A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it
answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.
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November 13, 2020 - Global - USA - Pandemic surge continues. Curve is exponential Moving along with the deployment of vaccine, Pfizer is putting in for their EUA. There should be 20 million doses of vaccine ready to deploy in December. Moderna will be doing the initial examination of data within days and likely will have comparable efficacy data to Pfizer. Their will have 15 million doses for deployment in December. Thus, 20 + 15 = 40 million doses for 15 - 20 million people in December. Aim to is get nursing homes (NH) covered quickly. 1.5 million people in NHs + 1.5 million staff = 3 million people (6 million doses) • Did major photo shoot with People Magazine Ron Klain called me up. He said that he wanted to ensure me that I have friend in the COS to the POTUS. He asked for suggested candidates for CDC. I recommended: Rochelle Walensky, Ashish Jha, Rich Besser, Carlos Del Rio, Josh Sharfstein (Ron feels that he would be better for FDA - I agreed). POTUS had press conference today with the OWS people (Slaoui and Perna and Azar) - Trump spouted how well we are doing here in the USA. After that he had Slaoui talk about the success of the vaccines (Pfizer and Moderna) which is good news PRESS: CBS This Morning;
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November 14, 2020 - Global - 53,200,000/1,300,000; USA - 10,700,000/244,000 Still raging - 184,000 cases yesterday (Friday) and 69,000 hospitalizations; >1400 deaths). Every day is a record. Hospitals soon to run out of ICU beds and personnel. Confirmed Cases [Thousancs) New Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in the U.S. seereses a a, &¢ ¢ ey LAA e ¢ *€ fF FP & FF oe ¢ a ee ee: a fF Fs PKFZFF ~ eee *fa Day eee Day Mowing Avarage Crazy situation of Trump supporters including "Proud Boys" marching on DC to protest that Biden "stole the election" Did major photo shoot with Bloomberg News in anticipation of being one of the 50 most influential people in 2020. Did the first Saturday morning (10:00 AM) meeting with Janssen, similar to what we did for several weeks with Moderna to help them and encourage them to get good diversity in their clinical trials. For NIH, it was Francis, Cliff, me, Kim Taylor from DMID, Gary Gibbons. For Janssen, it was Paul Stoffels, Johan van Hoof, Peter Ronco, Mathai Mammen, Najat Khan, Stacy Hargraves. ENSEMBLE is the Phase 3 trial for the Janssen candidate. PRESS: ind Jeremy Diamond Joe Biden and Dr. Fauci praise the work of Jesuit Refugee Service Michael J. O'LoughlinNovember 12, 2020
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Nov 14, 2020 Feb 24,2021
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November 15, 2020 - Surge continues. 244,000 deaths (1300 yesterday); 10,900,000 infections, 167,000 cases yesterday. Big issue now is the logistics of distribution of the vaccine. Locals are saying that the USG has not given them enough money (bullions instead of hundreds of millions) to be able to distribute the vaccine. Crazy Scott Atlas is out there urging people of Michigan to "rise up" against the restrictions put on by the Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer to quell the outbreak. WH Comms still lets him out despite the fact that Alyssa tells me she thinks he is destructive. Clearly someone (POTUS, Meadows) wants him out there:
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2020-11-16 00:00
Anthony S. Fauci
November 16, 2020 - Global - 54,300,000/1,300,000; USA - 11,000,000/246,000 Continual surge: 138,000 new infections yesterday. POTUS has no interest at all in the Pandemic. He is focusing on blocking Biden from being POTUS. He is embarrassing the USA. However, 72,000,000 voted for him. Difficult to understand. Craziness has overtaken part of our country (1/2). Jared Kushner did call me up right before the press briefing related to the Moderna vaccine announcement (see below) 16 November 2020 1. All states and major metros now are deteriorating except Hl -- there are 27 states inthe red zane and? states inerange zane-- major high populous states are now significantly deteriorating from MIL IL, IN, GH, PA, to MJ, M4 and western NY, CA-- this surge must be flattened 2. Cempared te last week cates ip 50%, hospitalizations up18% and deaths 26% - this rate of increase will crush the hespitals 3. Ta be erystal clear -- its not just the number of cases but the rate of rise - what we are decumenting today as new cases are reflective of spread 10-14 days age - the rate of rapid rise in cases will tranélate to a proportional rapid rise in hospitalizations and deaths 4, We need to change the rate of rise of cases to change the rapid rise in hospitalizations to preserve haspital capacity--this is no longer about preventing a crisis -- this is a crisis -- thisis about tryina te save as many lives as possible within the crisis 5. Europe hat shown os that the Fall surge can be cantained and hospital capacity sustainedand ifwe act mow we can da the came 6. Thisvaill require a comprehensive Federal response with agaressive support to States bo include: ' Aggressive communication at the WH level masking requirements at all tirnes outside of immediate househeld, physically distancing, hand hygiene AND critically limiting of social interactions te the immediate household for the next 60 days while we bridge to the rapid vaccination of the vulnerable populations decreasing hospitalizations and fatalities : thisis.a short tern sacrifice to protect the vulnerable. We need to decurnent precisely the number of vaccine doses availabh: over the nest ? week fer pilot reall out to LCE, . Aggressive re-alignment of 4g testing towards finding and preventing unrelenting silent spread that cantinues be trigger community spread inwaves > SOM Giroir and COC working with States and Tribal nations . Expanding frequency of LTC testing and aligning early vacelnation late LTCF * Ensuring rapid tiering of those most vulnerable to rapid vaccine immunization access imnovediately upean EUG (COC) . Short term interventions : in States with demonstrated haspitalstaffing under threat - restricting indoor dining and briefly limiting areas of congregation without mask (bars, gyms and restricting indoor dining} will be needed as was successful in the USA in the Summer 7. Withoutanimmediate change we will hit 200,000 cases/day and LSM casesfweek, and over 100,000 inpatients --this is unsustainable Date: 11 s20e0 I New Cases per 100K NEW CASES PER 100,000 IM THE WEEH: I National Picture 'OWE MONTH BEFORE TWO MONTHS BEFORE a eee a re Cases per 100K $20 Comin ast 14 Dury Mobs swe {9 10 to 50 (9 F1b 1h ® (107 te 198 Ee 200 me a08 (£00 of More All states are now showing significant increase in cases, this is the time sequence over the last 6 months. We have not seen a surge in testing in the last 30 days but are seeing deterioration across the country. Confirmed Cases [Thousancs) Lim New Dally Confirmed COVID-19 Cases In the U.S. ae ee) " ee # Fg Q = » Ce. ee vo FF ¥ fetsegesr eg tse evs rt eve 'iin ty ca a Day eee Day Mowing Avarage 00/1,300,000; USA -- ----_--<$--$==$=--$=$<--= thy "ig, *******The administration (POTUS, Pence, Meadows, etc) keep emphasizing that we have never been as well prepared to respond to this pandemic. They refer to hospital beds, ventilators, PPE, etc. They are missing the fact that the pandemic is raging and they are really doing NOTHING to stop its spread. They have essentially given up (see comments above from Mark Meadows) in stopping it and concentrating on having enough supplies to address the cases as they come in. In fact, smaller states (southwest, northwest) are rapidly running out of ICU beds and personnel. They are wrong on both accounts. Freddy Ford (George W. Bush's Chief of Staff) emails me and mentions that W. wants to receive vaccine publicly to indicate his support for vaccines, and could I help out. Sir Elton John and husband David Furnish call me up and want to talk about how we can link the interest in COVID-19with sustained interested in ending the COVID pandemic. Great conversation; they are very "proud of me". I suggest linking testing for COVID to getting tested for HIV and getting people on PrEP. They loved the idea. PRESS: NBC Today Show with Savannah Guthrie; CBS with Jon LaPook; WTOP Radio; Press briefing by Francis Collins, me, Stephane Bancel, Matt Hepburn; Stephen Hoge, John Mascola related to Moderna announcement
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Nov 16, 2020 Feb 24,2071 May?, 2071 Source: Johns Hopkins University CSS--E COVID-19 Data cc ey Ph Feb4,.2020 --> <) May 2, 2021 New Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases In the U.S. a0 Z : 200 i z 150 E E on mom yo tm Dal foo oa oom Cal a. = am Mm ot y apy ok toe em gs SRST SS SV SSSR SSCS SSR T ESS SSG SEES E ae Re eRe ees aera es 2020/2021 a4 az aie aja asl ue 4s 4fii India is exploding: Good number today for the USA: The share of daily COVID-19 tests that are positive Shown is the rolling 7-day average. The number of confirmed cases divided by the number of tests, expressed as a percentage. Tests may refer to the number of tests performed or the number of people tested - depending on which is reported by the particular country. Cunear ] toc 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% United States --- Israel 0% United Kingdom Mar 1,2020 Apr 30,2020 Jun19,2020 Aug 8, 2020 Sep 27,2020 Jan5,2021 Feb 24,2021
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Nov 16, 2020
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Nov 16, 2020
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November 17, 2020 - Global - 54,800,000/1,300,000; USA - 11,100,000/246,200 17 November 2020 Task Force All states and major metros now are deteriorating except Hl -- there are 27 states in the red sone ane 7 states in orange zone Nev daily admissions reaching 10,000/day and inpatient COVID patients reaching historic highs Its not just the number of coses but the rate ofrise - what we are documenting today as mew cases are reflective of spread 10-14 days ago - the rate of rapid rise in cases will translate to a proportional rapid rise in hospitalizations and deaths The length of time to reach peak is significantly honger -- wee are seeing improving im El) Pasa following extensive mitigation since 220ctoher Metriod hit hard during the summer surge are mow passing Their summer peal We need to change the rate of rise of cases to change the taped rise in hospitalizations to preserve hogpital capacity -- this Gono longer about preventing a criss --the i a omnis -- Chit abou trying lo dave ad mieny lives as posible within the onnis Europe has shown us that the Fadl sunge can be contained and hospital capacity sustained and if we act mow we can do the same This will require a comprehensive Federal response with aggressive support to States to include: ' Aggressive communication at tha WH lavad masking requirements ot all times outside ofimmsdiate heuscheld, physically distancing, hand hygiene AND orttically limiting of social interactions to the Immvediata household for tha ment 60 days while we bridge to the ragid vaccination of the vulnerable populations decreasing hospitalizations and fatalities : this isa short term sacrifice: to protect the vulnerable. We need to document precisehy the number ofvaccine doses available over the next 2 work for pilot roll outta LTC. . Aggressive re-alignment of ig testing bowaerds finding and preventing unrelenting silent spread that continues bo bragger conmimunity spread in waves ADM Girdir and COC working with States and Tribal nations * Expanding frequency of LTCF testing and aligning, earty vaccination into LTCF * Ensuring rapad tering of those most vulnerable te rapid vaccine immunization access immediately wpom ELA (CoC) * Short term interventions ;in States with demonstrated hospital staffing under threat - restricting indoor dining and limiting areas of congeegation without mask bars, gyms and restricting Indoor dining) will be needed as was successful im the US4 in the sunimer and im Europe Without an immediate change we will hit 200,000 casesfday avd 15M cases/week, and over TODD inpatients -- this i unsustainable The surge continues. ICU beds in Montana are running out.. Recent (Nov. 13) NPR interview of ICU nurse in Billings MT: RIHA: We are currently at a critical level of patients in our ICU. So as you mentioned, we're the largest hospital operating system in Montana. And under normal operating circumstances, we have a 24-bed ICU in our hospital. When I left last night at the end of my shift, we currently had 44 ICU patients that were under the care of our service with a very, very full emergency room and likely more ICU patients coming in. In Task Force meeting today, Deb, I (by virtual), Bob sounded the alarm. Mark Meadows blurted out and objected to our call for a consistent message about masks and testing asymptomatics. He feels that no matter how much you test, you still will have outbreak. He got tested every day and he claims to have been infected while wearing a mask - NONSENSE. He was not wearing a mask before he got infected. He has bought into Scott Atlas. This is disgraceful. Deb suggested that we have a doctor White House press conference once per week. I pointed out that we must have a consistent message from the White House. I was not so subtly referring to Scott Atlas saying that masks do not work. Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 000 CMT et 200k = ua c=] = uw i=] = Newel Corcravines Daily Cases = =I New Cases per 100K 11/07 /2020-11/13/2020 rf I Cases per 100K 220 Cases im Last 14 Daye _ I Mow, I I Msn 4) tos "tags I OE S10 P| MD 101 to 100 I BB 200 an9 ar Mere New York Times "Dealbook" 10/1,300,000; USA -- PRESS: NPR Morning Edition; New York Times "Dealbook"