A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it
answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.
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Jan 5, 2021
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January 6, 2021 - Global - 84,800,000/1,900,000; USA - 21,000,000/356,000 Spoke on chat with Chiefs of Police and with Presidents of Jesuit Schools (led by Fr. Dan Lahart of Regis) Made rounds on COVID-19 patient at Clinical Center. I have been doing this about 1X per week. Saw patient today with COVID disease - 73 y.o. AA male, ex-marine, ex-State Trooper. Says this is worse he has ever felt. • My group (Mascola, Graham, Lane, Marston briefed the ART team led by Lu Borio and Marcella Nunez-Smith and David Kessler. We spoke about the mutant viruses in UK and RSA and their impact on mAbs and vaccines. 1. There is a significant increase in test positivity rate and a high hospital admission rate/case across all age groups 2. I have included the top 10 states for cases and it is a mix of states that were surging prior to the Holidays NY, TX, FL, GA, AZ and states that were improving or stabilzing prior to the Holidays CA, PA, OH, IL, NJ and tracking these states will be key to estimating the impact of the Holidays on cases and eventually hospitalizations The Fall surge in the Northern Plain states was more aggressive and we warned if this type of surge hit populous states this would threaten the health care system - this is what we are seeing in CA and to be clear this is spreading across the Sunbelt and into the North East. CUMULATIVE CASES: TOP 13 STATES 20000 fF 200oo00 - S000 ; Suno00 1,300,000/360,000 Trump incites riot as protestors storm the Capitol, break windows and occupy Pelosi's office. Capitol Police utter failure to control them. Democrats take both Senate seats in Georgia Election - Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock. Biden electoral votes certified by Joint Session of Congress. Sens. Hawley and Cruz fight to the bitter end to their shame. Several senators who originally had supported the attempt to overthrow the election have changed their mind because of the shock of the storming of the Capitol PRESS: Podcast Fireside Chat with David Rubenstein for the Economic Club of Washington, DC; BNN Bloomberg Canadian TV;
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January 7, 2021 - Global - 85,500,000/1,900,000; USA - 21,300,000/360,000 Record number of deaths yesterday - >3963. Today another record at 4000. Surging continues. Slow start in the implementation of administration of vaccines. Was supposed to have 20 million doses distributed and administered by December 31. Today there have been 15 million distributed and 5 million administered. Canlirmed Cases (Thou sarc) aM 2oy im) eee New Confirmed COVID-15 Cases in the U.S. Pal Nester I : geen TW irnimiinse=s Sa mun cmmmmnmmnitlilill SEPP RLS TL OES FOES SS OE PP EL Le SFI P SS Se STS HS FS A 2020/2021 Day Oey Mowing Avirage = eed Day Mowing Average Global USA PRESS: NPR - "Morning Edition", Noel King; France24 TV (Arabic language); WJLA TV; New York Times: NYT: Fauci says he thinks that January will get worse, and that the vaccination effort needs more time.
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January 8, 2021 - Global USA 4111 Deaths!! Record hospitalizations. I have been on the phone with Jeff Zients a few times today. I checked the number for projected requirement of vaccines to fulfill the promise of 100 million doses in arms in 1st 100 days of Biden administration. The number in the Biden slides (Kessler derived) was 275 million doses and 135 million people (getting 2 doses) by end of April. I called Moncef Slaoui and got the actual numbers and they totaled 189 million. I called Jeff and let him know. He checked with Kessler who then checked with Moncef and they figures that the doses that had already been allocated prior but not given yet would make up for the difference. I am concerned that we (Biden team) will not meet the promise. Too many vicissitudes in vaccine production. Perhaps Janssen will bale us out with the 25 million doses in March and 40 million in April (single dose required). Then, Biden team announced that they would not hold back any doses to save for 2nd shot, but will immunize everyone then can with doses they have. This places a lot of faith in the precision of the production/delivery of doses. They may have to pause with 1st doses to catch up with 2nd dose requirement. At 8:00 PM tonight as I was over Rob and Ellen's "open Garage" dining room, Jeff Zients called me again asking for a favor. A Politico reporter is already getting ready to write a story spreading rumors that Biden is upset with his COVID team and Jeff is asking a favor for me to go on "background" and tell the reporter that they are doing a very good job. I told Jeff that I would of course be happy to do this. Confirrved Cases {Thousards] a MEV MALE QP DS Le LTE Lo. 2020) 2021 a D pty ----T Dey Moveg Sverage ame 1) Dory Moving Average Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Reporting declines Cases per Day Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 t 300k é z 20k +7 : 100k = o Pil ad Pe i me ik ah qk gh ab at REM eNO SESE et ® Daily Cases -@ f-day moving average =>) - 7-day moving average = fy 22,000,000/368,000 PRESS: NPR International - "The World"; C-SPAN doing "Facts and Faith" at VCU talk with Virginia Governor Northam. Speaking to Black Faith leaders
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2021-01-09 00:00
Anthony S. Fauci
January 9, 2021 - Global - 87,600,000/1,900,000; USA - 22,000,000/368,000 The pandemic is getting more scary. Every day more and more cases and deaths. Patients in the hallways in California. Nurses and MDs exhausted. It seems that people are getting infected who are being careful and have no idea why they are getting infected. N501Y mutation is here in the USA, but it is not dominant. We may actually have out own mutant that we have not recognized since the CDC has not really been looking. ated and is ce the vaccine ration holds up. Had conversation this AM 12:10 PM to 12:50 PM with 2 reporters from Politico (Adam Cancryn and Tyler Pager). Call set up by T.J. Ducklo (see note about regarding call from Jeff Zients). See above regarding content of call. I convinced them that the Biden team is a good team and that the discontent is typical Washington, DC rumors. Interesting that someone associated with Biden campaign is already spreading damaging rumors about the team. Probably someone who wanted a place in the transition and is not satisfied with what was given to them. David Ho is doing tests on convalescent sera and sera of people who were vaccinated and is finding disturbing data in both the UK and worse in the RSA mutants. It looks like the vaccine might be compromised. We need to prepare to modify the vaccine if this observation holds up. Also, Peter Staley and James Kellerstein are writing an article for an OpEd to ask for the DPA to build a plant so that we can make unlimited amount of vaccine. Ewe can use this if we need to quickly do a strain change. Confirmed Canes (Thousands) au} 5i am 2m in} 2 tl mM fees er Fs -22,100,000/371,100 New Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in the U.S. he fay a) Peau ah rege gees seg atl| ( 'i iI itis " || wh mil ih UL th ge we iy Fy rire $F FL FISS fla, Tey 425, "Sq "24, 4g 2020/2021 Oo eee Oy Moving Average 0 eee) Dy Mowing Averogo historical record of A.S. Fauci - Part 3
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January 10, 2021 - Global - 88,400,000/1,900,000 USA - 22,100,000/371,100 And the surge goes on..... There is a real concern that we have our own mutant that is resulting in an increased surge in cases. People are saying they have no idea how they got infected since they have been observing public health recommendations. See below comments from Birx. After Thanksgiving the Northern Plains MN, IL, MI held and did not significantly deteriorate. In contrast this current post Holiday surge is causing deterioration in all metros including metros that were stable and metros that did not experience a significant post Thanksgiving surge. NYC has returned to case counts equal to the Spring recognizing we are testing at much higher rates but this surge is just beginning in NYC and with this current rate of rise of cases could drive significant cases, hospitalizations and deaths especially if it deteriorates at the rate of LA. Proactive setting up of infusion sites now is critical in all large metros and active immunization of those over 65. We have enough vaccine in the States to immunize nearly 15M senior which would be nearly 25% of all seniors over 65. We need to treat this current situation as the emergency it is. Deb Deb's report: 1. Reporting has stabilized and we have returned to the pre-thanksgiving rate of cases as the current resurgence moves into the populous states from CA to TX to FL and resume a full log phase rate 2. EVERY METRO over 500K residents is deteriorating except Honolulu. - even those that had been stable now have rising cases slides 6-52 : NYC area is now reached cases greater than the Spring surge 3. All of the most populous states are deteriorating or continuing to deteriorate - CA, TX, FL, NY - only CA maybe showing signs of reaching a high plateau - TX, FL, NY will become the new epicenter of this surge over the next 3 weeks - I believe we have had our own evolved and more transmissible strain or strains since September by reviewing all the epidemiologic data - this fall/winter has a more rapid rate of rise from the beginning which predated Thanksgiving and continues at the rate post the Holidays (slide 3) - this rate of rise is now independent of the weather as it is occurring across the South, LA, etc - the surge is more difficult to mitigate - which will require more aggressive action to control and all actions need to be taken now to flatten this curve and preserve the health system) Normally the weekly high for fatalities is Wednesday - deeply concerning that both Weds Thurs and now Friday have deaths near 4000/day See graphs on slide set below (frightening): 10Jan2021DataSum mary.pptx Major discussion among Congress in invoking the 25th Amendment to remove Trump. Pelosi is going to go ahead with impeachment proceedings even though there would be no time to convict, they can impeach. Several people in the White House and Cabinet are resigning - Elaine Chao, Matt Pottinger. POTUS is attacking Pence for not going along with his attempts to overthrow the election. Poor Pence. He had been so loyal, but I am pleased to see that the goodness that I recognized in him is coming out, albeit a bit late in the game. The crazies in the Trump following are calling for the execution of Pence, similar to Crazy Steve Bannon calling for my beheading. PRESS: WGN Radio (Steve Dale) - Chicago; Satire from The Borowitz Report Fauci Says Immunity from Trump Requires Two Doses of Impeachment itz 12,300,000/373,200
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January 11, 2021 - Global - 88,800,000/1,900,000; USA - 22,300,000/373,200 Surge continues unabated. Deb's notes: 1. Reporting has stabilized and we have returned to the rapid prethanksgiving rate of cases as the current resurgence moves into the populous states from CA to TX to FL 2. Nearly all METROs over 500K residents is deteriorating. - even those that had been stable now have rising cases slides 22-26: NYC area is now reached cases greater than the Spring surge 3. All of the most populous states are deteriorating - CA, TX, FL, NY - only CA maybe showing signs of reaching a high plateau - TX, FL, NY will become the new epicenter of this surge over the next 3 weeks - as viruses evolve and strains are imported- the fall/winter has a more rapid rate of rise predating Thanksgiving and continues at the rate post the Daily New Cases in the United States Fall/Winter surge is nearly 2X the rate of the spring or summer and the prethanksgiving slope continues into the post Daily New Cases Holiday slope -- and the post Holiday Cases per Day slope maybe even slightly greater Data as of 0:00 GMT+0 400k 200k a 200k LOOK Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases ® Daily Cases [) > 7-day moving average Red states Yellow state: t Green states Mery acres (>10% positive) [5 - <8% positive (3 - <5% p ive) (<3% positive) AL, AR, AZ, CA, CT, DE, FL, GA, IA, ID, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MD, MO, MS, MT, NC, NE, NH, NJ, NM, NV, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WI, WV MA, MI, OR, RI, WA I CO, DC, ME, MN, WY AK, HI, ND, VT N/A Continued discussion about invoking the 25th Amendment. Trump have been permanently banned from Twitter and at least temporarily from Facebook (maybe permanent). Trump stating that "it is only beginning". Intelligence chatter indicating that there will be massive demonstrations and even violence associated with the inauguration. Mick Mulvaney made some interesting comments on a CNN Special on "insurrection". When asked why so many people stuck with Trump when all the signs were there that he was acting crazy. Mick said that when you lie with him in the WH day after day, you see that he has accomplished a lot and you tend to downplay in your mind the signs of craziness. I even saw some of that during the time that I went to the WH every day for months in the Spring and Summer. Marc Short called me and asked for me to make connection with the Biden people and invite someone to today's Task Force Meeting so that the Biden Team can get a feel for how the current task Force works. I called Jeff Zients and Jeff gave them Cyrus Shahpar who is on the Biden team and works for Tom Frieden. Did a chat with Bishop TD Jakes including Kizzy Corbett. Trying to /-22,500,000/375,100 Spoke with Pat Foye of the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA). They want me to do a 1 minute PSA to encourage their employees to get vaccinated. PRESS: Rural TV Network - "Rural Health Matters", Nashville, TN TV; POLITICO: 'There is a palpable concern': Biden presses advisers over 100 million Covid shot goal (This relates to my conversation with Zients/Ducklo) CDC: No sign of homegrown U.S. coronavirus variant, but scientists need to look harder By Joel Achenbach, Kim Bellware and Hamza Shaban
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January 12, 2021 - Global - 89,400,000/1,900,000; USA - 22,500,000/375,100 4400 deaths today John Mascola working with David Ho to determine the possibility that the UK (N501Y; B.1.1.7) and/or the RSA mutants evade the antibodies induced by vaccines. According to Ho, the RSA mutants are much more troublesome in that they do not eliminate the protection of vaccine induced antibodies, but they definitely decrease by 2 to 3-fold their potency. David is now working on studying the UK mutant. Stay tuned. The next 4 weeks will be determined by whether the large Southern, upper Mid-West, Mid-Atlantic and North-East metros will be able to contain the rapid accelerating viral spread or have the prolonged log phase followed by the high plateau of LA (now entering month 3). Deb 1. Reporting has stabilized and we have returned to the rapid pre-thanksgiving rate of cases as the current resurgence moves into the populous states from CA to TX to FL : cases are up 7% from last week's same time period. 2. Nearly all METROs over 500K residents is deteriorating. - even those that had been stable now have rising cases slides 7-45: NYC area is now reached cases greater than the Spring surge Throughout "the 2019 flu season from Sept. 29 to Dec. 28, the CDC reported more than 65,000 cases of influenza nationwide," while "during the same period last year, the agency reported 1,016 cases." IV> > wrote: • Had discussion with Chris Whitty and Patrick Vallance of the UK regarding their mutant and their vaccine program. They confirmed that the mutant is spreading widely in UK and other EU countries and also that there is no increase in virulence of escape from vaccine-induced antibodies. They also mentioned that they are more concerned about the RSA variant (mutants). • Did Fireside Chat with Barbara Bush on "Future Forum for Preparedness" (her Global Health Corps) Had discussion with Azar, Pence, and the OWS crew about vaccine rollout. We will as of tomorrow (announce at the Governor's call) that we are changing our rollout strategy. We are going to be more flexible and not strictly wedded to the ACIP/CDC guidance of Phase 1a. We should continue that, but move on the people >65 years old and people 16 (or 18) to 64 with underlying conditions Am communicating with Stanley Tucci. He has heard through the media that I make Tympani:
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January 13, 2021 - Global - 90,100,000/1,900,000; USA - 22,700,000/379,000 The surge continues. Could this be that we are dealing with our own highly contagious variant, but we do not realize it since the CDC sequencing surveillance has not been very comprehensive as has the UK surveillance? See below 1. Reporting has stabilized and we have returned to the rapid prethanksgiving rate of cases as the current resurgence moves into the populous states from CA to TX to FL : cases are up 7% from last week's same time period, as CA improves, the high population states of TX and FL will surge and the fatalities will increase, many states are reaching 0.2% rates per population deaths COVID-19 Cases per 100K by Race/Ethnicity in the United States, Mar 1, 2020 -- Jan 10, 2021 : current surge impacting Native Americans >white > hispanic >> black Incident Cases per LOOK Week received by COC American dian Alaskan Mattye, Non-Hispanic i Agian/Pacitic Islander, Won-bMapanic WB Dlack, Mor-Blipparre, @Hapanic ie White, Mon-Hispanke cor ond dear cea Bor ag do iment. 2. Nearly all METROs over 500K residents is deteriorating. - even those that had been stable now have rising cases slides 15-18: NYC area is now reached cases greater than the Spring surge Trump impeached for 2nd time! Several Republicans vote in House for impeachment. Unlikely to come to trial in Senate until after inauguration. Biden does not want distraction from his 100 days agenda. Had zoom call with President of Ecuador - President Lenin Moreno Garces. We discussed the situation in Ecuador, vaccines and a whole bunch of questions that he had. Seems like a very smart person. I promised to advocate for equitable availability of vaccines throughout the world including Ecuador. Had Zoom call with Biden team - (Marcella Nunez-Smith, David Kessler, Rochelle Walensky, Vivek Murthy, Connolly Keigler and Maju Varghese). David led discussion regarding the inauguration. Originally there was supposed to be 250 people on the platform 6 feet apart ()POTUS and VP and Family, supreme court justices, leaders of Congress. 6 feet apart, all masked, all tested. Then then wanted 29,000 on the West Front. Maju Varghese was operationally responsible for arrangements. These 29,000 were cut down to 2000 by David (who is overall responsible for arrangements). The meeting today was to determine if we were OK with this. We all (Marcella, Rochelle, Vivek) voted that there should be no one on the West Front. I made the argument that some of the GOP Congressmen could make trouble by not wearing masks the way they refused when the Capitol was attacked and they were crowded in a room. Also, if someone gets infected, the press will jump on us. David will bring this back to Biden and Klain. Had regular every 2 weeks call with Bill Gates - Bill and Trevor Mundel know about the issue with the mutations that David Ho is working on. We discussed working together to track them as well as using Gates money to jump-start the development of mRNA vaccines to match the mutations (B.1.1.7 variant) with the N501Y mutation. We need to be ready to respond Front Page Story of Italian Magazine "I Love Sicilia" SKM_C754e2101131 7230.pdf Some Black Muslims accusing me of trying to experiment on Blacks. He mistakenly (deliberately) is ignoring that I, Pence, Biden, Harris have all gotten vaccinated. He is saying that Blacks would be the herd immunity that would protect whites: Beyond Tuskegee: Targeting of Black people for Covid-19 vaccine By Anisah Muhammad, Contributing Writer On January 10, Student Min. Muhammad, a researcher, scholar and author, delivered the Nation of Islam's Sunday address at Mosque Maryam, titled, "Beyond Tuskegee: Why Black People Must Not Take the Experimental Covid-19 Vaccine." "Why beyond Tuskegee? The vaccine mafia who want Black people to be the first injected with this experimental vaccine have centered the Tuskegee experiment in their narrative, most prominently Dr. Fauci. Let's say we get 75 percent, 80 percent of the population vaccinated," Dr. Fauci said on Dec. 9. "If we do that, if we do it efficiently enough over the second quarter of 2021, by the time we get to the end of the summer, i.e., the third quarter, we may actually have enough herd immunity protecting our society that as we get to the end of 2021, we can approach very much some degree of normality that is close to where we were before." As of July 1, 2019, the U.S. Census Bureau reports that 76.3 percent of Americans are White. 3,000,000/383,400 New Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in the U.S. oNO hl HT he iL I I ST AAA TTT gery ae HI RO ra 1s EL en 0 Day Mowing Avoraga 2020/2021 ome 7 Oy Moving Avorage Me Oak: Bob Woodward came to my house tonight to deliver the transcripts of the tapes of his interviews of me for his book "Rage". He said that it would help me with the writing of my book, He really wanted to come over and tape an interview with me about my current dealing with Biden. I explained the interactions with Biden (see above). Nothing controversial; however, it was clear why he wanted to come over. He is writing yet again another book. We met outside in the cold due to COVID-19 I wrote a belated birthday note to Joan Baez (her birthday was Jan.9, 1941). I had forgotten due to recent events at the Capitol, and so I wrote her a note apologizing. She wrote back: "Of course I accept!. There was a postcard circulating in Frace under a liberal administration in the eighties, "nous sommes tous dans la merde". We are all in the shit. I don't speak French anymore, but the post card stands out. Yes, we are the same age! You are a rock star and I am a badass, and age is very much beside the point. Thinking of you. Joan" PRESS: WPIX TV New York City with Dan Mannarino; Children's Hour Public Radio; WMBD radio and WYZZ TV (Central Illinois); The Children's Hour Public Radio;