Tony's Diary Package — page 529

iL. 12. S00 New Daily Confirmed COVID-19 Cases in the U.S. 25) a 2m tel a " E =Soin 1m ' AAT ll I I j I I oS & ae, ee oe ~ & Ped » Ome Ss oo & A, aa 'te Pd ag Pal Hy '. we re 'ad Pd id rat Peer EP SE TOPE? Sy € s £e SF FSP IFS FS 20E0 Ce ee? Dery Mu ig Avarape 12 December 2020 Featuring the majornvetnas across the USA today The improvements im the in the Northen Plains, Rocky Mountain States and Heartland are currently holdinganed the declines are nwore raped iin the States mitigating -- MD, 1A, but Nationwide this is being offset by the surging cases and hospitalization on the West Coast, Sunbelt, Mid-Atlantic and North-East -- these imone populous states will drive caged and hospitalizations over the next 2-3 weeks stressing hospital sstena and general inpatient care : slide 6 ahorws the exquainding pandemic on both onasts similar to the Spring surge but with continued cases in the center of the country Early evidence of Thanksaning surge of cases across multigle metros : interesting patterns are evoking --states that were matigating before Thanksgring have a blunted increase in cases and those without mitigation especialtyacross the Sunbelt have langer increases -- the except to this LA where cases continue to escalate without improvement: 3 states (7X, UL, Pa, CA) daily deaths over 200 ane 3 states (KS, OH, FL) over 100 fday--these should be a hewer days with the peak forwoeek Wed Consistent with port Thanksgiving enhanced community aprend- 39 etates have increasing test positivity and 35 major metros = mort of our large metros now have increasing test positivity di ig Ing community spread Hodpitalizations are starting to rise again --the primary rise from Thanksgiving should be ower the newt 2 weeks There are meow 32 States in the ned (21) and orange (11) zone for hospitalizations of COWID cases = general medical care deteriorates when states enter the ned bone -- ang rovemnents mone Northern Plain and Rocky Mountan slates-- deacon by COC on veh 6 oreunaed first will de tennane the future stability of the hospital systen and hospitalization rates» cunsent plan will mot change the pandeméc dynamécs impact on hospitals but could decease quarantine = CO will head to sue ew muidarsé hat 10 days aller second immunization there is eo reason LO Quaranline ary ouned persone] alter emodsure. Fatality dadly rales are ow twice Lie Summer surge ad are now paasanp the Soaring sure twill bee critical thatimancclonal Ab and Ramdasiviriara used arian and more coraistenthy among vulnerable Arana ra This Winter surpe will be big per, broader, and more deadly but con stall be changed with messaging to states and health care providers, There Is inaufficlant vaccine of prioritization for vulnerable Amerk to changelh it and fatalities trancds in Owe-Fab we neind to be clear to ther American people vaccines will have an im@actin the Spring. Behavior change, proactive testing, aid improved use of therageutics can change the course ol this current surge: The movement of the surge into populous states especially without adequate policies or without individual Arvericans mitigating will drive fatalities, most states donot haw adequate mitigation policies and fatalities will continue averaging ower 2500) day 1K week, 70K imenath at a minim reaching ower 330K by Mew fears and 450K by the end of February without calls for action at the Federal, State, and Local level and using Pods to combat the COVID myths thiroughesut the country Ityeill be very evident over the nest 30 days that mitigation policies and behavioral change sayed lives 24,0