Slack / Private Message Drop — page 161
of 1123 pages · Bates SLACK_000375
← p.160 p.162 → · this page in the original PDF · package
[2020-09-11 22:30:12]
[Eddie Holmes]
Logically, I would say that a lower rate of evolution must also reduce the rate of antigenic drift (particularly if a lot of
the mutations in SARS-CoV-2 are APOBEC related). But, that said, I agree with your points. What you ought to
know is that my original submission looked absolutely *nothing* like what I submitted. Nothing. I never had a section
on reinfection for a starter. The Editor re-wrote everything. It was torture. Just torture. My original statement on the
vaccines said: "SARS-CoV-2 is in the evolutionary slow lane for an RNA virus. This is good news because it means
that the virus will find it just a bit harder to 'escape' from any future vaccines or antiviral drugs if and when they are
developed". So, not quite the same.
[2020-09-11 22:34:28]
[Kristian Andersen]
Well, whatever the editor did the product is still very good :wink:.
That's funny about the reinfection part, because I _did_ find that a little out of place - and the concern here isn't as
much that people are reinfected with a more dangerous virus, it's just the fact that they're reinfected in the first
place... (which, as you - or the editor... - say is what we'd expect - but we don't yet know how frequent reinfections
are (on this point, I'm concerned - very. But I'm a pessimist)).
[2020-09-11 22:36:22]
[Kristian Andersen]
(and by concerned, I mean that I think after a few months, a good proportion of people are probably going to be
susceptible - I wouldn't be surprised if we're at ~50% being susceptible after 6-9 months...)
[2020-09-11 22:37:34]
[Eddie Holmes]
Exactly! I didn't want any of that in but she insisted! It was a fight. I added a bit saying that there were too few cases
of reinfection to conclude anything but she said it was too vague.
[2020-09-11 22:39:00]
[Eddie Holmes]
I had bits about the possible evolution of seasonality and more emerging coronaviruses in the future but they were
all axed. It was brutal.
[2020-09-11 22:39:30]
[Eddie Holmes]
One for the memoirs anyway.
[2020-09-11 22:40:25]
[Kristian Andersen]
Hah - well all that stuff can be used for the next OpEd in 6 months when we have answers to all these various
questions! :beer:
[2020-09-11 22:41:42]
[Eddie Holmes]
Totally!
[2020-09-12 06:58:41]
[Robert Garry]
Great job on the OpEd Eddie - the brilliance shines thru even with a heavy-handed editor.
[2020-09-12 07:15:59]
[Robert Garry]
I'm a little more optimistic that immunity, natural or vaccine, will impact the spread of SARS-CoV-2. As Kristian
knows [please keep this to the channel] we've found a fairly high level of serorxty to several SARS-CoV-2 proteins,
N, S, RDB in Sierra Leonean samples going back several years. Some of the samples neutralize SARS-CoV-2
pseudovirus. Probably a related betacoronavirus, but not a known seasonal CoV [HKU-1 or OC43]. May help
This is our OCR of the page, with running headers and footers removed. The
Committee's PDF
is authoritative; quote from it. Machine-readable, including the uncleaned
text: /api/page/slack_pm/161
Records on this page
| Record | Date | Type | Pages |
|---|---|---|---|
| slack_pm:msg:01642 | 2020-09-11 | chat message | 161 |
| slack_pm:msg:01643 | 2020-09-11 | chat message | 161 |
| slack_pm:msg:01644 | 2020-09-11 | chat message | 161 |
| slack_pm:msg:01645 | 2020-09-11 | chat message | 161 |
| slack_pm:msg:01646 | 2020-09-11 | chat message | 161 |
| slack_pm:msg:01647 | 2020-09-11 | chat message | 161 |
| slack_pm:msg:01648 | 2020-09-11 | chat message | 161 |
| slack_pm:msg:01649 | 2020-09-11 | chat message | 161 |
| slack_pm:msg:01650 | 2020-09-12 | chat message | 161 |
| slack_pm:msg:01651 | 2020-09-12 | chat message | 161–162 |