A single line often inverts meaning once you see what it
answers, so neighbouring messages are always shown.
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September 18, 2020 - Confirmed Cases (Thousands) in el ee a La Repubblica; New Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases In the U.S. A -- 6,700,000/198, 100 " y id VA A 'i a a J md Fa Pom, I " Ae ia az] id by es % s a " $e es ees st sE FS Ooty eee oy Moving Avorage 19 September 2020 From the daily report: new hospital admissions failed to decline for the past 2 weeks Cases and deaths both increasing this week There is a disconect for the first time between best positiviry rates, cases and deaths Historically first test positivity increases, followed by increased cases, new hospitalizations and deaths Test positivity i¢ now unreliable due tod reasens I think butl arn scill investigating 1. lack of pepesrtiryg of Ag best inne positivity & cunning 10-20% beth in on campus ard off carpus students and the surrounding connunities are nel being bested positivity hast rapidly increased to > 10%) _-- a Nous . \ leVieNI ef f ¢ F Ff * ¥ dramatic changes in testing profiles across the United States aver the past 3 weeks due tothe new CDC policy with greater declines inthe yellow and red COVID states and increased testing in the green states with low test positivity skewing the test positivity lower ~ $66 state protiles University entrance testing -- mary large universities aver the past 3 weeks screened all their soudents on entry and besting rates were under 16 and this data has been adebed in ower the past 2-4 weeks (these students pre-quarantined and had bowrates but bes several universities have been able to procunt Og tests bul are net reporting that data and test Thisis making determination of active conmmunity spread very difficult and it is clear spreadis accurring silently driving the rate ot new admissions and high nevradmissions100cases which will lead to higher case tatality rates Overall hospitalizations are dropping due to high turn over of new admissions and general improvement from the surge over ther surmmer -- but there are states and pockets in those states with rising hospitalization Taken tagether-- need to surge testing into communities surrounding universities with greater than 15K students te ensure protection of the vulnerable individuals in the communities -- working with ADM Giroirand Brad Smith Will work with COC te ensure all Ag results are reported as tests with both numerators and denominators New cases today at 43,000 Testing has decreased and so hospitalizations per 100 case has increased since we are missing asymptomatics (see note above) PRESS: Interview with La Repubblica;
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September 19, 2020 Global - 30,400,000/950,000; USA - 6,700,000/198,100 Recovered from COVID? Help us save lives. Donate plasma now. coronavirus.gov be #4 ba Loe The 4 Presidents from the Washington Nationals came to my house today to present me with the "Sammie" Award as the Outstanding Federal Employee. Had many cameras filming the event.
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September 20, 2020 (Sunday) Global USA Yet again, I am not allowed on Sunday Shows while Brett Giroir is doing SOTU. Signs in NYC subway stations: Lot of discussion about the transverse myelitis in a volunteer in the UK Chimp Ad Oxford trial. May have had a prior case, but was designated as multiple sclerosis. Trial re-started in UK; not yet in USA (the AZ trial) 20 September 2020 1.This week's low in deaths is nearly 200 more than the last 2 week lows 350-440 range to now 650 2.As we learned in May and June emergency room visits are a lagging indicator -- often more than a week behind increases in test positivity 3.Cases and deaths both increasing this week -- the considerable progress is stalling or reversing in the large states -- slides 4-5 4. Historically first test positivity increases, followed by increased cases, increased IL! and CLI, new hospitalizations and deaths 5. There is increased community spread occurring at the same time as increased cases in Universities and working to separate these two different issues 6.New serology surveillance data shows 90% of Americans have not been infected (do not have any COVID Ab --a small % Of those infected can only have T cell immunity (5-10% of those infected so it could be 88-89% rather than 90%) in many areas 95% uninfected - the one except is NY especially the NYC metro area where nearly 22-25% were infected Actions: * Working with Brad and Brett to prioritize BINAX to communities surrounding colleges with >15K students on campus and greater than 1500 recorded cases in students. * Working with Universities to ensure students remain on campus and are not sent home if the university goes online once students have returned to campus + Will work with governors to ensure that understand the importance of asymptomatic testing and contact tracing for containment and preventing spread to vulnerable citizens in their communities NATIONWIDE COVID-19 METRICS. 7-DAY AVERAGE LINES 7-Day Avg: 836,565 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 Daily Tests Daily Cases Sep 19: 1,061,411 Sep 19: 44,283 80,000 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Apri Juni Aug Apri Junt Source: The COVID Tracking Project 7-Day Avg: 39,873 Aug i Currently Hospitalized 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Sep 19: 29,025 7-Day Avg: 29,815 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 Apri Jun 7 Aug? Apr 1 - Sep 19 Daily Deaths Sep 19: 737 7-Day Avg: 789 Apri Juni Aug? co) Scott Atlas deliberately trying to undermine Deb Birx interpretation of the data Firened Cases (Thousards) Cent A -o Bo =0 Global USA 21 September 2020 Cases and deaths both increasing week over week -- driven by the yellow states States have been reorganized to give you more details for the Governor's call There are 2 red states -- test positivity greater than >10% SC, UT There are 8 orange states -- 8-10% test positivity -- 1D, KS, MO, MT, NE, OK, SD, WI There are 15 yellow states -- 5-7.9% test positivity-- AL, AR, FL, GA, IA, KY, MN, MS, NC, ND, NV, TN, TX, VA, WV The new coding also highlights the dark green states with <3% test positivity-- AK, CT, DC, MA, NH, NJ, NM, NY, VT, WA, WY -- there is no significant community spread in these states The remaining states are light green 3-4.9% test positive These new categories are allowing a greater laser focus on those with increasing cases and high community spread -- the red and orange states -- most of these states were experiencing high community spread prior to their universities opening -- universities have further contributed in these states. The majority of orange states have both inadequate mitigation and inadequate surveillance on their campuses Tr a DP inin f Fi ) F VA he ai A Pa / # welt i y MN yet] I jf -- ptaes i *s J Pars a9 a] i hl Pas cl Pac = bh A oy ad a Se Cal "y ai] i] te fh - F &£ © SF FF S&F F FF FF FSF FF £ SS Ox eT Oey Moving Average a ay, ca]
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Sept. 20, 2020 • Typical media distortions. Vivek Murthy was on MSNBC with Morning Joe and they showed a clip of POTUS saying that the pandemic was "over" and then they showed immediately after a short clip of "part" of my interview with Steve Morrison in a CSIS podcast of my saying: FAUCI [clip]: "we are not where we need to be if we're going to be able to quote live with the virus because we know we're not going to eradicate it. we only did that with one virus, which is smallpox, and that was very different. because smallpox doesn't change from year to year or decade to decade or even from century to century." As expected this created somewhat of a disturbance with the meme being pitting me against the president of the United states. Rather typical press nonsense. The POTUS is getting pushback and criticism in that he has inadvertently undermined out attempts to get more money from the Congress for COVID since the GOP will now quote him as saying the pandemic is "Over". I have been out there explaining that the POTUS meant that the "fulminant" nature of COVID when we were getting 3 to 4000 deaths per day is now behind us, whereas now even though we are at an acceptably high level of three to 400 deaths per day, it is still much better than it was many months ago. It is as good an explanation as he presentation to Cliff Lane of the ith Alex Cohen 'ational Journal about my relationship with Congress any to get us back on track with the world realizing that we still have to take COVID very seriously with the current toll per day as well as the possibility that we might wind up getting another variant such as BA.2.75.2 in November. Went to the Kennedy Center last night to participate in the presentation to Cliff Lane of the Paul Volcker Career Achievement Medal (the "Sammies") PRESS: Lancet Podcast interview; Podcast "Inside the Issues" with Alex Cohen (California); TED interview (Fireside Chat with David Biello);
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2020-09-21 00:00
Anthony S. Fauci
September 21, 2020 - Global USA Was on weekly Governors call via phone. Explained to them about vaccine protocol, i.e. Data to DSMB to Company to FDA for EUA/BLA to VRPAC advisory committee. All transparent to scientific community. 104 million tests performed in the USA Global USA Had wonderful time at Adrienne Asche's home 2221 - 30th Street, NW. Outdoor concert with NPO (National Pops Orchestra led by Luke Frazier. Adrienne called me out and Luke Dedicated a song to me (Climb Every Mountain). Everyone masked and physically distant with champage at each separate table of people alone or withspouses. Present were Ambassadors from Iraq, Mexico, Colombia, and UK PRESS: Did a series of YouTube chats with Trevor Noah; Fat Joe; The Onyx Family; and The SloMo Guys; The Daily Beast - Erin Banco; CNN Jeremy Diamond Story broke in the Daily Beast: A Notorious COVID Troll Actually Works for Dr. Fauci INSIDE JOB Bill Crews is a PR official at the National Institutes of Health. But he also has another job: an anonymous RedState editor who rails against the agency for which he works. Lachlan Markay
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September 22, 2020 Global USA 22 September 2020 1.There are 2 red states -- test positivity greater than >10% SC, UT 2.There are 8 orange states -- 8-10% test positivity -- 1D, KS, MO, MT, NE, OK, SD, WI 3.There are 15 yellow states -- 5-7.9% test positivity -- AL, AR, FL, GA, IA, KY, MN, MS, NC, ND, NV, TN, TX, VA, WV 4.Test positivity is rising in UT, WI, WY, ND, OR, NH, CT, WV, NJ, 5.Positivity at 10% or close to 10% in most of the Heartland and continues to increase 6.We are laser focus on those with increasing cases and high community spread -- the red and orange states -- most of these states were experiencing high community spread prior to their universities opening -- universities have further contributed in these states. The majority of orange states have both inadequate mitigation and inadequate surveillance on their campuses 7.Cases and deaths both increasing week over week -- driven by the yellow states -- most university cases are stabilizing or declining so cases should begin to decline if community spread can be prevented and mortality should decline as the original red states (CA, TX, FL, GA) mortality declines 8.1 have included an analysis of CLI and ILI and its utility -- see slides 22-34 -- we continue to collect this data but it has significant limitations as noted. It is always disnlaved on the state slides that have the data The iA -- 6,900,000/200,000 PRESS: CNN Citizen Conference with Sanjay Gupta; Interview with The Atlantic Festival with Alexis Madrigal was carried on CNN and other networks
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SEPTEMBER 22, 2020 9:34 PM EDT A s the COVID-19 pandemic began to spread to the U.S., there was one person millions of Americans immediately knew we could turn to for guidance: Dr. Anthony Fauci. As director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, Dr. Fauci has advised six Presidents over 36 years. When COVID-19 reared its ugly head, he was among the first to step forward with facts and only facts. Dr. Fauci doesn't sugarcoat his words and refuses to be pressured by politicians. He delivers the truth, as difficult as it may be to hear, earnestly and with one goal: to save lives. His courage and candor have earned our trust. We are all fortunate to have a man of his wisdom, experience and integrity to help us navigate these difficult waters. Kimmel is the host and an executive producer of Jimmy Kimmel Live! LEADERS • Anthony Fauci • Kamala Harris • Tsai Ing-wen • John Roberts • Xi Jinping • Donald Trump • Caesar • Angela Merkel • Joe Biden • Jair Bolsonaro • Nancy Pelosi ANTHONY INFLUENTIAL PEOPLE id • Narendra Modi • William Barr • Anne Hidalgo • Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus • Mary Kay Henry • Nemonte Nenquimo • Ursula von der Leyen • Jung Eun-kyeong • Bonnie Castillo • Jean-Jacques Muyembe Tamfum • Yousef Al Otaiba Note of appreciation from Senator Feinstein: Note to Dr. Fauci 9.23.20.pdf Where new cases are higher and staying high Countries where new cases are higher had a daily average of at least four new cases per 100,000 people over the past week. The charts, which are all on the same scale, show daily cases per capita and are of countries with at least five million people. Israel Spain Argentina Czech Republic Peru France Colombia Belgium = ha A aM _ At a a Jan, 22 Sept. 22 United States Netherlands Paraguay Libya Lebanon Iraq Hungary UAE. ao I _ill all LE Te Austria Chile Denmark Ukraine Romania Ecuador India Portugal U.K. Dominican Rep. Morocco Honduras Nepal Switzerland Tunisia Russia et i et le ee Ke ery fond of each Global USA Had Hearing today at the Senate HELP committee Chaired by Sen. Alexander (RTN) and ranking minority Sen. Murray (D-WA). Had hostile interaction with Se. Rand Paul. I really stuffed him as he spouted out bullshit acting like he is a experienced epidemiologist. Did Smithsonian sponsored "chat" with Alan Alda. We are very fond of each other. Went very well. Interviewed with Jon Cohen for an HBO documentary that Jon is doing with David France on COVID-19 PRESS: Much press about my encounter with Sen. Paul
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September 23, 2020 - Global - 31,400,000/966,666; USA - 6,900,000/200,000 1.Cases continue increases week over week -- as noted yesterday mortality should decline as the original red states (CA, TX, FL, GA) mortality declines and this is beginning and this weeks high less than less week which should be the beginning of mortality declines if we can ensure containment of community spread in the heartland and college campus to community spread 2.Testing has stabilized and increasing but we still have substantial underreporting of Ag tests and health departments are adding Ag testing in bulk resulting in the case spikes this week. This should improve with a policy change related to Ag test reporting 3.Positivity at 10% or close to 10% in most of the Heartland and continues to increase -- heartland is highlighted in slides 14 -- 27 -- most except AR in unmitigated community spread 4,We are laser focus on those with increasing cases and high community spread and increasing mitigation in these states as well ensuring universities are focused on mitigating campus to community spread -- minimal evidence of this to date For Time Magazine 100 Most Influential People, I was ranked #1 among the "Leaders" category THE 100 MOST INFLUENTIAL PEOPLE OF 2020 BACK TO HOME Anthony Fauci Stefan Ruiz for TIME BY JIMMY KIMMEL
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September 24, 2020 - Global USA ri Confirmed Cases [Thousancs 24 September 2020 Cases should stabilize next week If we can contain spread In university towns and if we can get control of community spread in the heartland up through MN, WI, 5D, ND Improved testing rates are allowing test positivity to be predictive again and its rising dramatically in UT (Prove area), OK, 5D, MIT, WI (slide 6) UT, OK, SD, MIT, ID all over 10% test positivity and are experiencing broad community spread except ID which continues to improve and test positivity dropping [slide 6) Most concerning is the rising confirmed hospitalizations in over 70 yo (slide 5)-- the most at risk for poor outcomes -- this has returned to levels seen in early August--largely driven by community spread several weeks ago when we experience the large decline in testing and inability to see the early spread among younger groups and ability to contain the community spread before impacting the elderly. I have organized the state profiles in order of concern and removed the states that are stable -- reminder many of the states of concern do not measure ILI, CL! (the red line) and the national number is modelled It will be key to return to the Heartland, WI, MN when possible to do a deep dive into the data and provide clear mitigation recommendations New Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in the U.S. _ I oh *; y IN a i IFA iy A F if f o "ait i We ae r a, == Fa ; rs a M4 o oy we = A oe A fs =] i] ie abe i iy fe Ea i A eke a e Ff © F F FF + F FF F&F LF FF F F F S KF LF HF & i Oo) meee? Cay Mowang Avarage Still >40K cases per day: • Made major presentation (virtually) to the World Vaccine Congress • Given the mixed messages from FDA and CDC (with CDC stumbling all over themselves in first saying do not test asymptomatics and then saying yes, test them. Also, first saying aerosol is important and then saying it is ¥A -- 6,900,000/292,300 25 September 2020 1.Cases could stabilize next week if we can contain spread in university towns and if we can get control of community spread in the Heartland (NE, IA, KS, NE, OK,) up through MN, WI, SD, ND, MT -- case continue to increase in Heartland and up to the upper Midwest and Northwest without any evidence of containment -- no state outside of MN, WI, ND is adequately mitigating their community spread -- hospitalizations are rising across these states and fatalities will continue to increase across these regions 2.As we have seen over and over -- increases in test positivity and increased cases that is not mitigated leads to increased hospitalizations and then mortality -- 3-4 weeks ago we saw the increase test positivity and increases cases in these states, we are now seeing the increased hospitalization and they will drive fatalities throughout October. 3.Most concerning is the rising confirmed hospitalizations in over 70 yo the most at risk for poor outcomes largely driven by community spread several weeks ago when we experience the large decline in testing and inability to see the early spread among younger groups and ability to contain the community spread before impacting the elderly. 4.|t will be key to return to the Heartland, WI, MN when possible to do a deep dive into the data and provide clear mitigation recommendations not). POTUS now saying he may not wait for the 60 day "wait for safety rule" following the time 50% of the vaccines receive their last dose for the implementation of an EUA. FDA (Steve Hahn) says he will listen to his career scientists and have this be part of the EUA criteria, while the POTUS has hinted he would over-rule this and get an EUA out right away, i.e. before the election. PRESS: Did press conference with Governor Murphy (D-NJ) - appeared live on ABC; did Face Book LIVE with Francis Collins on Janssen Vaccine; Did "Fireside Chat" with Carlos Del Rio moderated by Sanjay Gupta (clearly will appear on CNN)