Private channel session 1000
9 messages over 59m, 2021-02-19 – 2021-02-19.
A “conversation” here is an activity session — a run of messages with under 60 minutes of silence inside it. The channel had no native conversation boundaries.
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That "California" variant is growing pretty quickly in CA to say the least... @Andrew Rambaut - do you see any growth of that lineage in the UK? (L452R). [shared file(s): image (1).png]
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Will look but we are at about 95% B117 with rapidly falling case counts.
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Don't like the look of this I just found in GISAID: [shared file(s): Image from iOS.jpg]
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Any specific concern about that GISAID entry other than it being a vaccinated person who got P.1? I think we're going to see a lot of those... (B.1.351 too - and probably B.1.1.7 with additional friends)
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Just it is the first example I think. And Pziser. Vaccinated in June? Presumably trial.
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What concerns me is the very small number of P.1s that are likely in Italy and they already have a potential breakthrough
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The denominator is small
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On the other hand the numerator is 1 :man-shrugging::skin-tone-4:
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I hear the Pziser vaccine is pretty bad :wink:. I agree with you - general concern, but I might appear a little less concerned because it's pretty clear to me that we're going to start seeing a lot of these. The in vitro studies all look at absolute PEAK neut titers and B.1.351 has ahuge hit - I expect that'll translate to a lot of infection out in the wild. Hopefully those cases will be milder on averagethough - and we have _some_ data to suggest that's the case. What that spread will be though, well.... :man-shrugging: