Tony's Diary Package — page 412

Global USA 19 October 2020 1. Slide ? illustrates the global cases yesterday knowing this is lower due to weekend. 2. See slide 5 --this is the most diffuse community spread we have experienced and we are 1-2 weeks from these new cases rapidly filling hospitals in urban and rural areas making load balancing difficult and straining the hospital system and 2-3 weeks from escalating fatalities. UCG needs to escalate readiness this week. 3, 31 states with increasing test positivity (the most we have ever had), 28 states with red zone number of cases/100,000 and many with a log phase rate of rise, 29 states with increasing daily hospital admissions, 21 states with rising fatalities. ER room visits for CLI are increasing in many regions. 4. Weare on the same slope as the summer surge but at a much higher baseline of infection 36K vs 21K which will lead to potentially 80K cases/day rapidly. With current case rate expansion we will achieve the greatest number of daily cases since the pandemic began in the week or two. 5. We are now seeing concerning trends in the Sunbelt in states that stopped most of their mitigation efforts 2-3 weeks ago 6. Thisis not due to increased testing but broad and ever increasing community. There are no states, regions, or communities with enough prior COVID infection to provide any substantial protection from new community spread which will lead to hospitalizations and fatalities. Cases are rising again across the Sunbelt and moving into the North East. 7. This sequence of events must stop with the initial silent spread that can be effectively contained and mitigated. We have found from careful analysis, modelling and triangulation of all the data that community spread can be controlled without a lockdown as we have done but the time to act is critical and must be with the original detection of the silent spread, ensuring infected individuals know how to limit their infection of others and with messaging on universal masking, physical distancing, and essential limitation of public and private gatherings indoors. Red states Dark Green states (>10% positive) (<3% positive) AK, AR, AZ, CO, FL, GA, IL, MI, MN, NC, NM, OR, SC, TX, VA ID, MO, MT, NE, OK, SD, AL, IA, IN, KS, KY, MS, UT, WI ND, NV, TN CA, HI, LA, MD, NJ, OH, I CT, DC, DE, MA, ME, NH, PA, WV, WY NY, RI, VT, WA PRESS: (Sunday) -CBS "60 Minutes" with Jon LaPook October 19, 2020 - Global USA Things getting worse and worse, and still the White House espouses the "herd immunity" nonsense from Scott Atlas. I am ashamed of Alex Azar for embracing this. See PRESS below. Trump is on tear trashing me saying that I am a "disaster", going on about my throwing arm at the Nats opener, tweeting constantly about me, saying if he had listened to me 500K people would be dead by now. Calling the Task Force people "idiots" He is really sounding totally crazy. He must have driven over the edge by the incredibly well-received profile of me last night on CBS "60 Minutes" The response of my supporters with e-mails, texts, and tweets has been overwhelming. Some examples of hundreds of e-mails and texts: Text from Joan Baez - "I hope you're celebrating. It's an honor to be attacked by that miserable fuck". Text from Hilary Rosen - "14 more days. Hang in there. We need you. That fuckhead isn't fit to tie your shoes. 😊 Xo Hilary"