Tony's Diary Package — page 564

Summarizing the 3 surges Green spring Orange summer Blue fall to winter The rate of rise or angle of the fall surge is nearly twice the overlapping spring and summer angle. The length of line is illustrative of the duration from baseline to plateau. The fall surge is 2 to 3 times longer. All of this suggests that the fall/winter surge is more aggressive and may indicate that there is already a US more transmittable strain. Much more real time sequencing needs to be done. -- 19,200,000/334,000 NATIONAL TIME SERIES New Canes Viral (RT-POR) Lab Test Positivity 1h I a i z E E LEGER ESR EE Peer ye RR pare Re ER eee oPSEPE PREECE SSeS) PUR RE REESE EERE Eee MS Cady Viral OU-PCRI Lab tent Peaitiety = = T-Dey Mowing Aeerage New Hospital Admissions edhe ea ee Saye Bob ghd hd, ee soother Uw Boe ee Poe Sa Ba ee ee a ee ia ann ae See Se ee Se Be bs Bano De gt en Ba Ey ae Ba BaBeen a ee ee ee a a Be Ea Se See ew hn ae So De Boe le Be Eee ee Mn Duly Cosireved Akniisions © -- P-Dap Pirviny Averages me Cuily Deaths = -- 7-Day Moving Average mam Davy enpected Adwwnsione Source: CDC slaleveporied dala (cases and deaths), Unified Testing Dataset, Unified Hospilal Dataset, PRESS: Taped podcast with ABC Jonathan Karl for later viewing; December 29, 2020 - Global - 79,900,0900/1,800,000; USA - 19,200,000/334,000