Tony's Diary Package — page 597

Confirmed Cases (Thousardds) au New Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in the U.S. 2020/2021 Doty ee Daty Mowing Avarage -23,700,000/395,000 en 0 Day Mowing Avoraga 3. Most of the rapidly rising metros appear to be reaching peak or at a high plateau and some like Chicago and NYC are beginning to decline. The key will be continued aggressive mitigation 4. New COVID hospital admissions are stable at a high plateau nationally but if the larger states and metros can hold or improve the rates should steadily decline if we can keep everyone focused on vigilance as we vaccinate PLEASE SEE SLIDE 3 SHOWING ICU BED OCCUPACY - SHOWING CLEARLY THE PRIMARY CURRENT STATES WITH THE WINTER SURGE PRESS: January 17, 2021 - Global - 92,300,000/2,000,000; USA - 23,700,000/395,000 We may have reached the peak of the surge upon a surge 1. For the first time in weeks all indicators except fatalities are flat or declining. This suggests with full data triangulation that we have reached the post Holiday peak in most of the country and declines should continue with continued mitigation. These gains can be sustained and can accelerate if behavior change holds 2. Test positivity is declining. Testing rates have resumed to pre Holiday levels as for the first time week over week cases