COVID-19 Records

Tony's Diary Package — page 526

of 1141 pages

← p.525 p.527 → · this page in the original PDF · package

+3355. skh 12n/1-13/7 +1648 1,375,502 I Me357 oi +5, i 15483 5 I 450.5% 1L/2a-11/9 1.2% +174 1,004,175 bd 140,958 ' +1), 6% 97,408 : +10.2% 10,26 ALES Vuyfi7-n23 I yo.0% bah 1,197,199 412.2% Mo07o fa BRATa ot FIN VO,7E4 476.9% Wis td-10 16 17m f +h 1,067,067 I +1 3h 128,975 H #14 eS I : ath A501} a4 11/3-11/5 BSN I 4ELEH ct 109,904} WIS. 61281 0° #1kAH A woyfe7-ay2 I 7am! +1b1% s9,399 I +157% G8 S753! +12R2% 5e09 4.0% 1020-108 I 410.3% 494,095 I w2LSM 29,165 t 4.6% 86198 : W104 5.585 I «105% 10yf19-10/19 57m I +E. 40,977 I +14.0% 3,020 i +0.1% am I *7eh 505s I 1.4% L060 12 ame of 421m asage3 I aH Pe a ee maz 0G 41H ages {I .1Sk of 2's Le I hui Tr ae TAU} +5 rT a i hae Of22-a RE am I 201460 40K 7433300) #4. 3182.28 4A SAL dak a re 289,951 +1h2% 7,024 I oT a San i 41.6% 98-5) 14 TT ee 251,781 i -LLEs 3880: SH IF I 5K 5a af L-ay7 51s I 5.6% Pr ee 53} TH 0S} 4.0 TT Pee af25-/31. 54h 3.6% 291,472 -12% Ee a962 if LK 6,433 5.1% Bs 18-324 5.6% AL7% 256,785 17.2% e780} TSH amu} 5.0% B77 BRK ph i Ln ee Ga Wo oo 11. 12. wuth -- 15,300,000/289,000 10 December 2020 The improvements in the in the Northern Plains, Rocky Mountain States and Heartland are currently holding (slide 5) and the declines are more rapid in the States mitigating -ND, 14, but Nationwide this is being offset by the surging cases and hospitalization on the West Coast, Sunbelt, Mid-Atlantic and NorthEast --these more populous states will drive cases and hospitalizations over the next 2-3 weeks and represent the greatest threat te hospital systems and peneral inpatient care By next week I will be able to better define the impact of Thanksgiving travel and gatherings rmore accurately and ensure we message about the upooming Holidays Please review the tlme sequences of cases (slides 9-14), hospitalizations (slides15-20) and mortality (slides 21-24) 36 States are in the COVID red zane 9 states are In the orange zone, 3 states are in the yellow zone and 2 states and DC in green zone Hospitalizations are starting to rise again -- the primary rise from Thanksgiving should be over the next 2 weeks There are now 35 States in the red (24) and orange (11) zone for hospitalizations of COVID cases -- general medical care deteriorates when states enter the red zone -- there are more states in this category everyday -- decision by CDC on whe is immunized first will determine the future stability of the hospital system and hospitalization rates - current plan will not change the pandemic dynarnics impact on hospitals. Fatality dally rates are now twice the Summer surge and are now passing the Spring surge priar to the impact af CA cases it will be critical that monoclonal Ab and Remdesivir are used earlier and more consistently among vulnerable Americans This Winter surge will be bigger, broader, and more deadly but can still be changed with messaging to states and health care providers. There is insufficient vaccine or prioritization for vulnerable Americans to change hospitalization and fatalities trends in Dec-Feb-- we need to be clear to the American people vaccines will have an impact in the Spring but NOT over the next 3 months. Behavior change, proactive testing, and improved use of therapeutics can change the course of this current surge The movement of the surge into populous states especially without adequate policies or without individual Americans mitigating will drive fatalities, most states do not have adequate mitigation policies and fatalities will continue averaging over 2500/day 17K/week, 7OK/month at a minimum reaching over 330K by Mew Years and 450K by the end of February without calls for action at the Federal, State, and Local level and using PSAs to combat the COVID myths throughout the country it will be very evident over the next 30 days that mitigation policies and behavioral change saved lives PRESS: Interview with Ed Yong of The Atlantic; CNN discussion of 1918 Influenza wuth Anderson Cooper (to be shown in a week); Fireside Chat with Sanjay Gupta for the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health "When Public Health Means Business" December 10, 2020 - Global -68,200,000/1,500,000; USA - 15,300,000/289,000 217,000 cases today!

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Records on this page

RecordDateTypePages
December 9, 2020 - Global - 67,800,000/1,600,000; USA - 15,000,000/285,000 2020-12-09 diary entry 525–526
December 10, 2020 - Global -68,200,000/1,500,000; USA - 15,300,000/289,000 2020-12-10 diary entry 526–527