Tony's Diary Package — page 531

12 December 2020 Featuring the States and the USA overtime from cases, test positivity, new hospital admissions, and fatalities The irniprovements in the inthe Marthern Plaing, Rocky Mountain States and Heartland are currently holding and the declines are rore rapid inthe States mitigating but Nationwide this is being offset by the surging cases and hospitalization on the West Coast, Sunbelt, MidAtlantic and Nerth-East-- these more populous states will drive cases and hospitalizations over the next 2 weeks stressing hospital systems and general inpatient care: if the rate ef rise can be blunted compared te the Fall surge this could preserve the hospital systerna and staffing The irniprovements are in states with approx BOM Americans and these deteriorating approx 270M American--6 populous States aver 10,000 cases yesterday--CA (29K), TX (20K), OH [L1E), FL[LOK), NY (10K), PA (10K) Hospitalizations are starting torise again -- the primary rise from Thanksgiving should be over next week There are raw 32 States in the ned (21) and orange (11) sone for hespitalizations of COVID cases -- general medical care deteriorates when states enter the red rene -- improvements in many Nerthern Plain and Hacky Meuntain states--decision by COC enwhe is immunized first will determine the future stability of the hespital aystern and hospitalization rates - current plan will net change the pandenvic irnpact an hespritals. Fatality daily rates are now twice the Summer surge and are mow pass the Spring surge it will be critical that monoclonal Ab and Remdesivir are uted earlier and more consistently: among vulnerable Americans There is insufficient vaccine or prioritization for vulnerable Gmericans to change hospitalization and fatalities trends in Dec-Feb -- we need to be clear to the Qmerican peaple vaccines will havean impact inthe Spring. Behaviar change, proactive testing, ared improved use of thasrapesutics can change the course of this current surge The movement of the surge into populous states especially without adequate policies or without individual Americana nltigating will drive fatalities, most states do not have adequate mitigation policies and fatalities will continue averagingaver 2500/day L7Kfweek, TOK! month ata minimum reaching over 330K by New Years and 450K by the end of February without calls for action at the Federal, State, and Local level and using PGs to combat the COVID myths throughout the country and reenforcing messaging of the behaviors needed to blunt the pandemic Daily New Cases in the United States Daily New Cases Cases per Day Data as of 0200 GMT+0 200k Novel Coronavirus Daily Cases i ty ot ti fb mB wk ob Bb oh hh LT cb ak ab 'sy Se a LC oa oe yo. oa gk sk ak ak sk gk gk ah vt ge ae I a i a Sha a % My " a q Ceres te tee oe eo ee eo PSS tte oS Pet et ot ® Daily Cases () "> ?-day moving average =F Most of the states across the Northern Plains, Rocky Mountains, and Heartland, Upper Midwest Improving -- either at plateau or declining (approx 60M American or 18% of the USA populations) Statement from Birx below: