completion of phase 3 studies before decisions are made. I suggested that we get the scientific community involved who should demand to see the data upon which the FDA would make any decisions. The Nashville, TN Public Defender has established the "Fauci Award": Introducing the Dr. Fauci Award! This Nashville Defenders Award recognizes staff members who embody the admirable qualities and character of the Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Dr. Anthony S. Fauci. Amongst the numerous positive qualities demonstrated by Dr. Fauci which include a commitment to perseverance in the face of adversity, compassion, cleanliness, good health, and concern for the education, protection, and welfare of others above his own personal interests. Dr. Fauci has stood in the face of power and fought back, maintaining his integrity and keeping his mission in the forefront. New Try Global USA PRESS: Article (online today, print tomorrow) in Washington Post by Ashley Parker, Josh Dawsey and Philip Rucker quoting me as defending Pence - Politics Mike Pence hopes four years of subservience to Trump will lift his political future Interview with Julie Steenhuysen of Reuters on COVID-19 vaccine trials; New York Times - Sheryl Stolberg is doing a profile on me and my recent surgery and other things.
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August 25, 2020 - Global USA Steve Hahn admits publicly that he "exaggerated" the data showing effect of CP on death rate. He originally said that out of 100 patients, 35 lives were saved, which is absolutely incorrect. He now admits that but he does not back down on declaring a positive effect. Data analysis from Mike Lauer and Dean Follmann show absolutely no effect. 25 August 2020 Continued improvement in most of the original red states : hottest areas Rio Grande TX, Western TN, N MS, Central Valley CA Slide 12 shows lighter pink in the Sunbelt but movement up into OK, AR, MO, KS, IA, NE, IL, ND, SD Slide 19 shows the metros with significant increase in cases and many of these are college towns Slide 20 -28 are heartland metros some showing slow improvements Hospitalizations declining and this week mortality should decline and continue to decline if gains across the Sunbelt can be maintained and Heartland stabilizes Continued improvement in mortality rates in all age groups including those over 70 --slide 6 * Will be important to ensure all Governors are aware of the importance of immediate treatment with Remdesivir and plasma Continued widespread community spread in CA drivenin all size metros and Central Valley moving into eastern OR and WA Test positivity and cases rising in MO, KS, OK, IL movement of increasingly high test + in Heartland : will need continued worked with the Heartland with rising cases, test + and large land grant universities returning without adequate testing to define depth of outbreaks and prevention of spread into the local communities with vulnerable residents Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event that has taken 2 months to begin to control -- approx 40% of the deaths have occurred post the Memorial Day triggered super spreading week that seeded the South. Most of the Heartland most likely seeded from residents vacationing in the beach areas with high community spread Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 100k rok agg SP a PP YP il uN MECCA eh a a? at ae ft ot we of oF a? a s eo oy Pe ae Ss =) = Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases = ® Daily Cases. (] "> 7-day moving average See Below from Martha's Vineyard -sionaoud ZTONVH LON 404% > ~ --_-- Tw SS SS FF * mew' MT Hi) iB r it Spain is starting to "explode: New cases daily, per million residents LOO I i March 1 April 1 May 1 June 1 July 1 Aug. 1 Moving averages of new daily cases for the most recent 7-day period. Global USA PRESS:
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2020-08-26 00:00
Anthony S. Fauci
August 26, 2020 - Global USA • POTUS holding more briefings with Scott Atlas and others (Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, Dr. Joseph Ladapo, Dr. Martin Kulldorff, and Dr. Cody Meissner) to the exclusion of Deb Birx. Making it very awkward for her. I have been out of the briefing loop for some time now. • We have been seeing surges that follow crowded events - Memorial Day, 4th of July, and now with Labor Day coming up, there is concern that we will see another "surge" as people move around, travel and return home from beaches, etc. We are playing "whack a mole" Sign in East Village, NYC: f I Ace 26 August 2020 Continued improvement in most of the original red states but increases upinta OK, AR, MO, KS, 1A, NE, IL, ND, 5D More than 50% of deaths coming from 4 states: GA, CA, TX, FL (slide 4] Continued week over improvement in cases, hospitalizations and deaths (slides 6-7) Cases are rising in France and Spain and across Europe but cases have not exceeded their Spring Phase (slide5) Hospitalizations declining and week mortality declining and continue to decline if gains across the Sunbelt can be maintained and Heartland stabilizes Continued improvement in mortality rates in all age groups including those over 7O Ordered the states by the 4 states with red zone test positivity and cases/100,000 Tx, ID, M5, $C then the 17 states with only red zane cases but yellow zone test positivity -- this is a mix of improving states with falling cases (NV, FL,LA, CA, NC} with states with increasing cases (14, 4R, 5D, ND, KS, OK, MO, IL) Test positivity and cases rising in MO, K5, OK, IL movement of increasingly high test + in Heartland : will meed continued worked with the Heartland with rising cases, test + and large land grant universities returning without adequate testing to define depth of outbreaks and prevention of spread into the local communities with vulnerable residents Will need strong Labor Day messaging to prevent another Memorial Day spreading event that has taken 2 months to begin to control -- approx 40% of the deaths have occurred post the Memorial Day triggered super spreading week that seeded the South. Most of the Heartland most likely seeded from residents vacationing in the beach areas with high community spread • Big shit show today about the change in CDC testing guidelines where they said if you are exposed to a documented case of COVID-19 you need not get tested if you are asymptomatic. This version was circulated at a TF meeting a couple of weeks ago and we were asked to look at it and sign on. I did so cursorily, made a change but did not grasp the implications of this change that means we put no emphasis on symptomatic spread. The guidelines were further discussed at a Aug 20 TF meeting when I was under general anesthesia for vocal cord surgery. When the shit hit the fan and the public health community went nuts at these changes, Brett Giroir said at a press conference that the TF, explicitly mentioning me, approved this, it got me vey upset. Clearly at the Aug 20 meeting, Deb Birx did not agree (she told me so). Also, I did not give it a lot of attention and I was not in the room for the final discussion when Deb objected. Sanjay Gupta (CNN) reported the disconnect between me and Brett which caused a bit of a media storm. Behind these changes was Scott Gottlieb • Telephone conversation between Peter Marks, Steve Hahn, Francis Collins, Cliff Lane, Mike Lauer, Dean Follmann, and Rich Forshee (FDA) about the basis of their declaring an EUA on CP. We (NIH) feel that FDA clearly caved to the White House and we were trying to examine the data that was the basis for their decision. Clearly Hahn was very defensive and Peter was "hurt" because he thought that the NIH was attacking the FDA. We settled it, but it is becoming clear that Steve is a bit more political than we are. Seems to be star struck about being around the White House and likely caved to Meadows. Who is looking for good news before the election. PRESS: Shit show about CDC guidelines changing and Brett Giroir saying that I approved them (see above) August 27,2020 - • I wrote an email to Brett trying to make peace: -----Original Message-----
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August 28, 2020 - Global USA • Amazing that there were no leaks to the press following the powder attack. Still >40,000 cases per day Confirmed Cases [Thousancs) a0 ie fo oa New Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in the U.S. tg a4 '0 44, i Oo meen 7 oy Mowing Avorage el tay Email exchange with Kellyanne Conway on the announcement of her leaving the WH: Dear Dr. Fauci - What a kind and welcome note. Thank you for taking the time. Indeed, it has been a pleasure working with and learning from you over the past 6 months in the face of a global pandemic. You may be "America's Doctor," but you also are accessible and affable. Thank you for your many kindnesses. I hope you are feeling better following surgery, and that you will heal quickly and completely. God bless you. Always here for you, if I may help in any way. Fondly, Kellyanne afauci@niaid.nih.gov> vl AC@who.eop.gov> KAConway@gmail.com 202-251-9943
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August 29, 2020 - Global - 24,600,000/834,000; USA - ,99,000/181,000 Found out from George Adams and Brett Rowland that similar powdered letters from the same person (from Jacksonville. FL) also were sent to Nancy Pelosi, Bernie Sanders, AOC, Bill Gates, among other "liberals" .
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August 30, 2020 (Sunday) - Global - 25,000,000/840,000 USA - 5,900,000/182,000 30 August2020 Improvement in many of the original red states but increasing cases in ND, 5D, 1A, IL, IN, AR, MO and in the some of the réd states driven by University opening Stalling of case declines and test positivity due ta new outbreaks and high hospitalizatians but the continued slow decline in deaths driven by the improvements in TX, CA, FL, AZ, GA (more than 50% of current mortality) -- need to ensure this new round of cases does mot drive increased hospitalizations and deaths : University students should not be sent hame but quarantined and treated on campus The New Red States (5) of this week's Governor's Report -- Most significant deterioration in the last week : SD with increase in both test positivity and cases/100,000 =-- The remaining red states are all improving : TX, ID, NV, SC The New Yellow States (24) of this week's Governor's Report -- Most significant deterioration in the last week: DA with increase in both test positivity and cases/'100,000 1A has the highest cases/100,000 in the USA -- Yellow States : Deteriorating : AL, KS, TN, IN, M0, HI, KY, MN, NE, VA, MT -- Yellow States: stable : NE, MS, AR, OK, IL, NIC, Wil -- Yellow States : Improving : Az, UT, GA, FL, CA, LA There are 21 Green States = 2 of which are deteriorating : ND (most), Ml The slides 5-7 are last weeks designations as the report will reflect todays designations in Monday's report --Global USA Sunday shows dominated by recent GOP convention and the blatant lies that Trump spewed forth during the convention. Also, to hold a conventin event directly at the White House is a gross violation of the Hatch Act. Concern now about post-labor day (coming up) surge of cases as people congregate. Spoke with Joan Baez today - She wants to use the portrait of me to advertise the need for science and adhering to public health messages. In essence, she wants to use the portrait in PSAs. She really is wonderful.
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August 31, 2020 - Global USA Trump stoking violence (racial tensions) in Kenosha, WI and Portland, OR QAnon misrepresenting data from CDC that says that about 9000 out of the >180,000 deaths reported for COVID-19 had only COVID-19 on the death certificate. The remainder also had other underlying conditions. QAnon is saying that all the other deaths had nothing to do with COVID-19. The POTUS loves this and is tweeting that Fauci and Birx shut down the country for only 9000 deaths. What an idiot!! ust2020 Improvement in many of the origi I August but increasing cases in ND, SD, IA, KS, IL, IN, AR, MO and in the some of the red states driven by University opening -- slide 2 is a comparison of one month ago and today with improvements in cases in the South and the movement into the heartland Stalling of case declines and test positivity due to new outbreaks noted above. Slow decline in deaths driven by the improvements in TX, CA, FL, AZ, GA (more than 50% of current mortality) -- need to ensure this new round of cases does not drive increased hospitalizations and deaths : University students should not be sent home but quarantined and treated on campus -- see slide 18 -- many of the outbreaks in University towns The New Red States (6) truly new to designation is IA bd SD * Most significant deterioration in the last week : IA, SD with increase in both test positivity and cases/100,000 *« The remaining red states are all improving : TX, ID, NV, SC The New Yellow States (24) of this week's Governor's Report *« Yellow States : Deteriorating : AL, KS, TN, IN, MO, HI, MN, NE, VA, MT, NE, ND * Yellow States : stable : MS, AR, OK, IL, NC, WI, KY « Yellow States : Improving : AZ, UT, GA, FL, CA, LA There are 20 Green States --? of which are deteriorating : Mi Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 100k 75k 50k 25k (lll SB ol wh A afb pb Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases at ak ie] Mote ab a ak nt eh ae et gk Fe ae LS ee LY Py A a ne oA » Pr fore Po nae he an > CCCP See we YS ee . we "y rey . PoP Fp ye ye? ee ® Daily Cases (I "+ 7-day moving average See below: Cases/day are not dramatically falling. Looks like they may be plateauing again Got called down to White House to do the Governors's call. \ -- 6,000,000/184,000 1 Sept 2020 Slide Deck organized by states with both red zone test positivity and red zone for cases SD, OK, SC, TX, NV, ID -- SD and OK deteriorating (SD refused both my visit and CRAFT technical visit) Followed by states with red zone for cases AL, AR, GA, HI, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MS, MO, NE, NC, NDTN -- Many of these states were improving but now have college town cases Significant rise in test positivity in 19-25 year olds -- similar rate of rise scene in June that triggered the Southern epidemic Stalling of case declines and test positivity due to new outbreaks noted above. Slow decline in deaths driven by the improvements in TX, CA, FL, AZ, GA (more than 50% of current mortality) --need to ensure this new round of cases does not drive increased hospitalizations and deaths Ensuring control of the University infections and isolation and care on campus and ensure spread does not move into the local communities or to hometowns and trigger another Phase of extensive community spread is critical. Stopping the spread into the community and isolation is impossible without identifying asymptomatic cases Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cages per Day Data as of 0200 GMT+0 100% PS # Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases re a5 i iil I o ae gh a ab oe Pod pp PCCP PPP Oe OPP MR FP EE PS Oe Pe PR ® Daily Cases nga OC) ~* ?-day moving average = PRESS: Washington Post Article indicating that Scott Atlas is pushing for a "herd immunity" approach to the outbreak and said he was the "anti-Fauci" in the White House. New York Times article will come put today with same story.