Tony's Diary Package — page 391

7 October 2020 1.New hospitalization admissions continue to rise 2.Mortality should stay in the 700+ range for the 7 day average as we still see improvements across the South and decreasing fatalities but rising hospitalizations in red and orange states will drive further fatalities 3.Continued spread in the Upper Mid West, the Heartland and now early warning signs in NE -- early movement in TX after moving to 75% occupancy 4.Data driven laser focused interventions will be essential as we move into the fall : there needs to be a clear recognition of in household, small gatherings among neighbors and family events are active spreading events when there is even one asymptomatic COVID positive individual -- although outdoors are safer both the level of the viral load and closeness of contact can lead to increasing spread 5.The overarching concern relates to the balance of personal mitigation behaviors and the weather driving more activities indoors with the lower humidity increasing the K value (dispersion factor) with lower humidity the droplets partially evaporate allowing for longer suspension in the air and together -- poor personal mitigation and cooling weather with heating will increase the R value and the clear evidence of aerosol contribution 6.Traveling the NE this week and next to ensure careful attention for aggressive mitigation 7.Will be key to increase testing in the communities and states where test positivity is rising to prevent further community spread to prevent increases in hospitalizations and fatalities &.This first several tranches of BINAX to states should be prioritized to states with high community spread Red states low stat t Green state: Dark Green states (>10% positive) 7% positir I I (<3% positive) AL, AR, FL, GA, IA, IN, KS, I AK, AZ, CA, CO, DE, HI, IL, MO, NV KY, MN, MS, NC, ND, OR, I LA, MD, Mi, NM, PA, WA, SC, TN, TX, VA, WY wv iD, MT, NE, OK, SD, UT, Wi CT, OC, MA, ME, NH, NJ, NY, OH, RI, VT 7,500,000/211,100 VP debate tonight between Pence and Harris. Much more civil than the POTUS debates. Pence did not directly answer several questions using the technique that I have seen him use of avoiding answering the questions and talking about something else in response to the question. My name was mentioned multiple times during the debate. Harris said she would take an OVID-19 vaccine if I said so, but not if Trump said so. Also, Pence mentioned my name saying that I said that Trump saved many lives by shutting down travel from China. October 8, 2020 - Global 36,000,000/1,000,000; USA - 7,500,000/211,100 Below is really October 8, not October 6